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Australian Open 2019 betting tips: Best bets for Day 13 Down Under

Leye Aduloju 25 Jan 2019
  • Best bets for Day 13 at the 2019 Australian Open on Saturday January 26
  • Features Petra Kvitova vs Naomi Osaka in the women's singles' final

Daily Australian Open predictions and betting tips here - the best bets for Saturday January 26.

We are down to the last two women in Melbourne Park as Naomi Osaka and Petra Kvitova contest the Australian Open women's singles' final on Saturday. We have picked our best bets ahead of Saturday's big final!

Petra Kvitova to win

What an intriguing women’s final we’ve got as Petra Kvitova and Naomi Osaka go head-to-head for the first time on Saturday. It’s not just a maiden Australian Open title that’s on the line, but also the world No. 1 ranking. Whoever wins will rise to the top of the world for the first time, replacing Simona Halep.

Both ladies are on impressive streaks- Kvitova has won her last 11 matches, having captured the Sydney title on the eve of the Australian Open, while Naomi Osaka is on a 13-match winning streak at Grand Slams- something has got to give on Saturday. It’s a tough one to call, and a lot will depend on which player executes on the day and manages the nerves better. Osaka did a brilliant job at that during the US Open final, when she somehow ignored the chaos around her to deliver a superb victory over Serena Williams, but Kvitova also handled herself expertly in her two previous major finals, blowing away Maria Sharapova and Eugenie Bouchard at Wimbledon in 2011 and 2014 respectively. In fact, the Czech is on an eight-match winning streak in tour level finals, and is 26-7 overall. Usually, when she comes this far, she finishes the job. Osaka is 2-2 in tour-level finals, but she has a significantly smaller sample space.

From a match-up perspective, the fact that Kvitova is left-handed gives her an immediate advantage, as she can attack Osaka’s backhand (her weaker wing) with her swinging wide serve and crosscourt forehand, and put away backhand winners in the open spaces on the other side of the court. It’s a key pattern of play that the Czech will most likely employ very often on Saturday. I also expect her to come to the net a bit- she is competent up there- plucking out volleys with her large wingspan. Osaka is not without her own weapons- she served brilliantly, and struck that forehand supremely against Karolina Pliskova in the semi-finals, and quite a few of those fiery strokes will fizz past Kvitova, but if both players play to the best of their ability, I’ll go with Kvitova to emerge victorious.

Form-wise, both ladies have been excellent, but Kvitova has been the more dominant through the fortnight. Osaka has had to dig a lot deeper, especially in the third and fourth rounds against Su-Wei Hsieh and Anastasija Sevastova, and her semi-final against Pliskova, but Kvitova has scythed through the draw without losing a set. You could say her smoother route to the final may prove counter-productive if the match gets really tight, but usually, when she gets on a roll like this, she is very hard to stop. I don’t think Osaka will stop her on Saturday.

Petra Kvitova and Naomi Osaka to play Over 21.5 games

While I think Petra Kvitova will win the Australian Open final, I expect Osaka to get her fair share of holds, and make this a close match. She has not only displayed a great deal of skill through the fortnight, but she has also shown tremendous heart and fight to get through some challenging moments, like against Hsieh, Sevastova and Pliskova. The battle-hardened Japanese will keep this one close and competitive, but the aforementioned nuances in Kvitova’s left-handed game will get the Czech over the line.

Kamil Majchrzak vs Maverick Barnes (Burnie Challenger)

Away from the Australian Open, Poland’s Kamil Majchrzak will attempt to reach his fourth Challenger final when he takes on Australia’s Maverick Barnes in Burnie, Australia on Saturday. After coming through the qualifying rounds to reach his first Grand Slam main draw at the Australian Open, Majchrzak threatened a major upset when he took the first two sets against Kei Nishikori in the first round of the Australian Open, but he unfortunately retired hurt in the fifth set. He has continued that encouraging form in Burnie, beating former top 50 players, Dudi Sela, Go Soeda, and the unheralded Sebastian Fanselow to reach the semis, dropping just one set in the process. His next opponent, Maverick Barnes has had a more complex route to the last four, needing three three-setters to get this far. 

Operating at a career-high 176th in the world, the 23-year-old Majchrzak is definitely on a rise, and he should be too strong for the Barnes, who is ranked 302nd and has never been higher than 216th. 

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Australian Open 2019 betting tips: Best bets for Day 13 Down Under

Daily Australian Open predictions and betting tips here - the best bets for Saturday January 26.

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