Euro 2020 Predictions: Why Are England Favourites?

Thomas Rooney:
Photo by SOPA Images/SIPA USA/PA Images

With the Euro 2020 playoff qualifiers around the corner, it's time to start our Euro 2020 predictions early. With four more places up for grabs in the tournament, we'll predict the teams that we think will over-achieve, under-achieve and the best players to look out for in the tournament.

Euro 2020 Favourites

As always should be the case, our Euro 2020 predictions begin by covering the Euro 2020 betting favourites for the competition. Despite not having won a major competition since 1966, England find themselves as the bookmaker’s favourites, best priced at 9/2, with Belgium joint-favourites at the same price. World Cup winners France are available at 13/2 and the Netherlands are just behind them (best priced 7/1).

*UEFA European Championship 2020 Winner Outright Odds correct as of 13:45 GMT on 12/2/2020.


France Euro 2020 Squad: News & Odds: World Cup holders to assert Euro dominance?

Netherlands Euro 2020 Squad: News & Odds: Will the Dutch romp to Euro delight?

England Euro 2020 Squad: News & Odds: Will Harry Kane bet fit?

Top 10 goals at the Euros

England’s Euro 2020 Squad In Uncharted Territory?

As we mentioned above, England are the tournament favourites right now – we are just going to let that one sink in. The Three Lions have not lifted a major trophy since 1966 and while they did come close to winning the World Cup in 2018, they were eliminated by what was an entirely beatable Croatia side before they were completely outplayed by Belgium in the bronze medal final. However, despite not making the final in what was their best chance for years, Gareth Southgate’s England side have been able to benefit massively from the experience this run to the final gave them, with their surprisingly young squad given a good run at a major competition and still having the promise of at least two or three more major tournaments in each of them depending on form.

The lightning-quick rise to prominence of the likes of Jadon Sancho, Jack Grealish and, in particular, Trent Alexander-Arnold give England yet more tools to hurt the opposition, while many of their players are hitting form at the perfect time, with their Liverpool contingent in particular impressing. The worry for Southgate has always been their defence, with the likes of Jordan Pickford and Harry Maguire coming in for some criticism this season due to their own shaky personal form which has coincided with tough times for their clubs. However, home advantage can quite often help to mask these issues and if they can stay fairly tight at the back then they will be confident they can outscore their opponents due to the range of incisive attacking tools they have at their disposal.

The question from here then centres around a likely front-three. If Harry Kane is able to prove his fitness and regain his form prior to the competition then it becomes a case of who starts outside of him. Raheem Sterling has been a mainstay of this England team for some time now and it has generally been the other wing that has seen fluctuations in who is starting there. Marcus Rashford has proved a fantastic winger under Southgate, but Borussia Dortmund’s Sancho has been improving with each passing game, paving the way for an enviable headache for the England head-honcho.

The worry for England has always been that with increased expectation comes an adverse effect on the performances of the side. Their so-called ‘golden generation’ that included some of the great English players failed to ever really spark into life, while their greatest-ever goal scorer in Wayne Rooney is better known for his antics with his boot on Cristiano Ronaldo than he is for leading them deep into a tournament. As favourites, England simply have to make it to the final-four at least, but this would still be seen as coming up short by some, especially with the strength of their squad in mind and the trajectory they should be aiming for. Of course, Southgate will be aiming for total domination at the tournament this summer, especially when considering their potential to play a lot of home games, but the worriers amongst us will likely be quite contented with hoping England will get out of their group over everything else.

If England can play their best XI consistently throughout the tournament though, then we see no reason why a World Cup triumph in 1966 can’t be joined by a European Championship victory in 2020.

Check out our England Euro 2020 squad page for the latest news on the Three Lions’ Euro 2020 preparations, injury concerns and Euro 2020 predictions.

France Euro 2020 Chances Underestimated?

While England fell at the semi-final stage of the 2018 World Cup and have been instilled as the favourites this time around, France have suffered the opposite fate in the betting after they won the biggest tournament in football and have slipped down the pecking order in the betting. Thanks to the brilliance of stars like Kylian Mbappe, N’Golo Kante, Raphael Varane and Antoine Griezmann, France were able to beat all before them to the World Cup crown, but their underwhelming performance across the UEFA Nations League, where they were knocked out of the group of death by eventual beaten finalist the Netherlands, has seen some faith in them wane. However, this just means they provide even more value for those that cannot get enough of the ridiculous talent their squad oozes.

What has also likely hurt their odds of winning is the fact they do not have a single home game in the competition. Unlike England, France do not have a stadium in France that will play host to a single game across the tournament. This means every single one of their games will either be played in a neutral or away venue. While this is something that would not matter as much in a competition where only one country is hosting, France could play a number of games against a side in their own city with a lot of home support, ramping up the hostile atmosphere and making it even more difficult to win than it already is in a major competition.

Check out our France Euro 2020 squad page for the latest news on Les Bleus’ Euro 2020 preparations, injury concerns and Euro 2020 betting odds.

Netherlands Euro 2020 Resurgence?

The Dutch have gone from no-shows at Euro 2016 and the 2018 World Cup to a genuine force in world football again. Ronald Koeman, who endured a torrid time as Everton manager, has also enjoyed his own resurgence on the international scene with a much-improved stint in management with the Netherlands national team. Now, the men in orange will be looking to make amends for missing out on the last two major competitions, and they are genuine contenders to win the tournament, such is the ability in their squad.

