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Australian Open Final betting tips: Best bets for Petra Kvitova v Naomi Osaka

Andrew Hendrie 25 Jan 2019
  • Naomi Osaka and Petra Kvitova clash for the 2019 Australian Open title on Saturday at 7.30pm local time (8.30am GMT)
  • It's the first career meeting between the pair
  • Kvitova has won her last eight finals
  • Osaka has won her last 58 matches when winning the first set

Naomi Osaka vs Petra Kvitova Australian Open 2019 final match preview, predictions and betting tips - Australian Open title and No. 1 ranking up for grabs and thunderous final showdown.

Date: Saturday January 26
Start time: 7.30pm local time (8.30am GMT)
Court: Rod Laver Arena

Osaka vs Kvitova predictions

A blockbuster 2019 Australian Open final showdown between two of the most powerful and popular players in women’s tennis awaits on Saturday night as Naomi Osaka and Petra Kvitova collide for the very first time in their careers. Osaka is trying to become the first player since Jennifer Capriati in 2001 to back up their first Grand Slam title triumph by winning the following slam, while Kvitova is attempting to capture her first major title outside of Wimbledon - just a little over two years removed from undergoing potentially career-threatening surgery on her dominant left hand after she was attacked in a home invasion in her residence in Prague at the end of 2016. The stage is set for a spell-binding showpiece under the lights at Melbourne Park - who’s star shines brightest and who will depart Australia with the opening Grand Slam title of 2019 and the No. 1 ranking?

It’s Osaka’s belief and mental strength that has been the highlight of her Australian Open run over the last fortnight. Just a week or so removed from her admission in Brisbane about her poor on-court attitude and behaviour, Osaka has showcased nerves of steel in Melbourne - most notably against the likes of Su-Wei Hsieh and Anastasija Sevastova in the third and fourth rounds respectively. Two players that are both very crafty and compete with a lot of variety and finesse (which has been a bad match-up for Osaka in the past), both Sevastova and Hsieh put themselves into winning positions against the Japanese player, but each time Osaka dug deep, problem-solved and raised her level to tough out a pair of three-set victories.

A comfortable straight sets win over sixth seed Elina Svitolina followed before Osaka played one of the best matches of her career in the semi-finals against Karolina Pliskova, firing 56 winners on her way to a 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 win. The fourth seed was the player in control for the bulk of the contest and the player who was more often than not seizing the initiative in baseline exchanges, with Pliskova in the unfamiliar position of helplessly watching balls fly past her. The Czech fought bravely and managed to dig out the second set, but Osaka responded to that disappointment superbly, quickly breaking at the start of the third and riding that momentum all the way to victory. You can get odds of 11/10 @ BetVictor for Osaka to win.

Meanwhile, Kvitova has put together an incredible 11-match winning streak to reach her first Grand Slam final outside of Wimbledon, beating the likes of Angelique Kerber and Ashleigh Barty to secure the Sydney International title a couple of weeks ago before storming through the Australian Open draw without dropping a set. After ending home hope Barty’s run in the quarter-finals, Kvitova took to court against the unseeded Danielle Collins in the semi-finals on Thursday, and for a moment it appeared as if her campaign could be derailed as they took to the court in searing 36C heat, but at 4-4 in the first set, the Australian Open’s heat-related stress indicator hit 5.0, which meant that the roof could now be closed. Notorious for her fearsome play indoors, Kvitova would only lose two more games for the match, dominating the first set tiebreak before delivering a ‘bagel’ in the second to emerge triumphant 7-6(2) 6-0. Kvitova to claim the title is priced at 8/11 @ bet365 (Odds correct at 08:52 GMT on 25/1/2019).

Osaka vs Kvitova match stats

  • It's the first career meeting between the pair
  • It's also the first Australian Open final for both players
  • Osaka is looking to become the first player since Jennifer Capriati in 2001 to win their first slam and back it up immediately with another title
  • Kvitova is 2-0 in slam finals and has an overall record of 26-7, winning her last eight straight
  • Kvitova is on an 11-match winning streak and hasn't dropped a set all tournament
  • Osaka is on a 58-match winning streak when winning the first set, dating back to 2016

Osaka vs Kvitova betting tips

For the second year on the bounce, the No. 1 ranking will also be decided in the Australian Open final, with both Osaka and Kvitova never once before holding the top spot. While it’s a nice prize to also win, rest assured both players will be 100 per cent focused on the major trophy that is there to be seized. We can expect a similar sort of match to the Osaka vs Pliskova semi-final, although Kvitova is left-handed, so it will be interesting to see who targets what in that match-up of forehands to backhands. Perhaps the biggest aspect of this match is the first set: Osaka is on an jaw-dropping 59-match winning streak when winning the first set dating back to 2016 and an 11-match winning run at slams. When you carve out a streak that long, there’s no luck involved - there’s a definite reason, and that’s Osaka’s confidence and her ability to settle once she gains an initial lead. It’s therefore imperative that Kvitova gets off to a good start herself, but with the way the Czech is playing at the moment, she is more than capable. It’s Osaka’s first-set dominance up against Kvitova’s sensational finals record - and this is as 50-50 contest as one can get for a Grand Slam final!

Osaka vs Kvitova odds

Osaka to win - 11/10 @ BetVictor
Kvitova to win - 8/11 @ bet365 * Odds correct at 08:52 GMT on 25/1/2019

Osaka vs Kvitova recommended bet

Kvitova to win the first set at 4/5 @ William Hill

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Australian Open Final betting tips: Best bets for Petra Kvitova v Naomi Osaka

Naomi Osaka vs Petra Kvitova Australian Open 2019 final match preview, predictions and betting tips - Australian Open title and No. 1 ranking up for grabs and thunderous final showdown.

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