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French Open Day 10 - three best bets for Tuesday June 4 at Roland Garros

Andrew Hendrie 4 Jun 2019
  • Men's and women's quarter-final action at the French Open on Day 10 is live from Roland Garros at 2.00pm local time (1.00pm BST)
  • We've picked out our three best bets for the day
Roger Federer (PA Images)

It’s quarter-final time at the French Open and we’ve picked out our three best bets for the day!

Rafael Nadal vs Kei Nishikori - total games under 27.5 at 5/6 @ bet365

It’s deja vu from the Australian Open as far as Nishikori is concerned for me. If you recall, the Japanese inexplicably found himself dragged into three five-set battles before the quarter-finals, where he was promptly mowed down by Novak Djokovic in the first set before retiring due to fatigue. And now, the same thing, more or less, has happened, with Nishikori surviving back-to-back energy-sapping five setters against Laslo Djere and Benoit Paire (8-6 and 7-5 in the fifth) ahead of his quarter-final showdown with Rafael Nadal.

Needless to say, that’s not ideal preparation for facing the greatest clay-court player of all time. Nadal has cruised into the last eight without expending any energy whatsoever, and now’s the time for the Spaniard to start raising his level even higher as the business end of the tournament approaches. Nadal will be in a ruthless mood and I don’t expect Nishikori to win any more than three games in a set. It’s set to be a long day at the office for the Japanese…

Petra Martic to beat Marketa Vondrousova at 13/10 @ William Hill

Martic has defeated Vondrousova in all four of their previous meetings, including twice in 2019 at the Australian Open and on the clay of Istanbul, and at those odds, the Croatian is worth backing as both players attempt to reach a first Grand Slam semi-final.

It’s also a first major quarter-final for Martic and Vondrousova, so nerves will probably be a factor at some stage, but I feel like this match-up plays into Martic’s favour, obviously illustrated through her 4-0 head-to-head over the Czech teenager. A run like this has brewing for some time for Martic - she’s been to the R16 at slams on multiple occasions and has been excellent on clay in the lead-up to Roland Garros, reaching the semi-finals in Charleston, winning the title in Istanbul (beating Vondrousova in the final) and making the quarter-finals of Madrid, while she’s scored a career-best win over second seed Karolina Pliskova and ended the run of giant-killer Kaia Kanepi to make the last eight in Paris.

Vondrousova herself has been simply brilliant in 2019, making at least the quarter-finals of every tournament she’s played (except the Australian Open, where she lost in R2 to Martic) and dropping just 21 games en route to her maiden major quarter-final, including demolishing Anastasija Sevastova 6-2 6-0 in the fourth round. However, I do wonder if her lack of any real competitive matches will come back to bite her if the going gets tough against Martic, who is battle-hardened. Martic has frustrated Vondrousova in their past encounters and if she can weather what could be an early Vondrousova storm, she should be able to gradually work her way into the match and claim a fifth win over the Czech.

Roger Federer to beat Stan Wawrinka in straight sets at 21/20 @ Betfair

Federer has won 22 of his 25 matches against close friend and countryman Wawrinka, and I expect him to make it 23 in the French Open quarter-finals on Tuesday.

While it’s true that Wawrinka scored one of his three wins over Federer at the French Open back in 2015, I don’t see him doing it again when you consider his last match was a five-hour, five-set slugfest against rising star Stefanos Tsitsipas. Wawrinka hasn’t played many big matches since undergoing double knee surgery and I’m not sure if his body will hold up from that energy-sapping and gruelling marathon.

By contrast, Federer has coasted into the quarter-finals upon his return to Roland Garros without dropping a set and now faces the man that beat him in his last appearance at the French Open four years ago. Playing without pressure or much expectation always makes Federer dangerous, and that’s certainly the mindset he’s adopted for this tournament. Federer eased past Wawrinka 6-3 6-4 in Indian Wells earlier this season, and to be honest, that scoreline flattered Wawrinka, who was never in the contest. We all want a classic between the two countryman, but I think Federer could be set for another routine win and a return to the French Open semi-finals.

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French Open Day 10 - three best bets for Tuesday June 4 at Roland Garros

It’s quarter-final time at the French Open and we’ve picked out our three best bets for the day!

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