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Back Roger Federer to continue his winning streak against Rafael Nadal when they meet in Shanghai Final on Sunday

Neil Roarty in Tennis 14 Oct 2017

Shanghai Masters 2017 Final predictions and betting tips for Roger Federer v Rafael Nadal. The pair are enjoying a resurgence this season and the Shanghai Masters Final will be rematch of the Australian Open, which Federer won. Will it be the same result in China?

Watch & bet on the 2017 Shanghai Masters live at bet365>livestreaming>tennis.

Shanghai Masters Final Betting Tips: Back Federer to beat Nadal


The Shanghai Masters Final takes place on Sunday at around 9:30am BST and it's going to be one to set your alarm clocks for. Roger Federer will meet Rafael Nadal in China and there cannot be a single sports fan in the world who would want to miss it.

The pair, aged 36 and 31 respectively, have a total of 35 Grand Slam titles between them and sit numbers one and two on the all-time leaderboard. There will forever be arguments among fans as to who is the greatest tennis player of all-time but it is a choice of two, the Swiss or the Spaniard. They have enjoyed a rivalry that has spanned 37 matches over 13 years and every meeting adds a new chapter in the legacy of these sporting legends.

It is Federer who perhaps deserves the most praise, lifting his ancient body from what seemed like a career ending injury to come back and claim both the Australian Open and Wimbledon titles in 2017. Nadal, however, has performed similar miracles as his own corpse has taken a beating over his time on tour and he too looked set for the knacker's yard before a resurgence this season.The King of Clay claimed a 10th French Open title in 2017 and then added the US Open to his collection and with a few more years it would be no surprise to see him make up the three majors by which he trails Federer.

But, the here and now is a final in the Shanghai Masters and we have to look at the facts as they are presented. Federer was our outright selection to win the Shanghai Masters (see below) and anyone who backed him at the pre-tournament 5/2 will be happy with their position. They will also, perhaps, be a little surprised that the Swiss is not the favourite to beat Nadal, playing in conditions that suit servers and with a vastly superior recent head-to-head record. It may well be worth going in again on Federer at 13/10.

Roger has beaten Rafa in each of their last four matches, all of which were played on hard courts and, arguably, slower hard courts than those in Shanghai. He won an epic five setter at the Australian Open but it was much easier over two sets, which suits the older man more, with a 6-2, 6-3 win in Indian Wells followed by a 6-3, 6-4 victory in Miami. Nadal fans will claim that this early period of the season was when Federer was in his prime but anyone who watched the way in which he came back to beat Juan Martin Del Potro (a US Open semi-finalist this year) in the semi-finals would say that he is as good now as he was at the start of the year. Nadal, who failed to serve out when a set and a break up against both Grigor Dimitrov and Marin Cilic, could be the one said to be suffering a little from fatigue.

If Federer can hold his serve then he'll put the Spaniard under immense pressure and the fast courts in China will help him to do that. An early lead and the Swiss could once again roll over Rafa, who may have proven himself against the rest of the ATP Tour in 2017 but still must be thinking about that 0-3 record against Roger this season.

Shanghai Masters Winner Prediction & Betting Tips


The Shanghai Masters has been running for eight years and in that time there have only been four winners. Novak Djokovic (3), Andy Murray (3), Nikolay Davydenko and Roger Federer. The first three of those players are not here this year and that leaves Federer as the only former champion in the field, with Rafael Nadal, Juan Martin Del Potro, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, Gilles Simon and Roberto Bautista-Agut the only other players who have even made a final in China. None have done the feat more than once.

This poor record from Nadal, in particular, means that he is easy to oppose this week. The US Open champion may have won the China Open last week but he was facing a weak field and then an exceptionally poor Nick Kyrgios in the final. The Australian once again put in a questionable performance and lost nine games in a row from 2-2 after losing his temper at the umpire. Kyrgios's talent is in no doubt but his attitude continues to shame him and his lack of professionalism is not only harming his reputation but that of tennis in general. He caused the Beijing showpiece to be a non-event last week and it would be no surprise if some of the Chinese crowd turned on him in Shanghai. That, coupled with the pressure of having to explain his actions in interviews, means that he too can be ignored in the top half of the draw.

That leaves things quite open and the player who can benefit is Marin Cilic (22/1, Betfred). The Croatian, who made the final of Wimbledon earlier this season before picking up an injury that curtailed his progress in the US hard court swing, looked to be back to almost full fitness last week when reaching the semi-finals in Tokyo. He fell to a combination of fatigue and an inspired Adrian Mannarino but he'll have been pleased with his progress and the world number five will now fancy his chances of picking up enough points in Shanghai and Paris to confirm his place at the ATP Finals. Cilic has only made the year end championship twice but he is now becoming more established as a top player on the ATP Tour and will be expecting to sit with the world's elite now for a couple of seasons. Adding to his one Masters 1000 title would be a good start and a soft section will see him reach the quarter-finals in Shanghai without breaking sweat. After that it's a likely semi-final with either Nadal or Grigor Dimitrov and the fast courts will suit the big server far more than either of that pair. If he reached the final four then Cilic would certainly not be a 22/1 shot to win the tournament and the outright price has both each-way and trading value.

