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MMA & UFC Betting Tips: This Week's Best Bets


Bettingpro.com writers offer free UFC betting tips for every numbered pay-per-view event as well as Fight Night and UFC on FOX cards.

Tito Ortiz v Chuck Liddell (November 24)

Tito Ortiz and Chuck Liddell were two of the UFC’s biggest stars when the sport began its rapid rise in popularity in the early noughties, and it was that three-way rivalry with Randy Couture over the UFC light-heavyweight title that helped mixed martial arts began its transformation from being a fringe spot to becoming one of the most popular sports on the planet.

The two men fought twice in that time and on both occasions it was Liddell who came out on top, knocking out Ortiz 38 seconds into the second round of their April 2004 bout before stopping him with just over a minute to go in the third round when they met again in December 2006.

However, Liddell’s career nose-dived after that as he went 1-5 in his next five fights, and after losing three straight bouts by knockout between September 2008 and June 2010, UFC president Dana White all-but forced ‘The Iceman’ into retirement and ended any possibility of a rematch.

While Liddell was away from the sport, Ortiz remained fairly active despite dealing with a series of injuries, and although his results have been mixed, he did notch one more win inside the UFC’s Octagon before crossing over to Bellator, and in his new promotion he has gone 3-1, with his most recent victory coming when he submitted Chael Sonnen in just over two minutes in January 2017.

‘The Huntington Beach Bad Boy’ has little left to prove, but those defeats to Liddell have hung over him like a dark cloud for several years now and he is determined to finally lift the hoodoo and get one over on ‘The Iceman’ at this event promoted by Oscar De La Hoya’s Golden Boy Promotions.

“On November 24 I get an opportunity to put you out once and for all,” Ortiz said. “This came around, I fought last year against Chael Sonnen and choked him out in two-and-a-half minutes. He’s still in the [Bellator] heavyweight tournament and still beating guys.

“This guy next to me hasn’t fought in over 10 years. He wants to come out of retirement and call me out? I’ve been passionately busy with my other businesses, but you know what? I see the opportunity to finally shut this guy up, to finally get my hand raised on my terms.

“I’m 43 years young. I’ve watched guys like Bernard Hopkins be 52 and be a world champion… like Randy Couture, at 43, being the world champion. You’re going to see Tito Ortiz on November 24, at 43, getting his hand raised over an old man, a shell of a man, Chuck ‘The Snowflake’ Liddell.”

Liddell, of course, insists he is no ‘snowflake’ and claims he is going to complete a hat-trick of stoppage successes when he faces Ortiz on November 24.

“I know you’re hoping I’m a shell of the man that I was, because that’s the only way you have a chance of beating me,” Liddell fired back. “But he’s going to find out real quick that I’m not. I still hit just as hard, I still wrestle just as well, and he’s going to get knocked out.

“I’m excited to be back in the sport, and I’m excited to prove to everyone that I’m not too old. You can do anything you put your mind to. I will be there, I will be in shape, and I will be ready. This guy’s getting knocked out, and I am going to enjoy it.”

So which legend will back up their trash talk? I simply have to go with Ortiz here. When Liddell left the sport eight years ago he was already a shell of his former self and had been getting knocked out with relative ease. It is hard to see how his chin will have suddenly improved in that time and if the recent sparring videos are anything to go by, he has no business getting back inside the cage. ‘The Iceman’ looked old and slow as he hit the pads with Ray Sefo and that will not cut it against Ortiz.

‘The Huntington Beach Bad Boy’, at 43, is no spring chicken himself, but he has been active over the past few years and he has gone 3-1 in his last four fights. Granted they have not been against elite opposition, but he did beat Bellator’s middleweight champion in a non-title fight and he was able to stop Chael Sonnen, who had beaten a couple of aging legends in Wanderlei Silva and Quinton ‘Rampage’ Jackson prior to that.

Out of the two men Ortiz is the fresher fighter with a little more left in the tank, so I expect him to take Liddell down to the canvas and use his trademark ground & pound to either stop ‘The Iceman’ or soften him up for a submission finish.

