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US Open Bet of the Day: Bettingpro’s best tennis bet for Wednesday, September 4

Leigh Copson 3 Sep 2019
Flushing Meadows (credit:Dubreuil Corinne/ABACA/ABACA/PA Images)

The 2019 US Open is here and every day our resident tennis experts will be picking out their favourite bet from the final Grand Slam of the year, free of charge!

Today’s Best Bet: Wednesday, September 4


Hannah Wilks: Back Belinda Bencic to beat Donna Vekic 2-0 @ 5/4 William Hill

Switzerland’s Belinda Bencic ousted defending champion Naomi Osaka in straight sets on Monday and should be able to do the same thing to Croatia’s big-serving Donna Vekic.

Bencic has been under the radar so far at this tournament but the 22-year-old Swiss was a quarterfinalist at the US Open in 2014 as a precocious teenager when she became the youngest woman to make a Grand Slam quarterfinal since her compatriot and sometimes mentor Martina Hingis, and the only real reason it’s taken her so long to get back to this point is the fact that she’s had some horrible struggles with back and foot injuries.

A top-10 player in 2016 and twice a Hopman Cup champion alongside Roger Federer, Bencic reminded us how good she is earlier this season when she put together a 12-match winning run to claim the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championship title and reach the semifinals of Indian Wells, beating six top-10 players in the process.

Bencic’s clay and grass seasons were quite quiet and she didn’t do much in the run-up to the US Open, troubled by a foot injury which saw her retire in Cincinnati, but she was always going to be the biggest threat to Osaka’s title defense after having beaten the Japanese-Haitian player twice in 2019 already. On Monday, she delivered a stellar performance to take down the top seed 7-5, 6-4. Not the most powerful or explosive player, Bencic is adept at absorbing and redirecting pace and she played with incredible precision against Osaka. She got the absolute most out of her improved serve, outdoing Osaka in almost every category, and while she did serve a bunch of double faults, it was never on a particularly important point. She also read Osaka’s game to shreds and had great success at yanking the top seed forward with a short jabbed slice which the top seed had no idea how to deal with, setting her up to be passed with, again, terrific precision by Bencic.

Playing under the closed roof of the Arthur Ashe Stadium did help Bencic, but more significantly, a lot of the things that she did so well against Osaka will also be very effective against Donna Vekic, a big-serving, first-strike power player who relies on her serve to set up short balls she can polish off with her forehand, but one lacking Osaka’s fluency and hitting a flatter ball.
This is Vekic’s first Grand Slam quarterfinal appearance and crowns a couple of seasons which have seen the former teenage phenomenon painstakingly building up her game, ranking and career under the guidance of Torben Beltz. That effort bore fruit in this US Open run, but Vekic narrowly scraped through against Julia Goerges, saving match point when the German served for the match in the second set, benefiting from three double faults in that game, and squeaking through at the end thanks to Goerges’s big errors.

That’s not to say that Vekic isn’t a great player – she is, and she beat Bencic in straightforward straight sets at the French Open, 6-4, 6-1. But hard courts are, I think, a better surface for Bencic and she certainly played much, much better than she has done recently in taking down Osaka. Vekic is nervy and Bencic isn’t really a comfortable match-up for her unless the Swiss is in really error-prone form. Bencic can make her hit a lot of balls and make her run, and we saw how effective those tactics were against Osaka. It’s a huge opportunity for Bencic to make a Grand Slam semifinal and I don’t think she’s going to blink.

Today’s Best Bet: Wednesday, September 4



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US Open Bet of the Day: Bettingpro’s best tennis bet for Wednesday, September 4

The 2019 US Open is here and every day our resident tennis experts will be picking out their favourite bet from the final Grand Slam of the year, free of charge!

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