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Roger Federer v Juan Martin del Potro US Open predictions, betting tips & live stream: No quick finish for Federer v del Potro

  • Roger Federer vs Juan Martin del Potro is live from New York on Wednesday, 6 September from 9:00pm local time/ Thursday 7 September from 2:00am BST
  • Federer leads the head-to-head 15-6
  • Watch and bet on tennis live from New York at bet365 > live streaming > tennis
Roger Federer. (Photo by DON EMMERT/AFP/Getty Images)

It’s a repeat of the 2009 US Open final as Roger Federer and Juan Martin del Potro go head-to-head in a blockbuster quarter final at Flushing Meadows on Wednesday night.

Roger Federer vs Juan Martin del Potro US Open tennis is live from New York on Wednesday, 6 September from 9:00pm local time/ Thursday 7 September from 2:00am BST. Watch and bet on tennis live from New York at bet365 > live streaming > tennis

Federer and del Potro came through contrasting fourth round matches, with the great Swiss easing past Philipp Kohlschreiber in straight sets, and del Potro electrifying Grandstand with a come-from-behind five-set victory over Dominic Thiem in what was easily the most absorbing match of the tournament so far.

Federer has also had his own five-set moments, two of them actually, in his opening round against American teenager, Frances Tiafoe, and in a strange old second round encounter with Russian veteran, Mikhail Youzhny, when he had to come back from two-sets-to-one down. Federer’s early struggles sparked speculations of an injury and possible withdrawal, (he had pulled out of the Cincinnati Masters because of a back problem), but the great Swiss quelled those doubts with a commanding straight sets victory over Feliciano Lopez in the third round, and an equally dominant three-set dispatch of Kohlschreiber in the fourth round. After struggling through the opening couple of rounds, the 19-time Grand Slam champion is looks to have found some of his best form as the tournament moves into its business end.

Federer is not only in the hunt for a 20th Grand Slam title, he also has a keen eye on the Number One ranking. To reclaim that spot at Flushing Meadows, the minimum requirement is to reach the quarter finals- which he has done. Given the amount of injuries and withdrawals, the tournament wouldn’t mind a dream Roger Federer-Rafael Nadal semi-final, in what would also double as a straight shootout for the Number One ranking, but with the gigantic image of Juan Martin del Potro looming large in the last eight, Federer knows better than to look too far ahead.

Just like it was against Lopez in the third round, the 36-year-old needed less than two hours to take down Kohlschreiber. The one minor hiccup occurred at the end of the second set when the five-time champion left the court to receive a medical time out. He would later reveal that he needed a rub on his back and bottom, but any apparent problem did not hamper him in the third set as he rolled to a twelfth straight victory against the German. Amazingly, Federer is yet to lose a Grand Slam match this season, following his victories in Australia and Wimbledon, and Monday night’s win over Kohlschreiber took his tally to eighteen consecutive major wins. Outside the majors, he also won Masters 1000 crowns at Indian Wells and Miami, and an ATP 500 title in Halle. The Swiss has lost just three matches this season, in Dubai, Stuttgart and Montreal.

Can Juan Martin del Potro inflict a fourth defeat on the great man in their mouth-watering clash on Wednesday?

Del Potro is into the quarter finals of the US Open for the second straight year, and how?! Seemingly down and out in his fourth round contest against Dominic Thiem, the 2009 champion launched a comeback for the ages to record a rip-roaring win over the Austrian. It was just the second time in his career that the big Argentinean would come back to win from two-sets down- the first at a Grand Slam. Del Potro struggled with illness in the opening exchanges (there was hardly any exchange from del Potro’s side of the court!), as Thiem stormed to a 6-1 6-2 lead, and with del Potro looking in a terribly bad way, a retirement seemed inevitable. 

