The UFC holds another Fight Night card at the UFC APEX facility in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday June 13, and we have picked out our favourite bet for the main event - Jessica Eye v Cynthia Calvillo.
Eye v Calvillo may not be a fight that captures the imagination and justifies its main event billing, but for many this is a fight that could go either way with the experts and bookmakers struggling to split the two women.
Eye appeared to be fighting for her UFC career at the start of 2018 when she went into her fight with Kalindra Faria, having gone 1-5-1 in her previous seven fights. She rose to the occasion though to eek out a split decision win, and that proved to be the catalyst for Eye’s best run of form in several years. She has now gone 4-1 in her last five bouts to establish herself as the number one contender to the flyweight title, but can she make it 5-1 at the expense of Calvillo and maintain her position at the front of the queue for a shot at Valentina Shevchenko?
Calvillo desperately needs to make an impression as she drops down to the flyweight division. The 32-year-old may well be ranked in the top 10 at strawweight, but she has done her career no favours over the past couple of years. She failed a drug test around her decision defeat to Carla Esparza in December 2017 and has now gone on to miss weight in two of her last three fights. Not only did Calvillo fail to make the weight limit for her bout with Marina Rodriguez last December, she was also fortunate to come away with a majority draw after a disappointing first couple of rounds.
So after failing to make weight at strawweight and producing a stinker of a performance, is Calvillo making a smart move by moving up to flyweight for this latest bout? I believe she is. And could she make herself an immediate challenger to Shevchenko? If she is on her game, I believe she will.
Calvillo is a scrappy fighter in the stand-up game – she has a high output and has shown that she can take punishment. That does not bode well for Eye who has not stopped an opponent with strikes in over nine years and has only four stoppage wins on her record. Calvillo will be able to eat up what is thrown her way and fire back in volume to control the stand-up, and she will also be able to get this fight to the ground if she wishes. And if she does, Eye could be in trouble because Calvillo does have the submission skills to force her to tap out.
Therefore I have to suggest backing Calvillo here, and while the ‘Winner’ odds are solid enough I am looking for a bigger return. For that reason I am looking at how Calvillo will win this fight and while the most likely outcome appears to be a decision success (Eye has only been stopped twice), I would not be surprised to see her add to the three submission wins on her CV. If the opportunity presents itself she could soon have Eye tapping out for the second time. So for me the best bet is taking the Double Chance on Calvillo to either get the nod from the judges or force Eye to tap. If you are less convinced about the possibility of a stoppage, you should back Calvillo to earn a decision or simply win the fight. The latter bet does not offer lucrative odds, but you will just about double your money.