Belgian Grand Prix Predictions & Tips

Leigh Copson:

Lewis Hamilton got back to winning ways in Spain a fortnight ago to extend an already commanding lead at the top of the Formula 1 Drivers’ Championship, but can the defending world champion now make it back-to-back victories at a circuit that has not been too kind to him in recent years?

Hamilton saw a three-race win streak come to an end in the second race of the Silverstone double-header, but his response in Barcelona was nothing short of emphatic, and borderline flawless, as he dominated the Spanish Grand Prix, finishing 24 seconds ahead of second-place Max Verstappen and 44 seconds clear of Mercedes team-mate Valtteri Bottas. It was the British ace’s fourth straight Spanish success, but this weekend he takes on a circuit that has not brought much joy recently.

The Mercedes man is a three-time winner of the Belgian Grand Prix, but after winning it for the first time in 2010 he had to wait until 2015 for his sophomore success at Spa-Francorchamps. Hamilton completed a Belgian hat-trick two years later on his way to winning the world title, and despite his dominance of the sport he has been waiting for win number four ever since. He was forced to settle for second place behind Sebastian Vettel in 2018 and after a disappointing qualifying outing in 2019 he once again had to settle for the runners-up spot, this time behind Charles Leclerc.

So can Hamilton finally halt his Spa drought this weekend? How can we bet against him! The defending world champion has largely been outstanding since the 2020 Formula 1 season got underway and neither Red Bull nor Ferrari have done anything to suggest that they can upstage him here. Team-mate Bottas has managed to do it on a couple of occasions, but he remains firmly in Hamilton’s shadow and will stay there this weekend as the British star takes the chequered flag for the fifth time this season.

The odds on a Hamilton Pole Position/Race Winner double are not exactly lucrative though, so if you are looking for bigger odds why not consider the Fastest Lap market?

I have backed Hamilton for the fastest lap on a couple of occasions so far this season, but he has delivered on only two occasions and, as I have noted previously, Spa-Francorchamps is not a circuit that has brought a massive amount of success. Therefore I fancy Bottas to record the fastest lap in Sunday’s race. The Finn managed this back in 2018 and he continues to be one of only two drivers that have been able to get close to Hamilton this season, let alone beat the Brit, so it would not be a massive shock to see him record the fastest lap here.

Belgian Grand Prix Predictions & Tips: Circuit Guide

Spa Francorchamps has been the home of the Belgium Grand Prix – on-and-off – since the race was first held back in 1925, and despite undergoing several changes over the years this circuit remains one of the most popular on the Formula 1 calendar with both drivers and F1 fans. This track features one of the most famous corners in motor racing, Eau Rouge, and the 4.352-mile lap length makes it the longest circuit in all of F1. It is one of the most challenging circuits that drivers will face all season because it is a high risk-high reward track that can punish even the most smallest of mistakes, so this is a race that often produces plenty of drama and entertainment. Sebastian Vettel and Lewis Hamilton are three-time winners at the circuit, but out of the active driver line-up it is Kimi Raikkonen who is, rather surprisingly, the most successful at the Spa Francorchamps. The experienced Finn won here four times between 2004 and 2009.

Location: Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps, Francorchamps, Belgium
Number Of Laps: 44
Lap Length: 4.352 miles
Lap Record: Valterri Bottas, 1 minute 46.286 seconds (2018)