Juan Martin del Potro. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
However, after a little visit from the doctor, the Tower of Tandil suddenly found his mojo. The serves began to tumble down with more meaning, and more importantly, his forehand started zipping through the court with more oomph. Roared on by a vociferous Argentine support, del Potro breezed through the third set 6-1 and took the momentum into the fourth, breaking a shell-shocked Thiem for the early 2-1 lead. Thiem hit back with four straight games, and looked destined to close out the match at 5-3 30-0 in the fourth, but del Potro wasn’t done. To Thiem’s horror, the Argentine broke back to stay alive, but he wasn’t quite out of jail yet. Thiem engineered two match points as del Potro served to stay in the set at 5-6, but the former champion found further inspiration, sending down two aces to erase the chances before going on to dominate the tie break. An absorbing fifth set ensued, and it was del Potro who held his nerve to seal a memorable 1-6 2-6 6-1 7-6 6-4 win, confirmed when Thiem double-faulted on match point in the tenth game.

I was thinking to retire in the middle of the second set because I couldn't breathe, I couldn't move well. Dominic was dominating the match so easy.  del Potro said. Then I saw the crowd waiting for more tennis, waiting for my good forehands, good serves. I took all that energy to change in a good way and think about fight and not retire. I did well, and I start to enjoy little bit more about the fans. I think I did everything well after the third set. The crowd enjoy with me all points. It was unbelievable atmosphere.

The Argentine had enjoyed relatively serene straight sets wins over Henri Laaksonen, Adrian Menendez Maceiras and Roberto Bautista Agut, but when he was required to dig deep, he came through brilliantly against Thiem.

Del Potro is into just his third quarter final of the season, adding to his semi-final run at Delray Beach and his quarter final finish in Rome. His progress this season has been hurt by his lowly ranking (a result of his injuries), and some tough draws especially earlier in the year. Five of his first seven losses were against Roger Federer, Novak Djokovic or Andy Murray, which basically denied him of any real momentum, and might also have shaken his confidence a bit. His pre-US Open hard court form wasn’t great, but the Argentine has put all of that behind him to produce a fine opening week in New York. 

Next up of course is 22nd meeting with Roger Federer, Del Potro has won just five, but one of those five was a hugely significant win at the 2009 US Open, Federer had been on a roll in New York with five straight titles, and looked set to add a sixth when he led by two-sets-to-one, but Del Potro was having none of that, storming back to complete a sensational five-set win. 

Federer still feels pained by that loss and he has got some scores to settle.

"It's great to see him back on the tour. It's been a rough ride for a lot of years with his wrists," Federer said. "To play him again this year after our epic final in 2009 ... I am looking forward to it. "Probably feels like one of those matches I would like to play over again. Feel like I would probably win it somehow because I should have been up maybe two sets to love ... I just had all these chances in multiple moments. The only time when he was really better, in my opinion, was the fifth set. Obviously that was good enough to beat me that day.

Is going to be interesting match for play, del Potro offered. It will be after eight years again in the central court of this tournament. I know how to play if I want to win, but I will see how physically I feel after this battle. But always is a pleasure to play the greatest guy on the history.

Federer might have eased past Lopez and Kohlschreiber in the last two rounds, but neither of those players possesses the firepower del Potro brings to the party. He was striking that forehand with almost reckless abandon and yet, remarkable accuracy in the latter half of that victory against Thiem! Confidence should not be a problem after that great escape. 

However unlike Thiem, who takes big cuts at the ball, Federer is the master of taking time away from his opponents by taking the ball early, which constitutes another kind of problem for the tall Argentine. The tactical genius that is Federer can also keep the ball away from del Potro’s forehand with his annoyingly slice, pinning the Argentine into his backhand corner. For Federer, this is all about keeping the ball away from del Potro’s forehand- the less forehands the Argentine strikes, the better Federer’s chances of winning.

Let’s hope both men have a reasonable degree of fitness, because this should be another cracking contest.

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Roger Federer v Juan Martin del Potro US Open predictions, betting tips & live stream: No quick finish for Federer v del Potro

Roger Federer and Juan Martin del Potro meet in a rematch of their 2009 US Open final. Who will advance to the semi-finals in New York? Read our preview, predictions and stream the match live online.

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