Previous UFC Betting Tips

EventTip 1Tip 2Tip 3Tip 4Tip 5Profit/Loss:
10pt Stake
UFC On Fox 30 (Calgary)Alvarez to win @ 7/5Aldo to win @ 5/6Jedrzejczyk by decision @ 8/13--+4.48
UFC 227Dillashaw by stoppage @ 8/5Johnson by stoppage @ 5/6Swanson to win @ 15/4--U4
UFC Fight Night 135 (Lincoln)Vick by KO/TKO @ 7/4Barberena in Round 1 @ 13/8Calderwood by decision @ 4/5--U3.75

UFC 228Woodley to win @ 10/11----+9.09
UFC Fight Night 136 (Moscow)Hunt by KO/TKO @ 4/6Arlovski to win @ 11/10---U20
UFC 229McGregor by KO/TKO @ 2/1----U10
UFC 230Cormier by submission @ 17/10----+17
UFC Fight Night 139 (Denver)Korean Zombie by stoppage @ 6/4Cerrone to win @ 7/4---+7.50

Boxing Betting Tips

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BEST BOOKMAKERS FOR BETTING ON UFC/MMA

MMA's rising popularity means there is no shortage of bookmaker websites where you can place your bets on the sport, but with so many bookies to choose from which ones offer the most competitive odds and the best service?

Not only does Bettingpro.com offer advice on what bets you should place on MMA, we also offer advice on which bookmakers you should use. Our comprehensive reviews give you a rundown of what you can expect from the bookies when you become a customer of theirs.

Is there an incentive to sign up at the website - ie. free bets, risk-free bets etc? Are their odds competitive? Do they offer much variety in the way of markets? What special promotions can I use to insure my bet or boost my pay-out if it is a winner? What standard of customer service can I expect?

All of those questions, and more, are answered in our reviews that you can access HERE.

UFC Free Bets & Sign-Up Offers

The sign-up incentive has become a staple of the betting industry with bookmakers now offering new customers the chance to claim free bets, risk-free bets and more when they register for a new online account.

But what offers are available to you right now? Below is Bettingpro.com's favourite bookmaker welcome offers at this time...

UFC Betting Tips Guide: How To Bet On MMA

Betting on mixed martial arts has never been so popular, with more and more bookmakers offering more and more markets for the fast-rising sport. But which markets should you be using to make a profit when betting on MMA? Here is our guide to the key markets…

Winner

This market could not be any simpler – you are betting on who will win the fight. It does not matter if the bout is won by decision, submission or knockout, as long as the fighter you back is victorious your bet will be a winner. Of course, that means the appeal of this market is solely dependent on how open the fight is and that means the only real opportunity to make a profit comes when the bookmakers are struggling to separate two fighters.

Method Of Victory

Just like the ‘Winner’ market you are picking out who you think will have their hand raised at the end of the fight, but the odds are bigger in this market because you have to also select how the fighter will win the bout. And of course, in the world of MMA there are three options to choose from because fights can end via KO/TKO, submission or via decision. By having to select a method of victory you are immediately getting a bigger price for backing your chosen fighter. For example, Khabib Nurmagomedov was an 8/15 favourite for his bout with Tony Ferguson at the time of writing, but if you backed him to win by Decision you would get odds of 15/8. If you backed him to win via KO/TKO, you would get odds as big as 3/1. Some bookmakers even offer an opportunity to back a fighter to win by KO/TKO or Submission, so there are plenty of options here and that means this tends to be a go-to market for our tipsters.

Total Rounds

The Total Rounds market gives you the chance to bet on how many rounds the fight will or will not last. So, using Khabib v Ferguson as the example again, you would back Over 4.5 Total Rounds at 1/2 if you fancied the main event to go the full five rounds. Alternatively, if you liked the chances of a fighter winning in the first three rounds you would back Under 3.5 Total Rounds at 11/10 – it would not matter if the fight lasted one round or two rounds, as long as it ended before the 17:30 mark in the fight your bet would be a winner.

