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Djokovic to secure record-breaking 7th title? Get our men's Australian Open betting tips

Andrew Hendrie 12 Jan 2019
  • Tips and analysis for the 2019 Australian Open men's title
  • Back Novak Djokovic to take home the silverware

With the 2019 Australian Open just around the corner, we’ve dissected the chances of the top 10 bookies favourites on the men’s side and picked out our best bet for the title.

READ MORE: Get our Australian Open betting tips for the women's draw.

Novak Djokovic

Despite his shock loss in the quarter-finals of Doha against Roberto Bautista Agut, six-time champion Djokovic remains the firm favourite for Australian Open glory. The Serbian became the first man in history to come from outside the top 20 to finish the same season as No. 1 last year, securing two more slams at Wimbledon and the U.S. Open, along with a pair of Masters 1000 crowns in Shanghai and Cincinnati. He’ll be a different beast over five sets and nobody has been close to his level (consistently) over the last six months.

Roger Federer

The Swiss legend is also gunning for his seventh Australian Open title, but at 37 years of age, the two-time defending champion might find it difficult to make it a three-peat in 2019. Federer once again arrives in Melbourne on the back of impressive form at the Hopman Cup, teaming with Belinda Bencic to win the title for Switzerland for the second year running, but the 20-time major champion didn’t perform well at the slams after departing Melbourne last year, falling in the Wimbledon quarter-finals and U.S. Open fourth round. It would be surprising if Federer made it three titles on the trot down under.

Rafael Nadal

The 2009 Australian Open champion is third favourite for the title a decade later, but I don’t think he is even in the top five. Nadal won’t have played a competitive match since the U.S. Open semi-finals in September by the times he takes to court for his opening round, while he withdrew or retired from every tournament he played on hardcourt in 2018 except one. There’s too much uncertainty surrounding Nadal’s health and general form on hardcourts and I would be genuinely shocked if he managed to win the tournament.

Alexander Zverev

Is this Zverev’s time to step up and make an impact at a major? I was going to say yes until news broke of the German sustaining an injury to his hamstring while training in Adelaide this week. It’s still not clear what the extent of the injury is, but nevertheless, it’s not ideal preparation for the young gun, who is under immense pressure to improve his dismal record at the slams. Zverev operating at full fitness is probably second favourite behind Djokovic in my eyes, but he is now racing the clock to be healthy in time for next week…

Marin Cilic

There’s a big gap in the odds between the top four favourites and the chasing pack - and leading that said pack is 2018 runner-up Cilic. Another member of the game’s elite who is coming into the tournament under questionable fitness after pulling out of Pune with a knee problem, Cilic is one of those players that can beat anyone if he’s redlining, but his form after Melbourne wasn’t too impressive - including a poor second round Wimbledon elimination. You can never truly rule out the powerful Croatian, but he’s certainly not red-hot heading into the tournament…

Kei Nishikori

Probably one of the more in-form players coming into the Australian Open. Nishikori put together a strong resurgent season in 2018, qualifying for the ATP Finals and reaching the U.S. Open semi-finals, while he also began 2019 by snapping a three-year title drought after prevailing in Brisbane, taking out Grigor Dimitrov and Daniil Medvedev along the way. I’m confident in Nishikori to beat most players below him in the rankings, but he will most likely need someone else to take care of Djokovic and Federer if he is going to claim a first major title.

Karen Khachanov

One of the hottest players to close out 2018 after winning two titles in his last three events, including beat Djokovic to secure his first Masters 1000 title in Paris. Khachanov is one of the young guns touted for major glory over the next decade, but is it asking too much of the young Russian to emerge triumphant immediately in Melbourne? Most likely, but Khachanov is equipped with a massive game that can take out anyone when he’s in top form, but executing that over the best-of-five sets against the very best with that pressure on your shoulders is a different story altogether.

Andy Murray

Still very much in a rebuilding phase after hip surgery this time last year, five-time finalist Murray needs more matches under his belt in order to be labeled a legitimate contender for the title. The Scot’s only competitive matches since September last year came in Brisbane last week, where he beat James Duckworth before going down to eventual runner-up Medvedev. There’s the slim chance Murray will brush off his fitness issues and go on a mini-run - and that’s where anything can happen - but it’s likely the Australian Open has come too soon for the former World No. 1.

Nick Kyrgios

It somewhat baffles me that Kyrgios is in the top 10 favourites for the Australian Open title given his current form, but at the same time, it’s also not hard to see why. The Australian is one of the few players on tour that can shoot to top form without warning and with a game capable of blasting the likes of Djokovic, Federer and Nadal off the court. However, in saying that, Kyrgios heads into the tournament at his lowest ranking since 2014 and his mindset isn’t really suited to best-of-five-sets. He might pull off a shock depending on the draw, but it’s a massive ask for him to win seven matches over the course of two weeks.

Stan Wawrinka

It’s been a long road back to the top for Wawrinka, and he’s still not there yet - however, recent signs suggest the Swiss is due a big run at one of the majors. The 2014 Australian Open champion took a while to rebuild his fitness after double knee surgery in 2017, but he was impressive in Doha to make the quarter-finals before running into red-hot eventual champion Roberto Bautista Agut. Seemingly back to full health, Wawrinka is one of those players the top seeds will be wanting to avoid in the early rounds.

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Djokovic to secure record-breaking 7th title? Get our men's Australian Open betting tips

With the 2019 Australian Open just around the corner, we’ve dissected the chances of the top 10 bookies favourites on the men’s side and picked out our best bet for the title.

Read more »

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