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Balding's 13/8 chance to get off the mark? Get Tuesday 18 June horse racing tips

Brian Healy 18 Jun 2019
Brighton are racing on Tuesday. (credit:John Walton/EMPICS Sport)

Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for Tuesday's UK and Irish horse racing tips.

The opening day of the 2019 Royal Ascot Festival spearheads Tuesday’s fixture list of horse racing action, and day one features three Group Ones with the opening Queen Anne Stakes joined on the roster by both the King’s Stand Stakes and the St. James’s Palace Stakes.

There is further flat racing action in the afternoon from Thirsk, while Stratford race over jumps.

In the evening, both Beverley and Brighton go to post on the level, while at Sligo in Ireland there is further racing on the flat,

Thirsk (flat) - 1.40 - 5.45pm (8 races)
Stratford (jumps) - 2.20 - 5.20pm (6 races)
Ascot (flat) - 2.30 - 5.35pm (6 races)
Sligo (flat) - 5.40 - 8.40pm (7 races)
Brighton (flat) - 5.50 - 8.50pm (7 races)
Beverley (flat) - 6.30 - 9.00pm (6 races)

TUESDAY 18 JUNE NAP SELECTION


THIRSK


(2.45) FINAL FRONTIER (5/1, Coral) posted her last success when wining a Group Three at the Curragh for Jessica Harrington, but the Dream Ahead gelding has struggled to get anywhere near that level since for Clive Cox and now Ruth Carr.

He hasn’t looked at all in love with the game in a handful of starts since joining this yard, but the application of blinkers ahead of his latest outing appeared to sharpen up his act and he subsequently finished four lengths’ fourth behind Miss Sheridan at Pontefract last month.

His task now is back up that run, but the blinkers are retained and the handicapper has handed him a further 3lbs drop in the rating. The lesser distance here could be in his favour, and effective in the ground he could be capable of better still so every chance he can go close here.

(3.20) PENNSYLVANIA DUTCH (7/2, Totesport) has thrived following wind surgery, winning four of five starts which includes at Goodwood latest where the Dutch Art gelding ran out a neck winner over Fantasy Keeper.

His sole defeat during his current good recent spell came in a stronger race at this venue in May where he finished down the field behind Muscika; but he quickly bounced back and a 5lbs penalty may not be enough to prevent him from going close again if he turns up in the same form.

The form of that recent Goodwood success has been boosted by the runner-up winning since, and every chance he can continue his hot streak to go in again.

1.40 - Cece Ceylon
2.10 - The Stalking Moon
2.45 - Final Frontier
3.20 - Pennsylvania Dutch
3.55 - Alkaraama
4.35 - Follow Intello
5.10 - Loolwah
5.45 - Shepherd’s Purse


STRATFORD


(3.30) LOCK’S CORNER (11/4, Coral) hasn’t matched the form of his debut runner-up effort over hurdles in a pair of subsequent starts, but it is too early to write off Jonjo O’Neill’s charge who could take a big step forward now his sights are switched to handicapping.

The Gold Well gelding was a winner between the flags for Colin Bowe prior to being bought for a significant sum. He has yet to justify the lofty pricetag, but he still has the potential to do better and his opening mark doesn’t look unduly harsh.

He may not have been suited by Warwick on each of his last two starts, and this flatter and sharper track might see him in a better light. He is worth another chance, and he can go well.

2.20 - Valse Au Taillons
2.55 - Old Harry Rocks
3.30 - Lock’s Corner
4.05 - Ronava
4.45 - Adjutant
5.20 - Our Jerry

ASCOT


(2.30) Original selection Zabeel Prince misses out, so the pick for the Royal Ascot opener switches to Karl Burke’s LAURENS (7/1, Coral) who should strip fitter for her recent defeat behind the reopposing Mustashry in the Lockinge Stakes.

The Siyouni filly progressed at a rate of knots last campaign, winning four Group Ones which included defeats of Alpha Centauri and Happily to win the Matron Stakes and Sun Chariot Stakes respectively prior to finishing down the field in the QEII Stakes over course and distance on Champions Day.

That run might have been a case of one run too many, while the soft ground wouldn’t have been to her liking and she can be excused that outing.

She travelled powerfully for a long way at Newbury on her reappearance, but lack of a previous run told towards the end and she couldn’t match the winner who had had the benefit of an earlier outing. She kept on well though to hold off Accidental Agent - who won this race twelve months ago - and she ought be much sharper now with a run under her belt.

The drying ground will be in her favour, and she has won on good-to-soft ground previously so there ought not to be any concerns over the ground; she can build on her reappearance to get back on the scoresheet here.

(4.20) The John Gosden yard has won two of the last five renewals of this race, and while Too Darn Hot is the stable’s main hope to win this prize, it could transpire than another of the stable’s runners in KING OF COMEDY (5/1, Totesport) could have the last laugh on his Classic rivals.

The Kingman colt is 3-4 in his career, winning on debut at Sandown and then finding only one too strong next time at Redcar where he might have been inconvenienced by the soft ground behind I Could Do Better in the Two-year Old Trophy.