Round Betting

One of the most popular ways to bet on combat sports is to bet on which round the fight will finish, and this market covers every single round in the fight. The odds can be quite lucrative too because you are pinpointing the ending of the bout down to just one round, so if you believed Numagomedov would tear through Ferguson in just one round you could get a price as big as 6/1, while a win late on for the Russian fighter, perhaps in Round 4, could be backed at 14/1. If there is a market in which you can make a big profit, it is this one.

UFC CHAMPIONS & RECORDS

Most UFC Titles: 5 - Randy Couture

Fighters To Have Won UFC Titles In Two Different Weight Classes: Randy Couture (Heavyweight, Light-Heavyweight), Georges St-Pierre (Middleweight, Welterweight), Conor McGregor (Lightweight, Featherweight), BJ Penn (Welterweight, Lightweight), Daniel Cormer, (Heavyweight, Light-Heavyweight)

Longest UFC Title Reign: 2,457 days - Anderson Silva (Middleweight)

Most UFC Fights: 29 - Michael Bisping

Most UFC Wins: 20 - Michael Bisping

Most Knockouts: 12 - Vitor Belfort

Most Submissions: 12 - Royce Gracie

Longest Win Streak: 16 - Anderson Silva (June 28, 2006 - July 6, 2013)

Fastest Finish: 6 seconds - Duane Ludwig beat Jonathan Goulet by KO (January 16, 2006)

Latest Finish In 5 Round Fight: Demetrious Johnson beat Kyoji Horiguchi by Submission at 4:59 in Round 5 (April 25, 2015)

Latest Finish in 3 Round Fight: Paul Craig beat Magomed Ankalaev by Submission at 4:59 in Round 3 (March 17, 2018)

Current UFC Champions

TitleFighterDate Won
HeavyweightDaniel CormierJuly 2, 2018
Light-HeavyweightDaniel CormierMay 23, 2015
MiddleweightRobert WhittakerJuly 8, 2017
WelterweightTyron WoodleyJuly 30, 2016
LightweightKhabib NurmagomedovApril 7, 2018
FeatherweightMax HollowayJune 3, 2017
BantamweightTJ DillashawNovember 4, 2017
FlyweightHenry CejudoAugust 4, 2018
Women's BantamweightAmanda NunesJuly 9, 2016
Women's StrawweightRose NamajunasNovember 4, 2017
Women's FeatherweightCris CyborgJuly 29, 2017
Women's FlyweightNicco MontanoDecember 1, 2017

ABOUT THE UFC

Conor McGregor celebrates becoming the first man to be world champion in two UFC weight classes at the same time. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images )


Mixed Martial Arts' rise to being one of the most popular sports on the planet has been nothing short of spectacular, and of all of the promotions out there the biggest is undoubtedly the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC).

Founded in 1993, the UFC was designed to answer some age-old questions. Could a wrestler beat a boxer? Could a karate fighter beat a jiu jitsu expert? And how would a sumo wrestler fare in the world of combat sports?

Those questions were answered in brutal - and sometimes bloody - fashion as mixed martial arts became an outlawed sport across much of the United States, with senator John McCain famously branding it “human cock-fighting”. Media outlets made the most of the fact there were “no rules” – which wasn’t actually true – and an increasing number of pay-per-view carriers dropped the UFC due to pressure.

UFC 12 had to be moved from Buffalo to Dothan, Alabama after MMA was effectively banned by the state, and the company continue to haemorrhage cash as each event went by. In an attempt to stem the tide against mixed martial arts UFC bosses introduced weight classes, rounds and five minute time limits – as well as a number of other rules – but the promotion continued to lose money and in January 2001 parent company Semaphore Entertainment Group – on the brink of bankruptcy – sold up.

