No spam ever. Unsubscribe in one click. By submitting your email address you certify that you are over 18, agree with our Terms & Conditions and indicate your consent to receiving email messages from us

This website uses cookies to ensure you get the best experience on our website. Learn more

New South Wales v Queensland State of Origin Game 1 Betting Tips - NSW to win tight encounter

  • NSW and QLD resume hostilities on Wednesday night
  • Maroons won nine of last 10 series
  • Blues name four debutants, QLD name two
New South Wales and Queensland collide once again on Wednesday night (credit:Credit by bettingpro)

New South Wales and Queensland write the next chapter of State of Origin’s illustrious 35-year history when they take to the field for the 2016 opener on Wednesday, June 1.

Bet on & watch State of Origin Game 1 live online at bet365 > livestreaming > rugbyleague from 11:00 BST on Wednesday, June 1

Queensland reclaimed the State of Origin shield in emphatic fashion last year, demolishing NSW 52-6 at Suncorp Stadium in Game 3. It was the biggest winning margin in Origin history.

One of the most captivating rivalries in all of Australian sport resumes on Wednesday night as bitter rivals New South Wales and Queensland lock horns in the 35th State of Origin series.

There was a time when the two sides couldn’t be split - however Queensland’s unprecedented dominance over the last decade, which included a record eight straight series wins from 2006-2013, has seen the Maroons take a commanding 18-12 lead in the overall series won since 1982. NSW briefly recaptured the shield in 2014, but QLD swiftly returned to the winners circle last year, absolutely obliterating the Blues in the decider.

Queensland have been so stable and solid throughout the last decade, rarely tinkering with their team and keeping faith and showing loyalty to the players that have done the job previously. Six of their players from their 2006 triumph - Johnathan Thurston, Cameron Smith, Sam Thaiday, Nate Myles and Matt Scott - are all still running around for the Maroons today, while only one player from NSW - captain Paul Gallen - remains from that series a decade ago. NSW have chopped and changed their side every year and have so far failed to find a model of consistency in which to build a solid foundation. Their biggest problem area is obviously the halves, with coach Laurie Daley again opting for a brand new combination, selecting debutant Adam Reynolds and veteran James Maloney.

Scoring points has long been a struggle for NSW - they simply don’t possess the creativity and spark to match that of Thurston and Cooper Cronk. Even when they won the series in 2014, the most points the Blues scored in the three games was 12. A Trent Hodkinson try and conversion was enough for them to win the series 6-4 in Game 2 on that occasion. As a result, pressure builds on their defence - if NSW leak too many points early, the game is virtually out of their reach before it really begins. Are Reynolds and Maloney really the answer for more points and creativity? The jury is out on that one. Defence is obviously paramount in terms of success for NSW.

Queensland have no such worries in terms of scoring points, especially in Game 3 of series - they’ve combined for 84 points over the last two years compared to just 14 for NSW. Thurston remains at the peak of his powers and on Wednesday will play his 34th straight Origin game, a simply incredible achievement in this contemporary age. He will be running around with familiar faces yet again, with winger Corey Oates and centre Justin O’Neill the only Queensland players making their Origin debuts in Game 1.

By contrast, Daley has selected five Origin debutants in his 19-man squad, with four set to start on Wednesday night. Matt Moylan will add some much-needed ball-playing spark at fullback, while his Penrith teammate Josh Mansour will line up on the wing. Reynolds forms a combination alongside Maloney in the halves, while Dylan Walker was a surprising choice for the utility bench spot.

Prediction:

If NSW are going to be triumphant in 2016, an opening win at home is pretty much essential. The Blues hold the edge over QLD at ANZ Stadium in recent meetings, with the Maroons winning just two of the last six matches. A 3-0 series whitewash hasn’t occurred since 2010, illustrating that despite their continued hardships and their thumping in the last game, NSW are making progress, while there’s a definite argument for the Maroons side to be getting on with age. It’s hard to see the Blues recovering from dropping the first game with a trip to Suncorp to come, so I’m going to back NSW to put up a defensive wall and come away with a narrow victory.

Recommended Bet:

Back New South Wales -2.0 @ 10/11 SkyBet


Sports BETS United States
Change Location

*Terms & Conditions apply. Gamble Responsibly. 18+.

Share this with your friends

To:
From:
Your comments:

New South Wales v Queensland State of Origin Game 1 Betting Tips - NSW to win tight encounter

New South Wales and Queensland write the next chapter of State of Origin’s illustrious 35-year history when they take to the field for the 2016 opener on Wednesday, June 1.

Read more »

You have unread messages

You have unread messages