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Serena to reach seventh heaven in NY? Get US Open betting tips

Hannah Wilks 23 Aug 2019
• Six-time champion Serena Williams starts against Maria Sharapova
• Injury concerns threaten Naomi Osaka’s title defense
• US Open live streaming available – watch and bet on tennis live from New York at bet365 
Serena Williams will be aiming to triumph at the 2019 US Open (credit:Giles Campbell/Zuma Press/PA Images)

US Open women’s outright winner tips and predictions – can Serena Williams finally win her first major title since maternity leave?

READ MORE: Get our free US Open men's outright betting tips.

US Open predictions, favourites and stats

Now that the official men’s singles draw has been released for the 2019 US Open, let’s take a look at the favourites, their form and their path to the title.

Serena Williams

As usual, history is on the line for Serena Williams, who could become the greatest US Open women’s champion in the Open Era by winning a seventh title (as well as securing that elusive 24th major title).
So many questions surround Williams, who has on the one hand reached the final of three of the six majors she has played since returning from maternity leave, but on the other, has delivered poor performances in all those finals, and continues to struggle to stay healthy for any period of time (witness the Rogers Cup in Toronto, where she made the final but had to retire with a back injury).
But the American is still the woman you would back to beat almost anybody else in the field, if she’s fit. Certainly you would expect her to beat Maria Sharapova (150/1 @ Boyle Sports), her first-round opponent in a fluke of the draw, who has lost her last 18 matches against the American; and she should be able to prevent Su-Wei Hsieh and 2018 semifinalist Anastasija Sevastova from exercising too much creativity against her. French Open champion Ashleigh Barty (10/1 @ William Hill) is her predicted quarterfinal opponent, but Barty isn’t playing well since Wimbledon; 2016 US Open champion Angelique Kerber (25/1 @ bet365) is on poor form and in danger of a first-round upset at the hands of Kristina Mladenovic before even getting to Williams. The six-time champion’s greatest foe is her own body – and her nerves when it comes to the final.

Simona Halep

One thing is for certain, we should not see Simona Halep losing in the first round of the US Open for the third straight year.
Halep has had nightmarishly bad luck with draws at the US Open recently, but the Wimbledon champion has found the odds in her favour this time as she opens against a qualifier, with the first real plausible threat to her coming in the form of Indian Wells and Rogers Cup champion Bianca Andreescu (14/1 @ bet365) in the fourth round. 
Andreescu was incredible at both Indian Wells and at the Rogers Cup, but remains an unknown quality at Grand Slam level and also struggles badly to stay fit. Projected quarterfinal opponent Petra Kvitova (33/1 @ Ladbrokes) has been sidelined by a forearm injury recently, Garbine Muguruza is in a prolonged downwards spiral, so apart from Andreescu, the danger women in this quarter are Sloane Stephens and Svetlana Kuznetsova, who are due to clash in the second round. Stephens (40/1 @ Paddy Power) is slumping badly, but can turn on form out of nowhere (as she did to win the US Open title in 2017) and has just reunited with Kamau Murray, her coach at the time of that run; Kuznetsova (80/1 @ Ladbrokes), also a US Open champion herself in 2004, has been sidelined by injury for most of the past two years but looked absolutely phenomenal on a run to the Cincinnati final, crushing Stephens on the way.
Halep didn’t play as well as usual at the Rogers Cup and in Cincinnati, but that might actually work in her favour, making her less fatigued than in previous years. She’s a proven, reliable Grand Slam performer, unlike anyone else in her quarter, but is always at risk of being hit off the court by a player with bigger weapons – like Andreescu, or Kuznetsova.

Ashleigh Barty

After her incredible run on natural surfaces to win the French Open and Birmingham and become world no. 1, Ash Barty has cooled off a bit in recent weeks and a heavily-strapped right shoulder – a chronic problem – could be to blame. She certainly served erratically in Toronto, where she went out early to Sofia Kenin, and Cincinnati, where she made the semifinals seemingly by sheer force of will and without ever really finding her best tennis.
Barty has got very good at winning matches in 2019 but she’s not playing her best tennis and she’s never been past the fourth round at the US Open. On the other hand, she doesn’t have a bad draw, with Maria Sakkari and the slumping Kerber the biggest threats standing between her and the quarterfinals. In that quarterfinal, though, she’s almost certain to face Serena Williams and she simply isn’t playing well enough at the moment – and her shoulder is too questionable – to predict her getting through that one.