Belgian Grand Prix Winners

YEARDRIVERTEAMCIRCUIT
1925Antonio AscariAlfa RomeoSpa-Francorchamps
1930Louis ChironBugattiSpa-Francorchamps
1931William Grover-Williams
Caberto Conelli
BugattiSpa-Francorchamps
1933Tazio NuvolariMaseratiSpa-Francorchamps
1934Rene DreyfusBugattiSpa-Francorchamps
1935Rudolf CaracciolaMercedesSpa-Francorchamps
1937Rudolf HaaseAuto UnionSpa-Francorchamps
1939Hermann LangMercedesSpa-Francorchamps
1946Eugene ChaboudDelageBois de la Cambre
1947Jean-Pierre WimilleAlfa RomeoSpa-Francorchamps
1949Louis RosierTalbotSpa-Francorchamps
1950Juan Manuel FangioAlfa RomeoSpa-Francorchamps
1951Giuseppe FarinaAlfa RomeoSpa-Francorchamps
1952Alberto AscariFerrariSpa-Francorchamps
1953Alberto ScariFerrariSpa-Francorchamps
1954Juan Manuel FangioMaseratiSpa-Francorchamps
1955Juan Manuel FangioMaseratiSpa-Francorchamps
1956Peter CollinsFerrariSpa-Francorchamps
1958Tony BrooksVanwallSpa-Francorchamps
1960Jack BrabhamCooper-ClimaxSpa-Francorchamps
1961Phil HillFerrariSpa-Francorchamps
1962Jim ClarkLotus-ClimaxSpa-Francorchamps
1963Jim ClarkLotus-ClimaxSpa-Francorchamps
1964Jim ClarkLotus-ClimaxSpa-Francorchamps
1965Jim ClarkLotus-ClimaxSpa-Francorchamps
1966John SurteesFerrariSpa-Francorchamps
1967Dan GurneyEagle-WeslakeSpa-Francorchamps
1968Bruce McLarenMcLaren-FordSpa-Francorchamps
1970Pedro RodriguezBRMSpa-Francorchamps
1972Emerson FittipaldiLotus-FordNivelles
1973Jackie StewartTyrell-FordZolder
1974Emerson FittipaldiMcLaren-FordNivelles
1975Niki LaudaFerrariZolder
1976Niki LaudaFerrariZolder
1977Gunnar NilssonLotus-FordZolder
1978Mario AndrettiLotus-FordZolder
1979Jody ScheckterFerraroZolder
1980Didier PironiLigier-FordZolder
1981Carlos ReutemannWilliams-FordZolder
1982John WatsonMcLaren-FordZolder
1983Alain ProstRenaultSpa-Francorchamps
1984Michele AlboretoFerrariZolder
1985Ayrton SennaLotus-RenaultSpa-Francorchamps
1986Nigel MansellWilliams-HondaSpa-Francorchamps
1987Alain ProstMcLaren-TAGSpa-Francorchamps
1988Ayrton SennaMcLaren-HondaSpa-Francorchamps
1989Ayrton SennaMcLaren-HondaSpa-Francorchamps
1990Ayrton SennaMcLaren-HondaSpa-Francorchamps
1991Ayrton SennaMcLaren-HondaSpa-Francorchamps
1992Michael SchumacherBenetton-FordSpa-Francorchamps
1993Damon HillWilliams-RenaultSpa-Francorchamps
1994Damon HillWilliams-RenaultSpa-Francorchamps
1995Michael SchumacherBenetton-RenaultSpa-Francorchamps
1996Michael SchumacherFerrariSpa-Francorchamps
1997Michael SchumacherFerrariSpa-Francorchamps
1998Damon HillJordan-Mugen-HondaSpa-Francorchamps
1999David CoulthardMcLaren-MercedesSpa-Francorchamps
2000Mika HakkinenMcLaren-MercedesSpa-Francorchamps
2001Michael SchumacherFerrariSpa-Francorchamps
2002Michael SchumacherFerrariSpa-Francorchamps
2004Kimi RaikkonenMcLaren-MercedesSpa-Francorchamps
2005Kimi RaikkonenMcLaren-MercedesSpa-Francorchamps
2007Kimi RaikkonenFerrariSpa-Francorchamps
2008Felipe MassaFerrariSpa-Francorchamps
2009Kimi RaikkonenFerrariSpa-Francorchamps
2010Lewis HamiltonMcLaren-MercedesSpa-Francorchamps
2011Sebastian VettelRed Bull-RenaultSpa-Francorchamps
2012Jenson ButtonMcLaren-MercedesSpa-Francorchamps
2013Sebastian VettelRed Bull-RenaultSpa-Francorchamps
2014Daniel RicciardoRed Bull-RenaultSpa-Francorchamps
2015Lewis HamiltonMercedesSpa-Francorchamps
2016Nico RosbergMercedesSpa-Francorchamps
2017Lewis HamiltonMercedesSpa-Francorchamps
2018Sebastian VettelFerrariSpa-Francorchamps
2019Charles LeclercFerrariSpa-Francorchamps