What has been hugely impressive in the evolution of the Dutch squad is their new-found morale in the squad. The side seemed infamous for having problems behind the scenes over the last few years, but despite losing world class players in the form of Wesley Sneijder, Robin van Persie and Arjen Robben, the side have added young and exciting talent which has brought a new team work ethic which is vital in modern football, with every single member of the squad having to work hard and give their all for the other players. Their hard-working midfield epitomises this with the likely central three of Frenkie De Jong, Gini Wijnaldum and Donny Van Der Beek providing a non-stop working style along with proving to be one of the most technically proficient midfields in world football. The problems for the Dutch come up top, with the outfit not really boasting a truly world class goalscorer in the same scoring ilk as a Harry Kane or a Luis Suarez, meaning the whole team will likely have to chip in with goals rather than being able to depend on one world class forward, meaning a player like Memphis Depay or Wijnaldum, who has 18 goals in Dutch colours from midfield, may have to really step up across the competition.

Check out out Netherlands’ Euro 2020 squad page for the latest news on the Oranje’s Euro 2020 preparations, injury concerns and Euro 2020 predictions.

Belgium Euro 2020 Glory for the Golden Generation?

There always seems to be so much hype around this Belgium team and, perhaps more so than even England, they have just not come through on that promise. While England do boast some world class talent, Belgium have some of the best players in the world turning out for them consistently and yet underachieve so often. Eden Hazard and Kevin De Bruyne in particular are game changers and would fairly consistently feature in a World’s XI with the latter particularly good this season, with his assists record superb. However, consistent failures at major tournaments has culminated in this Golden Generation failing to win anything of note, with their current world number one ranking meaningless if they don’t win anything.

Away from the likes of De Bruyne and Hazard, Belgium boast a star-studded spine, with Thibaut Courtois, Toby Alderweireld and Jan Vertonghen providing a solid base at the back and Dries Mertens and Romelu Lukaku proving expert finishers up top, which all comes together to mean that Belgium once again provide a very strong option for bettors on the Euro’s. What will be interesting to see is whether Belgium can utilise the momentum of being number one in the world and having finished in third at the last World Cup to go one better and make the final this time, or whether they will once again crack under the pressure. Central to their hopes this time around will be Lukaku, with the Inter Milan striker enjoying a real upturn in his career in Italy, and with other striking options lacking, Lukaku will be absolutely massive with his goal scoring for the side.

Check out our Belgium Euro 2020 squad page for the latest news on the Belgian’s Euro 2020 preparations, injury concerns and Euro 2020 predictions.

Our Other UEFA Euro 2020 Predictions

UEFA European Championships 2020 Predicted Golden Boot

Our Best Bet: Romelu Lukaku @ 12/1 with BetVictor 

There are a number of very attacking players that will be gracing Euro 2020, and this provides a glut of interesting betting options. Harry Kane currently leads the betting (best priced 6/1) with Portugal’s Cristiano Ronaldo (best priced 10/1) and France’s Kylian Mbappe (best priced 12/1) not too far behind. However, our bet sees us backing Belgium’s Lukaku, who has really impressed us since his move to Inter Milan as he has rekindled the scoring form that deserted him at Manchester United. With the likes of De Bruyne and Hazard playing behind him, we think the forward will see a lot of chances come his way across the tournament. The lack of any real options behind him also reinforce his importance to the team, with neither Divock Origi nor Christian Benteke in the world class bracket by any means. An injury to Kane whilst playing for Tottenham means we are slightly tentative to back the English forward until he can prove his fitness and so it makes Lukaku an even more attractive proposition in the betting, and we are backing him to better the four goals he scored at the last World Cup.

Euro 2020 Predictions for Player of the Tournament

Our Prediction: Kevin De Bruyne @ Odds TBC 

What a player Manchester City’s Kevin De Bruyne is, with the midfielder one of the best footballers on the planet. His ability to turn defence into attack so seamlessly makes him incredibly dangerous when his team are looking to counter and his exceptional feet, passing range and eye for goal make him a nightmare when his team have possession of the ball. Our prediction that Lukaku will end as the top scorer lends itself to De Bruyne finishing as the Player of the Tournament as he is so often the man that plays in that incisive ball or creates a big opportunity for his side. Questions will always surround Belgium’s ability to go big at a tournament, but the side are due a big performance at a showpiece event and he is the heartbeat of that team, meaning he will surely play a huge part in any good performances for the Red Devils.

Our Euro 2020 Predictions for Tournament Dark Horses

Our Prediction: Norway @ 250/1 with Paddy Power

It’s a bold move to back a team that are yet to qualify for a tournament as Norway still face the playoffs and, with a tough match against Serbia which will be followed by a game against either Scotland or Israel, they still have a lot to do if they are to make it to Euro 2020. However, young stars such as Martin Odegaard and Josh King prove that Norway have a number of breakout stars that are playing well right now, while they will likely see Borussia Dortmund’s Erling Haaland lead the line if they make it to the tournament and he has been proving his exceptional scoring ability in Germany this year, which only serves to make us believe that he will be a real force for the side this summer if they are to make it out of the play-offs.