Naomi Osaka

I would rate Naomi Osaka’s chances higher were it not for one thing: A troubling knee injury which saw her retire against Sofia Kenin in Cincinnati. The world no. 1 has been extremely cagey about how the knee is doing and whether she’s fit to play, and when you add in the emotional factor of trying to defend a Grand Slam title for the first time, I think the Japanese-Haitian player is ripe for an early upset. She could face Coco Gauff in the third round and Belinda Bencic (50/1 @ William Hill) in the fourth, and the latter is 2-0 vs Osaka in 2019 (although also dealing with an injury, in her case the left foot). Don’t bne surprised if Osaka is gone by the time the quarterfinals roll around.

*Odds correct at 15:35 BST on 23/8/2019

Bianca Andreescu

On the one hand, the Canadian teenager is an unbelievable 7-0 against top-10 opponents in 2019 and has put together two incredible runs to win two of the biggest titles of the year, Indian Wells and the Rogers Cup – significantly, both on hard courts.
On the other hand, she has serious injury issues – her shoulder that kept her out from Miami to Toronto, more recently her leg/thigh – and is a totally unproven quantity at Grand Slam level. I just think there might be too many physical problems for the Canadian – not to mention Halep posing a fairly serious roadblock in the fourth round – but she’s in the better half of the draw to make a surprise run, and stranger things have happened in recent years on the WTA.

Madison Keys

Keys played herself into contention for this title with her brilliant run to the title at the Western & Southern Open in Cincinnati, where she beat Halep, Venus Williams and Kuznetsova, among others, and she was a finalist at the US Open in 2017 and a semifinalist in 2018.
The big-serving American also doesn’t have a bad draw to the semifinals. She’s beaten fifth seed Elina Svitolina (33/1 @ Paddy Power) here before, and beat Venus Williams (150/1 @ Paddy Power) in Cincinnati. The stumbling block is the very talented, very feisty Sofia Kenin (28/1 @ bet365), who beat Serena Williams at the French Open and made the semifinals in Toronto and Cincinnati. Kenin doesn’t have Keys’s weapons but she’s a born competitor in the way the older woman is not. If Keys doesn’t have to face Kenin (who could well suffer a shock first-round defeat to wildcard/former semifinalist CoCo Vandeweghe), she would be equal to the challenge of Karolina Pliskova in the quarterfinals and perhaps even to Serena Williams in the semifinals. But could her nerves possibly be up to the task of playing her best tennis in a final?

Karolina Pliskova

The big-serving Czech made a memorable run to the US Open final in 2016 and she has been very consistent in 2019, but she went off the boil a bit in August and continues to underwhelm at Grand Slam level. She’s prone to going down to an inspired opponent and while her draw through the early rounds isn’t threatening, she should meet just such an inspired opponent in the quarterfinals to end her run.

US Open outright women’s singles betting tips

It’s all about Serena Williams, and her fitness – both physical and mental – and both those things are fairly complete unknowns at this time. 
With Osaka looking vulnerable thanks to her knee injury, the finalist from the top half of the draw should come from the second quarter, and it should be Halep, Kuznetsova or Andreescu, with Keys or perhaps Kenin facing Williams in the semifinals in the bottom half of the draw. These are the players who should be in the mix in the closing stages of the tournament, and again it’s hard not to come back to the fact that Williams has made the final of three of the last six majors. She has more demons to conquer at the US Open than anywhere else, but her knee injury is behind her, the back problem she had in Toronto shouldn’t be a lingering thing, and sooner or later she has to put it together in a final. Halep, Kuznetsova or Andreescu would give her the opportunity to do that should they face off in the final. 

US Open Women’s outright winner recommended bet:

*Odds correct at 15:35 BST on 23/8/2019

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Serena to reach seventh heaven in NY? Get US Open betting tips

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