A winner at Yarmouth on his reappearance, beating Land Of Legends, he improved for the run to win a Sandown Listed contest in good fashion from Roseman although he still looked to be in need of the experience given how he carried his head under pressure and he looked awkward.

That field also included the likes of the well-regarded Sangarius from Sir Michael Stoute’s yard, and Walkinthesand from the Richard Hannon camp so while the form may not quite prove up to Classic standard, it was nontheless a strong performance from the three-year old given he still looked very immature.

He can only continue to improve for more experience, and he could prove to be a potentially top-class prospect in time. Of course, he has to raise his game again stepping up from a Listed contest to a white-hot Group One contest against his stablemate and the likes of Phoenix Of Spain; but it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him find more for his top yard and further progression could well see him firmly in the mix for this top prize.

2.30 - Laurens
3.05 - Guildsman
3.40 - Blue Point
4.20 - King Of Comedy
5.00 - Coeur De Lion
5.35 - Mountain Angel

SLIGO


(6.40) ASPEN BELLE (13/8, Totesport) produced a career-best effort to get back on the scoresheet at Cork four days ago, and turned out quickly under a penalty Patrick Martin’s charge could strike again.

The Roderic O’connor mare ran out a near-five lengths’ winner over Bailly, making most and forging clear for a ready success, and a 6lbs penalty may not prove enough of a burden to prevent a follow-up if he arrives here none the worse for those exertions and in similar form.

She could well prove to still be well-treated despite her additional weight burden, and she could be hard to catch again if granted another soft lead.

(8.10) Having looked in need of the run on his return from six months off, MAUNGANUI (7/2, Coral) stepped up on that run to finish three lengths’ third behind Royal Admiral at Cork last month, and Jarlath Fahy’s charge can get off the mark here.

That was a career-best effort by the Lord Shanakill gelding, and the handicapper might have given him a chance by dropping him 2lbs in the ratings. He has been placed over this trip in three of six attempts, and the four year old could go close with a repeat of that latest effort.

This doesn’t look a particularly strong race and so represents a decent opportunity for him to open his account; he could well do so, and he remains capable of better on the back of his recent good runs in defeat.

5.40 - Grove Hill
6.10 - Check My Pulse
6.40 - Aspen Belle
7.10 - Teddy Boy
7.40 - Third World
8.10 - Maunganui
8.40 - Getaway Katie Mai

BRIGHTON


(6.20) WHEN COMES HERE (13/8, Coral) has ran well on both career starts to date, finding only Firepower a half-length too strong at Salisbury on debut and then finishing fourth behind Repartee at York in a much stronger race next time.

Andrew Balding’s charge sets the standard on those two runs, and he was possibly made too much use of last time. However, he can improve on those runs and this is an easier assignment than the one he took in last time.

The Lawman colt could prove a tough nut to crack if progressing again as expected, and he can get off the mark at the third time of asking.

(7.20) BRING US PARADISE (9/2, Totesport) had looked only moderate in a handful of starts last term, failing to trouble the judge in any of his five outings and finishing nearer last than first each time with the exception of his final start of the campaign at Newmarket behind Al Fajir Mukbile where the Zoffany gelding finished sixth of 14 runners.

Tony Carroll’s charge however stepped up markedly on those runs when returning from almost eight months off the track to find only Sir Busker too strong at Goodwood earlier in the month, and he escapes any rise in the weights following that outing so he could go well here with a repeat from the same mark.

Of course he’ll have to show that he can back up that performance now, but if he does then he could go one better here.

5.50 - Essaka
6.20 - When Comes Here
6.50 - Shamshon
7.20 - Bring Us Paradise
7.50 - Funny Man
8.20 - Imbucato
8.50 - Warning Fire

BEVERLEY


(7.00) Only three runners, but this is likely to develop into a match between ORNATE (6/5, Coral) and Final Venture, with the first-named taken to land the spoils.

Derek Griffiths’ Bahamian Bounty gelding has won two of his last four starts, which includes the Epsom Dash latest where he more or less made all the running and had enough in reserve to hold off some useful challengers.

He has only been raised 4lbs for this latest run, but in such a small field scenario he could well be allowed to set his own pace up front and he could be hard to catch as a result, although likely prevailing soft ground won’t be ideal.

Nonetheless, he could dominate his two rivals here, and he is taken to follow up that latest success.

(7.30) KILHABA LADY (7/1, Coral) has won two of her last three starts, and Nigel Tinkler’s charge can follow up her latest win over course and distance where the Elnadim mare ran out a half-length winner over Dark Devil.

She did well there to overcome a slow start, appearing to win a shade readily and a 3lbs rise in the weights may not prove enough of a hindrance to stop her from going in again.

Proven on softer ground, the drop back to one mile may not prove too much of an inconvenience and it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see her going close here.

6.00 - World Title
6.30 - Arctic Ocean
7.00 - Ornate
7.30 - Kilhaba Lady
8.00 - Ironclad
8.30 - Zihaam
9.00 - Whatwouldyouknow


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Balding's 13/8 chance to get off the mark? Get Tuesday 18 June horse racing tips

Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for Tuesday's UK and Irish horse racing tips.

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