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Fognini vs Lajovic ATP Monte-Carlo final predictions and betting tips

Andrew Hendrie 21 Apr 2019
  • Fabio Fognini and Dusan Lajovic clash in the Monte-Carlo Masters final on Sunday
  • It's the first career meeting between the pair
  • Both players aiming to win their first Masters 1000 title
Fabio Fognini (PA Images)

Fabio Fognini vs Dusan Lajovic ATP Monte-Carlo Masters final match preview, predictions and betting tips - Fognini and Lajovic gunning for first Masters 1000 title in surprise final…

Date: Sunday April 21
Time: 2.30pm local time (1.30pm BST)
Court: Court Rainier III

Fognini vs Lajovic predictions


Nobody would have predicted a Monte-Carlo Masters final between Fabio Fognini and Dusan Lajovic at the start of the week, especially with the likes of Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic and Dominic Thiem in the draw, but here we are!

Fognini played one of the finest matches of his career to storm past 11-time champion Nadal in the semi-finals, winning 11 of the last 14 games to conquer the King of Clay and become the first Italian to reach a Masters 1000 final.

Fognini, who has also beaten the likes of Alexander Zverev and Borna Coric this week, was 0-4 on clay this season before the week, but he’s staged multiple comebacks in Monte-Carlo, including recovering from 4-6 1-4 down in his opening round against Andrey Rublev, while he was also down 1-6 0-2 to Coric in the quarter-finals. Fognini is 1/2 @ Ladbrokes to win the title on Sunday.

Meanwhile, Lajovic can become the first player since Albert Portas in 2001 to win a first ATP title at a Masters 1000 event if he can cap an extraordinary week with the silverware.

The Serbian has been rising steadily over the last 12 months or so, claiming three top 10 wins and making the Madrid Masters quarter-finals last year, but he’s gone to a whole other level in Monte-Carlo this week, advancing to the final without dropping a set, including taking out Indian Wells champion and last year’s French Open runner-up Thiem.

Lajovic also staged a miraculous comeback in his semi-final, fighting back from 1-5 down in the first set and winning 12 of the last 13 games to defeat Daniil Medvedev, who had beaten Novak Djokovic in the previous round, 7-5 6-1. Lajovic is 7/4 @ bet365 for the upset.

Fognini vs Lajovic match stats


  • This will be the first career meeting between the pair
  • Both players are into their first Masters 1000 final
  • Fognini is looking to become the first Italian to win a Masters 1000 title
  • Lajovic at No. 48 is the lowest-ranked Monte-Carlo finalist since 2001
  • This is the first time the Monte-Carlo Masters will feature two first-time Masters 1000 finalists

Fognini vs Lajovic betting tips


Both players have been superb this week, but for me, Fognini is the favourite to take home the title on Sunday. The Italian is operating at another level right now, and when he plays like this, he is easily top 10 on clay in the world, if not top five or higher. Fognini’s groundstrokes have been in pristine condition, while his drop shots and overall point construction and craft on the dirt have been a thing of beauty. Lajovic is obviously in career-best form and will use his forehand to try and force Fognini into error and frustration, but if the Italian plays like he did against Nadal and for the last two sets of his quarter-final win over Coric, he should be winning a first Masters 1000 title.

Fognini vs Lajovic odds


Fognini to win - 1/2 @ Ladbrokes
Lajovic to win - 7/4 @ bet365

Fognini vs Lajovic recommended bet


Fognini to win in straight sets at 11/10 @ Betfair

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Fognini vs Lajovic ATP Monte-Carlo final predictions and betting tips

Fabio Fognini vs Dusan Lajovic ATP Monte-Carlo Masters final match preview, predictions and betting tips - Fognini and Lajovic gunning for first Masters 1000 title in surprise final…

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