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Tuesday horse racing betting tips: Natural Scenery can win again at Newcastle

Brian Healy 13 Feb 2017
Fontwell is one of three meetings going to post on Tuesday.

Brian Healy gives his Tuesday 14 February horse racing tips and best bets for the day's UK meetings from Fontwell, Newcastle and Ayr.


A relatively low-key Tuesday schedule which plays host to a further three-fixture line-up of horse racing meetings.

The day’s jumps racing action comes from the cards at Fontwell and Ayr; while on the all-weather there is racing going to post at Newcastle.

Fontwell (jumps) – 2.00 – 4.30pm (6 races)
Newcastle (flat, aw) – 2.10 – 5.10pm (7 races)
Ayr (jumps) – 2.20 – 4.50pm (6 races)

FONTWELL


(2.30) KAYF ADVENTURE (Evens, Bet365) had the smart Knockgraffon behind when winning a Warwick bumper on only his second racecourse start, and the Kayf Tara gelding went well for a long way on his return from a lengthy absence to finish third behind leading Supreme Novice Hurdle fancy Neon Wolf at Exeter on New Years’ Day.

Philip Hobbs’ charge is fully entitled to build on that outing in which he showed an aptitude for hurdling, and with the form significantly franked he could prove hard to beat if he does improve for the run.


Not Another Muddle (right) can score at Fontwell on Tuesday.

(3.00) MIDTECH VALENTINE (11/4, Bet365) failed to beat a rival on her chase debut at Doncaster in December; but that race was much stronger than the one she finds herself in now, and with the benefit of that experience under her belt, the Act One mare can do better.

Ian Williams’ charge didn’t have a cut at her fences, jumping ponderously and eventually finishing some 25 lengths off the winner; but she is a multiple winner over hurdles and may have some scope to improve based on her form over the smaller obstacles.

Assuming she has learned from her chase debut, she should put on a much better show this time around, and it wouldn’t come as a surprise if she were to go close here back in an easier grade.

2.00 – Brown Bear
2.30 – Kayf Adventure
3.00 – Midtech Valentine
3.30 – Not Another Muddle
4.00 – Leg Lock Luke
4.30 – Reel Leisure

NEWCASTLE


(3.10) NATURAL SCENERY (7/4, Bet365) has shown good form on the all-weather, winning at Wolverhampton on her return from a break back in October and making the frame on two further runs prior to resuming winning ways here last month.

The Godolphin runner won a shade cosily last time from Masterpaver, who reopposes here; but the Dubawi filly shaped as if she would get further, and so stepping up in trip could unlock further improvement.

2-2 under Josephine Gordon, the pair combine again for this latest run; while 2lbs worse off with Richard Fahey’s charge there could be plenty of progress still to come over this longer distance, and she can confirm that form here.


Josephine Gordon can steer Natural Scenery to another Newcastle success.

(3.40) SPINWHEEL (7/4, Bet365) is by far the least exposed of these rivals, and Mark Johnston’s Pivotal filly can follow up her last-time win over course and distance.

She has looked a progressive sort since making her debut at Lingfield in December, and she posted a potentially smart performance last time to beat Hotfill by two lengths readily. That victory has been met by a 5lbs rise in the weights which doesn’t look harsh, and she remains the one to beat taking on a relatively exposed field of rivals in receipt of weight all round.

2.10 – Tred Softly
2.40 – Taopix
3.10 – Natural Scenery
3.40 – Spinwheel
4.10 – Russian Soul
4.40 – Bloomin Lovely
5.10 - Burtonwood

AYR


(3.20) PLUS JAMAIS (4/1, Bet365) is without a win in almost two years, and the Caballo Raptor gelding often finds one or two too good; but he rarely runs a bad race, and this could be the day for Ian Jardine’s charge to register a long-overdue return to the winners’ enclosure.

All three of his career wins have come over this course, and he has made the frame on all four starts for his new handler this term, including when beaten just a head behind Rowdy Rocher over fences here last month.  That was over a shorter trip than this, but he gets this far and he has finished third on each of his last two hurdles starts which include off this mark.

Trip and ground are no issue again, and he can expected to give his running once more so no surprise if he were to remain competitive, and he can get back to winning ways.


Jockey Brian Hughes can get amongst the winners at Ayr.

(3.50) MUMGOS DEBUT (6/5, Bet365) looked set to resume winning ways when departing at the last at Uttoxeter where he would have beaten subsequent Wetherby winner Special Wells; and if none the worse for that mishap, Lucinda Russell’s charge can get back on the scoresheet.

A dual-winner earlier in the season at Hexham and Bangor, his run in a muddling race at Uttoxeter in November can be discarded as he possibly failed to stay; and having been dropped in trip last time he held a commanding lead over the last only to fall.

Given a break in the wake of that fall, the Royal Anthem gelding can gain compensation despite being raised a further 8lbs, and with the potential for further improvement he could still be fairly treated.

2.20 – McGinty’s Dream
2.50 – Elusive Theatre
3.20 – Plus Jamais
3.50 – Mumgos Debut
4.20 – Special Catch
4.50 – Uncle Alastair


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Tuesday horse racing betting tips: Natural Scenery can win again at Newcastle

Brian Healy gives his Tuesday 14 February horse racing tips and best bets for the day's UK meetings from Fontwell, Newcastle and Ayr.

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