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US Open Bet of the Day: Bettingpro’s best tennis bet for Tuesday, September 3

Hannah Wilks 2 Sep 2019
Stan Wawrinka (credit:Louis Lanzano/SIPA USA/PA Images)

The 2019 US Open is here and every day our resident tennis experts will be picking out their favourite bet from the final Grand Slam of the year, free of charge!

Today’s Best Bet: Tuesday, September 3


Hannah Wilks: Back Stan Wawrinka to beat Daniil Medvedev 3-0 @ 4/1 William Hill

After beating Novak Djokovic to reach the quarterfinals of the US Open, expect the 2016 champion to end the run of another player struggling for full fitness in Daniil Medvedev.

Medvedev came into the 2019 US Open as the unquestionable in-form man after winning more matches than anybody else on hard courts this season, most notably in a post-Wimbledon run that saw him reach the finals of Washington, D.C. (losing to Nick Kyrgios), the Canada Masters (losing to Rafael Nadal) and the Cincinnati Masters, via a semifinal win over Djokovic, where he beat David Goffin to win his maiden Masters 1000 Series title.

All that tennis seems to have caught up with Medvedev, however, who since the first round has been needing medical time-outs. He’s suffering from pain in his adductor and his shoulder and announced, after his last two matches, that only the fact that the crowd were booing him for his less-than-savoury behaviour – snatching towels from ballkids, yelling at umpires, the usual – has given him the energy to win the match.

That’s an overstatement and Medvedev playing up to the Arthur Ashe Stadium crowds, but it does flag up the fact that the Russian is really struggling physically and for a player with his grueling, grinding style – a game that belies his height and the power he is able to generate off the ground – any hint of not being able to run, not having enough energy to hang in point after draining point, can be a real problem.

He got away with it in four-set victories over Feliciano Lopez and Dominik Koepfer, but up against a much better opponent in Stan Wawrinka, he should struggle.

Wawrinka is equipped with the brutal power to hit through any opponent, even on a slow hard court like Arthur Ashe Stadium, even a supreme defender like Novak Djokovic, as we saw on Monday night as Wawrinka reprised his 2016 final victory over the Serb.

Djokovic was injured, and this is important: He was clearly hampered on serve and backhand, and retired trailing by two sets and a break. But Wawrinka also played very well, and maybe this is the tiny break he needed to get back to his very best tennis – something we haven’t seen since his multiple knee surgeries in late 2017.

Medvedev did win their only previous encounter in the first round of Wimbledon in 2017, but I don’t think you can read too much into that, given that it was the last match Wawrinka would play that season as the three-time Grand Slam champion underwent the aforementioned two knee surgeries. He was clearly not really in a position to compete and grass has always been his weakest surface anyway.

Wawrinka hasn’t been crushing opponents in New York in the first week – he’s been made to work hard by Jannik Sinner, Jeremy Chardy and even, ominously, Paolo Lorenzi – but let the Swiss get the bit between his teeth and it’s a whole different matter. He’s got the power to hit through Medvedev (if he can do it to Djokovic, he can do it to Medvedev), his opponent is physically compromised, and he’s a three-time Grand Slam champion including in New York, where he has reached the semifinals or better three times. Expect Wawrinka to make it four on Tuesday.

Today’s Best Bet: Tuesday, September 3



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US Open Bet of the Day: Bettingpro’s best tennis bet for Tuesday, September 3

The 2019 US Open is here and every day our resident tennis experts will be picking out their favourite bet from the final Grand Slam of the year, free of charge!

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