The winner, however, is more likely to be the top seed in the bottom half, Roger Federer (5/2, BetVictor). The Swiss has, of course, had injury issues and he wasn't at his best for the US Open. Despite this he still made the quarter-finals and he then managed to perform well for his European team at the inaugural Laver Cup, where he won all three of his matches, including the final rubber against Nick Kyrgios. That exhibition will have brought the 36-year-old back to full fitness and it has to be noted that his only warm-up after a lay-off before winning the Australian Open was another exhibition, the Hopman Cup. He also won Miami and Indian Wells after a 250 event in Dubai, Halle and Wimbledon after a 250 in Stuttgart, and made the final of theCincinnati Masters after no post Wimbledon events. The US Open and the Cincinnati Masters are, in fact, the only tournament at ATP500 or above that Federer hasn't won this season which shows that when he enters the top events he does so fully expecting a big performance.

That should be the case in Shanghai and the chance to win another high ranking event will be a massive motivation for the Swiss. He has 12 Masters 1000 titles already and a 13th would put him ahead of Andy Murray, and back up to third on the all-time winners list. Don't bet against that happening as a soft draw means that Federer only needs to beat one top ten player (David Goffin) before the semi-finals. There he would likely meet either Alexander Zverev or Dominic Thiem and both youngsters have looked very tired over the last few week as a packed schedule begins to take its toll.


How to bet on the Shanghai Masters


Betting on the Shanghai Masters is very straight-forward. Every major bookmaker will offer outright odds, bets on who will each quarter and then a wide range of match betting options. To find the various markets available, simply go to the bookmaker of your choice and head to the TENNIS menu, which will either be found via a direct link on the homepage or in the A-Z menu. Once there simply scroll through the different options and find the bet of your choice.

If you want to place accumulator bets on matches then simply click on the odds for each player and they will automatically be added to your betting slip. Once you have made your selections, click on the slip and all available multiple options will be displayed. Input your stake and place your bets.

Outright Winner Bets

All bookmakers will offer odds on the outright winner of the Shanghai Masters. This will be available throughout the tournament and the odds will be updated after each match. Some firms even offer outright betting while matches are in play. Each-way terms on this bet are 1/2 odds for 1,2 places. This means that if you bet on Andy Murray at odds of 4/1 and he loses in the final then you will lose half your stake but the other half will be paid at odds of 2/1, which would result in a profit. Be aware that you must select "each-way" on your betslip if you wish to have this insurance and that your stake will be doubled - a £10 each-way bet on Murray will require a total stake of £20.

Quarter Winner Bets

This bet is only available pre-tournament with some bookmakers. The bet is for a player to win their quarter of the draw, which is effectively saying that the player will make the semi-finals. This bet can be a good way to profit from players who have been given a good draw but who are unlikely to progress to the final or to win the tournament. 

Match Betting

All bookmakers will offer odds on individual match winners and it is simply a case of backing who you think will win the match.

Correct Score Betting

This is as simple as it seems, you bet on the final score in the match. There are four options; 2-0, 2-1, 1-2 and 0-2 and the bookmaker will offer odds on each. If you are correct then you win your bet.

Game Handicap Betting

Most bookmakers will offer game handicap betting on Shanghai Masters matches. This is where you don't bet on a player to win the match but attempt to predict by how many games they will win. The bookmakers set a predicted game line to give both players odds of around even money and then you make your selection on whether the line is correct or not. This is a good bet to place when there are strong favourites in a match. Novak Djokovic, for example, will be around 1/20 to beat Fabio Fognini in the first round. There will be some that will think that the Serb will win easily and so may want to bet on him to beat the Italian by more than six games (6-3, 6-3 or better) while there are others who may think Fognini can keep the match tight and so will either win or lose by less than six games.

Total Games Betting

Similar to the handicap, the bookmaker will set a line on how many games there will be in a match. The odds will then be roughly even money on either side of the line and punters have to decide whether there will be more or less than the amount of games predicted. A standard line for a hot favourite may be around 20 games, which would mean a 6-4, 6-4 win. If you think that there will be more than that (in a match where there are big servers for example) then you can bet on the Over. If you think there will be less then you can back Under. It doesn't matter who wins the match, simply how many games are played.

In-Play Betting

All bookmakers now offer in-play betting and the number of markets vary depending on the firm. bet365 tend to have the most and are quickest to update due to their live streaming technology, which is often ahead of the TV pictures. They will offer markets ranging from match winner to next point and the odds will reflect how the match is panning out. There are, however, often opportunities for tennis experts to read the game better than the traders and so to make a profit in-play.

Shanghai Masters Live Streaming


The Shanghai Masters is being screened live on Sky Sports in the UK and on various other satellite providers around the world. The tournament is, however, also being streamed live online by bookmaker bet365.

The firm have full access to all courts in Shanghai and so will stream every match live from the Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena live online. The matches are free to watch for all members with the only requirement that you have a funded bet365 account. 

It is free to open an account and anyone who registers during the Shanghai Masters using bonus code MAXCASH can watch and bet on every match live on any device.

  1. Go to bet365.com
  2. Register your account details (username, personal details)
  3. Enter bonus code MAXCASH when prompted
  4. Register your payment details and make a deposit
  5. Watch and bet on the match of your choice live


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Back Roger Federer to continue his winning streak against Rafael Nadal when they meet in Shanghai Final on Sunday

Shanghai Masters 2017 predictions and betting tips for the outright betting market plus daily betting tips for the Masters 1000 tennis tournament taking place at the Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena which features the likes of Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal and Alexander Zverev, plus numerous others further down the rankings trying to gain some points in order to qualify for the ATP World Tour Finals.

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