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Djokovic vs Nadal ATP Rome final predictions and betting tips

Andrew Hendrie 19 May 2019
  • Novak Djokovic takes on Rafael Nadal in the Rome Masters final at 4.00pm local time on Sunday (3.00pm BST)
  • Djokovic leads their head-to-head 28-25 and has won nine of their last 11 encounters, but Nadal is up 16-7 on clay
Rafael Nadal (PA Images)

Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal ATP Rome Masters final match preview, predictions and betting tips - Djokovic and Nadal renew legendary rivalry as they go in search of a record 34th Masters Series title…

Date: Sunday May 19
Time: 4.00pm local time (3.00pm BST)
Court: Centrale

Djokovic vs Nadal predictions


Either Novak Djokovic or Rafael Nadal will capture a record 34th Masters 1000 title as the two titans of tennis clash for a 54th time in the Rome Masters final on Sunday.

After beating Dominic Thiem and Stefanos Tsitsipas to secure the Madrid Masters title without dropping a set last week, Djokovic has continued his great form in Rome, but it’s been a much tougher trek to the final. It all started with the complete wash-out on Wednesday, which meant Djokovic - like the bulk of the draw - had to play two matches on Thursday, a test he passed with minimal fuss as he breezed past Denis Shapovalov and Philipp Kohlschreiber, but since then, the Serbian has been fighting for survival.

Djokovic saved two match points to edge Juan Martin del Potro in a late-night quarter-final thriller that finished at 1.00am, while he was once again extended to three sets by another Argentine in Saturday’s semi-finals, defeating Diego Schwartzman 6-3 6-7(2) 6-3. He’s 13/8 @ bet365 to secure a fifth Rome crown.

Meanwhile, Nadal is still trying to build some significant momentum heading into Roland Garros, which makes him extra dangerous in Sunday’s showpiece. The Spaniard has been as dominant as ever in Rome this week after suffering three straight shock semi-final eliminations in Monte-Carlo, Barcelona and Madrid to Fabio Fognini, Dominic Thiem and Stefanos Tsitsipas respectively, winning a ‘bagel set’ in three straight matches to start the tournament (the first time in history he has achieved that feat) and holding 31 of his 32 services games in reaching his 11th final in the Italian city.

Nadal, who arrived in Rome without a title for the first time since 2004, was able to avenge his Madrid semi-final loss to Tsitsipas on Saturday, playing a much better match as he dispatched the Greek by a 6-3 6-4 scoreline. He’s 8/15 @ William Hill to win a ninth Rome title on Sunday.

Djokovic vs Nadal match stats


  • Djokovic leads their head-to-head 28-25
  • Djokovic has won nine of their last 11 matches
  • Nadal leads their head-to-head 16-7 on clay
  • Nadal and Djokovic are 2-2 in Rome finals
  • Nadal is aiming for his ninth Rome title
  • Djokovic targeting a fifth Rome crown
  • Nadal trying to win first title of 2019

Djokovic vs Nadal betting tips


I think Nadal starts favourite, despite Djokovic winning nine of their last 11 matches. Nadal hasn’t been dragged into any discomfort whatsoever so far in Rome, while Djokovic has been involved in two back-to-back three-setters, one of which finished at 1.00am. It’s been a taxing fortnight for the Serbian, especially when you consider he hasn’t played that much consecutive tennis since the Australian Open, and as I mentioned earlier, I can’t help but feel Djokovic has got one eye on the French Open. Nadal, I feel, needs this victory more than Djokovic does for his own confidence and belief, especially if they are to clash for the French Open title in a few weeks. The Spaniard has been dominant all week and has a great chance to claim a morale-boosting win over his greatest rival and secure a record 34th Masters 1000 title on Sunday.

Djokovic vs Nadal odds


Nadal to win - 8/15 @ William Hill
Djokovic to win - 13/8 @ bet365

Djokovic vs Nadal recommended bet


Nadal to win in three sets at 3/1 @ Unibet

Check out all of our tennis match previews and betting tips here.


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Djokovic vs Nadal ATP Rome final predictions and betting tips

Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal ATP Rome Masters final match preview, predictions and betting tips - Djokovic and Nadal renew legendary rivalry as they go in search of a record 34th Masters Series title…

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