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Australian Open 2019 betting tips: Best bets for Day 12 Down Under

Leye Aduloju 24 Jan 2019
  • Best bets for Day 12 at the 2019 Australian Open on Friday January 25
  • Features Djokovic vs Pouille and the women's double's final

Daily Australian Open predictions and betting tips here - the best bets for Friday January 25.

Novak Djokovic vs Lucas Pouille - Djokovic to win in four sets

The bookies all seem to believe this will be a landslide victory for Djokovic, but I’m not too sure about that.

Novak Djokovic’s route to the Australian Open semi-finals has not been without hiccups, as the Serbian dropped sets against Denis Shapovalov and Daniil Medvedev, but this is generally the period when he tightens his game, with the finish line within reach. The world No. 1 has a phenomenal record in Australian Open semi-finals, winning all six he has previously participated in. In fact, every time Djokovic has made the semi-finals of the Australian Open, he has gone on to win the title. Also, the world No. 1 is on a 19-match winning streak in Grand Slams, having captured the Wimbledon and US Open titles last year. That is the magnitude of the task before Lucas Pouille- a first-time Grand Slam semi-finalist- on Friday.

Djokovic is a heavy favourite to maintain his perfect record in Australian Open semi-finals- and while I, like almost everyone else, expect him to win, I think Pouille will give him a good game, and possibly take a set off the Serbian. Interestingly, this will be the first ever meeting between the pair. 

I’ve always believed that Lucas Pouille is top-ten quality. While he doesn’t have any stand-out strengths, he doesn’t have any major weaknesses either. He serves very well, and at very good speed too, move well, is comfortable on both wings, and is very good at the net as well- he is a shot-maker. The one problem he had over the past year was a poor mental state, and he did admit after his quarter-final victory over Milos Raonic that it got to a period last season when he stopped enjoying the game. However, the addition of Amelie Mauresmo to his team seems to have re-galvanized him, and he is back playing the sort of tennis that took him to Wimbledon and US Open quarter finals in 2016, and a top-ten ranking in early 2018. That year, he beat Juan Martin del Potro and Tomas Berdych at Wimbledon, and took out Rafael Nadal in five sets at the US Open, so he knows how to win big Grand Slam matches. That’s how good he is when he is confident and playing well, which appears to be his current state at the moment.

Pouille obviously needs to play very close to his best, with belief and freedom, to make this competitive, but Djokovic is the master of these big matches and should come through in four sets.

Novak Djokovic vs Lucas Pouille - Djokovic and Pouille to play over 30.5 Games

Regardless of whatever happens on Friday, I don’t think Pouille is going to get a beat down from Djokovic- just like I have established above- which is why Over 30.5 games at 5/6 @Ladbrokes looks very generous. 

Kristina Mladenovic/Timea Babos vs Sam Stosur/Shuai Zhang (Women's Doubles final) - Mladenovic/Babos to win

Aussie favourite, Sam Stosur has delighted the home fans with her run to the women’s doubles final, along with partner Shuai Zhang, but that run will likely come to an end when they take on defending champions, Kristina Mladenovic and Timea Babos. Second seeds, Mladenovic and Babos reunited in 2018 to very good effect, winning the Australian Open title, Birmingham and the WTA Finals in Singapore. They also reached the final of the US Open, where they fell to Ashleigh Barty and Coco Vandeweghe despite holding match point. They have dropped just only one set in reaching a second straight Australian Open final, and they go in as the favourite against the Stosur-Zhang combination on Friday.

While Stosur is a former doubles No. 1, and a two-time women’s doubles champion, having partnered with Lisa Raymond to win the US Open in 2005 and Roland Garros in 2006, this is her first Grand Slam final with Zhang as partner, and just their third tour-level final overall. It hasn’t been the most prolific pairing.

Mladenovic and Babos won their only previous meeting with the Stosur-Zhang team at the 2018 US Open, and form and history is on the side of the French-Hungarian combination yet again, as they target their second Grand Slam title together.

* Odds correct as of 12.20pm GMT on Thursday January 24. 

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Australian Open 2019 betting tips: Best bets for Day 12 Down Under

Daily Australian Open predictions and betting tips here - the best bets for Friday January 25.

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