No spam ever. Unsubscribe in one click. By submitting your email address you certify that you are over 18, agree with our Terms & Conditions and indicate your consent to receiving email messages from us

This website uses cookies to ensure you get the best experience on our website. Learn more

US Open Bet of the Day: Bettingpro’s best tennis bet for Friday, September 6

Ben Darvill 6 Sep 2019
Grigor Dimitrov (credit:Kommersant Photo Agency/SIPA USA/PA Images)

The 2019 US Open is here and every day our resident tennis experts will be picking out their favourite bet from the final Grand Slam of the year, free of charge!

Today’s best bet: Friday 6 September

Hannah Wilks: Back Daniil Medvedev to beat Grigor Dimitrov 3-1 @ 3/1 bet365
*Odds correct at 08:55 BST on 6/9/2019
It’s tough to know what to expect as Daniil Medvedev and Grigor Dimitrov face off in the semifinals of the US Open on Friday – but if the past month has taught us one lesson, it’s never to underestimate Medvedev.
The Russian has won 19 of the 21 matches he’s played since Wimbledon, all on North American hard courts, and comes into his first Grand Slam semifinal on an 11-match winning streak, with Marin Cilic, Dominic Thiem, Novak Djokovic and Stan Wawrinka among his victims in August and September. He’s had his fortuitous moments on his way to his first Grand Slam semifinal – he didn’t face a seeded player in the first four rounds, with his toughest opponent Feliciano Lopez, and then when he took on Wawrinka in the quarterfinals, the Swiss was clearly not anywhere near his best and was later revealed to be sick.
That’s not to say that a fully fit Wawrinka would have beaten Medvedev, by any means. It’s hard to decipher the Russian’s game: He’s tall and strong, despite his wiry appearance, and is capable of generating plenty of power, but despite being 6’6” often opts to grind at the back of the court and pat soft, junky balls at his opponent. What makes Medvedev so dangerous, though, is that he has so many different ways to play and is capable of switching modes halfway through a match. We saw this in Cincinnati against Djokovic; when bamboozling him with junkballing and trying to out-grind him didn’t work, Medvedev switched tactics and started bringing the heat on every single serve. And it worked. No other player has so maddened opponents since the days of Fabrice Santoro.
The big question mark with Medvedev is his fitness. He’s been limping through this tournament, taking MTOs, needing thighs taped up and then the tape ripped off games later, semi-seriously thanking the crowd for propelling him through matches he thought he would have to retire from. But I’ve been burnt before on taking Medvedev’s shtick too seriously, for one thing; for another, he’s had, crucially, two whole days to recover from the quarterfinal against Wawrinka and get his body ready for this semifinal.
Grigor Dimitrov is not the most intimidating opponent to face in the semifinals, either. Likeable he may be, but he’s only had to face one seed too, and that was an ailing Roger Federer. Dimitrov did play well to beat Federer, but the lines of attack were clear for him in this match in a way they really aren’t against Medvedev, and Dimitrov isn’t the smartest or clearest tactical thinker. I can imagine him coming out on fire, going for all-out attack, and then retreating into his shell – and behind the baseline – when that doesn’t work. 
The head-to-head between the two is 1-1, with Dimitrov winning on grass in June 2017 in three sets and then Medvedev winning 6-4, 6-2 on American hard courts in Washington, D.C. six weeks or so later. It’s not much to go on, but if you think about how superb Medvedev’s defense is, and how Dimitrov’s biggest weakest is that he often looks toothless in attack, there only really looks like being one winner. I expect Medvedev to go through a physical lull, or Dimitrov to catch fire for a bit, enough to get one set, but it’s the Russian who should come through to the US Open final.


Sports BETS United States
Change Location

*Terms & Conditions apply. Gamble Responsibly. 18+.

Share this with your friends

To:
From:
Your comments:

US Open Bet of the Day: Bettingpro’s best tennis bet for Friday, September 6

The 2019 US Open is here and every day our resident tennis experts will be picking out their favourite bet from the final Grand Slam of the year, free of charge!

Read more »

You have unread messages

You have unread messages