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Premier League Relegation Race Outright Tips & Predictions

Brett Curtis /
pl relegation skybet

Three teams are relegated from the Premier League to the Championship every season, and here at BettingPro.com we are taking you through each of the contenders in the 2022/23 season, while providing you with a tip courtesy of SkyBet's odds for each side.

Bournemouth

Having only added Joe Rothwell and Ryan Fredericks to their ranks so far this summer, although Middlesbrough’s Marcus Tavernier is reportedly close to joining, too, it is perhaps no surprise to see Bournemouth heavily odds on at 4/7 to be relegated.

Scott Parker’s side finished as runners-up in the Championship last season, with their success largely built on a solid defence and the 29 goals of Dominic Solanke up front.

I expect them to be similar to Parker’s relegated Fulham side of a couple of seasons ago: they’ll rarely be thrashed, be scrappy and competitive in midfield, but ultimately lacking quality at the decisive moments. It could be a long season for the Cherries.

Nottingham Forest

Unlike Bournemouth, Nottingham Forest have not been shy of splashing the cash this summer, bringing in 11 players and counting for a total outlay of around £75m.

That has seen Sky Bet push their odds up to 6/5 to be relegated in their first Premier League campaign since the 1999/00 season. With a front three of Jesse Lingard, Brennan Johnson and Taiwo Awoniyi, Steve Cooper’s side should be fun to watch.

Bedding in so many new faces will not be easy, though. Personally, I think it’ll be touch and go whether they survive, but I expect them to be competitive and as such there’s better value in backing them to hit 35+ points than survive at a shorter price.

Fulham

Promoted as champions last season, Fulham are the biggest price of the new sides to be relegated at 11/8.

Marco Silva’s side have added Joao Palhinha, Andreas Pereira, Manor Salomon and Kevin Mbabu to their squad so far this summer, but the loss of Fabio Carvalho will be a blow after the attacking midfielder struck up an excellent relationship with Aleksandr Mitrovic last season.

Can the Serb finally deliver at Premier League level after smashing 43 goals in the Championship last season? I’m not sure. I think the Cottagers are a value bet to go straight back down for the third successive time.

Leeds

After surviving by the skin of their teeth last season, Leeds are ready for their first full season under Jesse Marsch, with Sky Bet making them 9/4 to be relegated.

The American improved his side defensively after the wheels came off Marcelo Bielsa’s rollercoaster ride, but losing Raphinha and Kalvin Phillips in the same summer is a bitter pill to swallow.

I can’t see beyond another relegation battle, but they’ve made some intriguing signings with the cash raised from those two sales and I think they’ll just about have enough.

Everton

Like Leeds, Everton came mightily close to being relegated to the second tier last season, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s late winner against Crystal Palace sparking wild scenes at Goodison Park.

It’s been a frustrating summer for Frank Lampard, though. Richarlison was sold to Tottenham to ease the financial burden on the club, with only James Tarkowski and Dwight McNeil arriving from relegated Burnley so far. 7/2 does look an appealing price for the pair to be relegated for the second successive season, to be honest.

If Calvert-Lewin stays fit, though, I suspect they’ll just about be okay. However, with Leeds cleaning up their act a bit under Marsch and the Toffees receiving six red cards last season, I think they’re a value bet to have the poorest discipline in the league as they scrap their way to survival.

Southampton

Southampton were never in real relegation danger last season, but four successive defeats to end the season saw Ralph Hasenhuttl’s side end on 40 points in 15th place.

They’ve spent around £50m on largely young players, with Joe Aribo the only new addition aged over 20-years-old. The former Rangers man should add some much-needed flair to a side over-reliant on James Ward-Prowse’s set-pieces and crossing ability for creativity.

I’m just not sure about the Saints. I don’t rate their set of strikers or central defenders, which can make them weak at either end of the pitch. If goalkeeper Gavin Bazunu lives up to his reputation, he could prove to be a crucial signing, but I’ve got a feeling they’ll be in the Championship next season, with 2/1 a decent price for them to finish in the bottom three.

Brentford

Losing out on Christian Eriksen to Manchester United was a blow after the Denmark midfielder’s January introduction significantly improved the Bees’ form, but I’ve still got faith in Thomas Frank and his team. The 9/4 about them to be relegated doesn’t tempt me.

Don’t get me wrong, they’ll do incredibly well to match last season’s points total of 46, but I think there’s still more to come from Ivan Toney at this level and Ben Mee will add much-needed experience at the back.

Keane Lewis-Potter may take time to adapt at this level but Aaron Hickey will provide invaluable quality from wing-back after scoring five goals for Bologna in Serie A last season. If Rico Henry can score three goals in a season, I’m backing the Scotland international to do the same!

Are there any other sides at risk?

Wolves hugely dipped in the second half of last season, having massively overperformed their xG levels in Bruno Lage’s first few months in charge. Nathan Collins is their only new face so far this summer, with Romain Saiss and Marcal departing on free transfers, and I’ve found a value pick for a massively talented player returning from injury.

Only the top three teams in the division lost fewer games than Brighton last season, with Graham Potter guiding them to a record-high ninth-placed finish. I fully expect them to be mid-table once again but having failed to upgrade their first XI, and with Yves Bissouma departing for Tottenham, I think they’ll struggle to finish in the top half again.

One side I don’t expect to be anywhere near the relegation zone are Crystal Palace, who massively improved under Patrick Vieira. Like their rivals Brighton, too many draws cost them from finishing higher up the table, but with a talented band of attackers (and one in particular, who bagged 14 league goals last season), they can push for a top half finish.

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