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Nadal vs Fognini ATP Monte Carlo predictions and betting tips

Leye Aduloju 20 Apr 2019
  • Rafael Nadal takes on Fabio Fognini in the semi-finals of the Monte Carlo Masters on Saturday
  • Nadal leads 11-3 on head-to-head 

Rafael Nadal faces mercurial Italian, Fabio Fognini in the semi-finals of the Monte Carlo Masters on Saturday, as the great Spaniard continues his quest for a record-breaking 12th title at the Principality. 

Nadal was made to work extremely hard for his semi-final spot, as Guido Pella mounted an impressive challenge in Friday's quarter final before falling 7-6 6-3. Pella had won more matches on clay than anyone else this season, going into the match against Nadal on a 14-3 run on clay, and he played with the form and confidence befitting those numbers in the early stages. The Argentine attacked Nadal relentlessly, and had the Spaniard in real trouble when he opened up a 4-1 double break lead.

However, Nadal is the King of Clay for a reason, and he once again showed why he had become almost impossible to beat on this surface, fighting back to even the match at 4-4. The match continued to swing until the tie break, when Nadal put his foot down and sprinted away with the set. Predictably, he got an early lead in the second set, and despite some hiccups towards the end, the great man finished off the spirited Pella in straight sets, extending his winning streak in Monte Carlo to 18 matches, and overall record at the event to 71-4. The 32-year-old had earlier beaten Roberto Bautista-Agut 6-1 6-1 and Grigor Dimitrov 6-4 6-1 before Friday's victory over Pella. The Spaniard is now two wins away from his 12th Monte Carlo title, and his first title since last August. 

So far this season, he has lost the final of the Australian Open, fallen to Nick Kyrgios in the second round in Acapulco, and withdrawn from a schediled Indian Wells semi-final against Roger Federer. Now that he is back on his favourite clay, the titles are almost certain to start rolling in again, and there's a huge probability that he will be sinking his teeth into another trophy come Sunday evening in Monte Carlo. He's first got to get past Fabio Fognini in Saturday's semis though, and the Spaniard is valued at 1/14 @ Ladbrokes to take down the Italian.

Fognini remains a big enigma- the talent suggests he should be a top-ten player, but he hasn't been able to put it all together for long enough periods to reach that elite group.

The Italian arrived Monte Carlo on a 4-8 record for the season, and had lost seven of his last eight matches, but he suddenly flicked a switch in Monte Carlo, beating Andrey Rublev, Alexander Zverev and Borna Coric to reach his second semi-final at the tournament, his first since 2013. Fognini was particularly impressive in latter stages of his victories over Zverev and Coric, displaying his full repertoire of stroke-making to the bamboozlement of his opponents. He was a set and a break down against Coric, but the world No. 18 turned it around spectacularly, and by the final set, he had Coric on string, pulling him from left to right, front to back in a fabulous spell of shot-making.

Now Fognini takes aim at Rafael Nadal as he attempts to get into his maiden Masters 1000 final. Fognini is playing well enough to trouble Nadal, as he had done in the past, and if you are feeling extremely brave, you can back him at 9/1 @ bet365.

Nadal vs Fognini Match Stats

  • Nadal leads 11-3 on head-to-head
  • Nadal is 71-4 in Mont Carlo
  • Fognini is into his second Monte Carlo semi-final

Nadal vs Fognini Betting Tips

Fognini has done extremely well to get this far, and he has got enough about him to trouble Nadal if he brings his A-game to the table. He is a terrific shot-maker, blessed with power and touch, and that ability to mix things up will be vital to keep Nadal off balance. Having said that, this is Rafael Nadal, on clay, in Monte Carlo, and he hardly ever loses here. Fognini will have his moments, but the King of Clay will reign in the end. 

Nadal vs Fognini Odds

Nadal to win -  1/14 @ Ladbrokes
Fognini to win -  9/1 @ bet365
Nadal and Fognini to play over 17.5 Games - 8/15 @ Ladbrokes

Nadal vs Fognini Recommended Bet

Nadal and Fognini to play over 17.5 Games - 8/15 @ Ladbrokes

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Nadal vs Fognini ATP Monte Carlo predictions and betting tips

Rafael Nadal aims to continue his dominance in Monte Carlo when he takes on Fabio Fognini in the semi-finals on Saturday

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