Step forward, Dana White and the Fertitta brothers. White persuaded the Las Vegas casino chiefs to spend $2million to buy the promotion in 2001 – although Lorenzo Fertitta later admitted all he wanted from the deal were the letters U, F and C.

“I had my attorneys tell me that I was crazy because I wasn't buying anything,” Fertitta told Fighter’s Only magazine. “I was paying $2million and they were saying 'What are you getting? And I said 'What you don't understand is I'm getting the most valuable thing that I could possibly have, which is those three letters: UFC. That is what's going to make this thing work. Everybody knows that brand, whether they like it or they don't like it, they react to it.'”

The UFC shifted its operations to Las Vegas – considered the fight capital of the world – and the trio of Tito Ortiz, Chuck Liddell and Randy Couture began to lay the foundations for the success that has come since. Ortiz’s brash and outspoken antics earned him the attention of the mainstream media while Liddell’s devastating knockout power made him a fighter that could not be missed. Ken Shamrock – a star in the early days – returned to the company to reignite his rivalry with Ortiz and their UFC 40 bout reportedly kept the company afloat.

However, during their three-year ownership the Ferittas had lost in excess of $34million trying to kick-start the franchise and they were considering whether or not to part with the UFC when the opportunity for The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) reality television series came around. TUF had a simple formula – a bunch of fighters move into a house together and compete for a six-figure contract with the UFC. The catch was, the UFC would have to pay $10million to produce the show.

The Fertitta’s decided to take the gamble and a deal was signed with the Spike TV station in the United States, but would the final roll of the dice be successful? The answer was a resounding ‘Yes’. TUF was an instant success and the epic final fight between Forrest Griffin and Stephan Bonnar has been hailed by UFC president White as the fight that saved the UFC. In fact, it was so important the two men were later inducted into the Hall of Fame in respect of what they did that night.

"This was our last $10 million," White told Yahoo Sport. "People say, 'Oh, TUF, it's just a reality show.' No. This was more than a reality show. Everything was on the line. The way Lorenzo puts it, it's like you're out gambling and you've gotten your ass kicked all night and then you get everything you saved and everything you have and you put it up on the table and you tell them to cut the cards. That's what it was!"

The Ultimate Fighter became a permanent fixture on Spike TV and the season three success of Michael Bisping – who would become the first British fighter to hold a UFC title – helped catapult the sport into the public eye in the United Kingdom. Events in the UK would become regular occurrences and as the years went on the UFC would host events across the United States and the glove – a makeshift stadium was built in Abu Dhabi for one card.

In 2011 the UFC inked a seven-year deal with broadcasting giants FOX Sports and the first ever fight on the network made history as it became the most watched combat sports event since Lennox Lewis defended the world heavyweight boxing championship against Vitali Klitschko in 2003.

The UFC was on a roll, buying up other promotions to sign the best talent available and in the likes of Conor McGregor, Ronda Rousey and Brock Lesnar they had fighters that would smash all sorts of records – from gate receipts to television ratings to pay-per-view buy rates.

And in March 2016 the company finally made the breakthrough it had been fighting for ever since UFC 12. New York became the 50th US state to legalise mixed martial arts and it was soon announced that the first ever MMA card at Madison Square Garden would be held on November 12. The hottest ticket in town offered the most spectacular card in UFC history and represented the moment the UFC was truly a mainstream sport that could go where it wanted when it wanted.

But before that epic night, the Fertitta brothers called time on their reign over the sport. In July of 2016 parent company ZUFFA announced it had sold the company to talent agency WME-IMG for a staggering $4billion - not a bad profit on a $2million purchase, even with those losses in the early days. White would stick around as president and the question was what was next for the UFC?

More growth we expect, and as the UFC and the sport of MMA continues to reach more and more people the bookmakers are offering more and more to its punters. At one time you could only find a handful of markets to bet on for the big fights, but now the bookies are queuing up with a whole hosts of betting markets and special promotions - even for the undercard!

Bettingpro.com has it all covered, offering exclusive UFC tips and giving you a rundown of key bookmaker promotions.

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