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Thursday, November 29 horse racing betting tips: Webber's 15/8 chance can strike at Warwick

Brian Healy 29 Nov 2018
Warwick is one of six UK and Irish horse racing meetings going to post on Thursday. (credit: GettyImages)

Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all of Thursday's UK and Irish horse racing meetings.

Six meetings head to post for Thursday’s fixture list of horse racing action, and there is afternoon jumping from the cards at Warwick, Ayr and Taunton, as well as Thurles in Ireland.

On the all-weather meanwhile, there are evening fixtures at Kempton and Chelmsford under the floodlights.

Warwick (jumps) - 12.05 - 3.20pm (7 races)
Ayr (jumps) - 12.10 - 3.30pm (7 races)
Thurles (jumps) - 12.15 - 3.35pm (7 races)
Taunton (jumps) - 12.25 - 3.45pm (7races)
Kempton (flat, aw) - 4.30 - 8.00pm (8 races)
Chelmsford (flat, aw) - 5.45 - 8.45pm (7 races)

THURSDAY 29 NOVEMBER NAP SELECTION


WARWICK


(12.35) BARBADOS BLUE (6/4, Coral) bolted up in a bumper contest here in May, readily coming some 15 lengths clear of her field and looking a very bright prospect in the process.

Nicky Henderson’s Getaway filly switches her attentions to hurdling for this latest outing, and she is sure to have been well-schooled in preparation for this outing. 

She could prove herself to be a very smart sort, and she can make a winning debut over obstacles here.

(1.45) CARRIGMOORNA MATT (10/1, William Hill) lost his way in Ireland following a Killarney win back in May 2017, but some of his efforts over fences saw him mix it with the likes of Al Boum Photo and Invitation Only.

Now with Neil Mulholland, the Westerner gelding finished fifth of six runners over hurdles behind Mia’s Storm at Uttoxeter on his return; but he probably needed that outing and he is likely to strip fitter now.

Cheekpieces are reapplied ahead of this latest outing, and he could have more to offer for his shrewd yard.

Richie McLernon can steer Younowell to Warwick success.


(2.15) YOUNOWELL (15/8, William Hill) found improvement for a longer trip on her second start in a handicap, readily beating Lamh Ar Lamh at Plumpton earlier in the month, and the Gold Well mare can follow up here.

Peter Webber’s charge was returning from six months off the track when posting that success, and she could have more to offer despite a 6lbs rise in the weights. 

Assuming this drop back in trip doesn’t present a problem, she can build on that success to strike again. 

12.05 - Redzor
12.35 - Barbados Blue
1.10 - Windspiel
1.45 - Carrigmoorna Matt
2.15 - Younowell
2.50 - Sounds Of Italy
3.20 - Twist

AYR


(12.45) PETERS COUSIN (2/1, Paddy Power) went the wrong way following a debut win in a Carlisle bumber last October, but Nicky Richards’ charge could be worth giving another chance to following a promising first try over hurdles at this venue earlier in the month.

The Presenting mare was beaten seven lengths on that occasion behind a potentially useful rival, but she had pulled clear of the rest of the field and with the potential to find further improvement in this discipline then she can go one better with a repeat.

(1.20) NICEANDEASY (9/2, BetVictor) hinted that he could be a useful sort when racking up a hat-trick of wins in bumpers and over timber last year, but following an unseat at this venue in January things didn’t go as hoped for Keith Dalgleish’s charge.

Runner-up at Catterick next time, he disappointed in a stronger race back there in Feburary when beating only one horse home behind Planet Nine, although he may have been stretched by the longer trip.

Back at a more suitable distance for his return to action, he was a winner first time-up twelve months ago, and it is possible still that there could be more to come from the Kalanisi gelding.

12.10 - Buster Valentine
12.45 - Peters Cousin
1.20 - Niceandeasy
1.55 - Beau Sancy
2.25 - Uppertown Prince
3.00 - Choochoobugaloo
3.30 - Vinnie Lewis

Ayr are racing on Thursday.


THURLES


(12.50) FAIRYMOUNT BOY (9/4, Coral) has made the frame in each of his last three starts, and Michael Hourigan’s charge can get back on the scoresheet here.

The Beneficial gelding was a winner at Downpatrick back in June, and he has been largely consistent since, latterly being beaten only a half-length behind Jaunty Thor at Thurles on his latest outing.

Perhaps not the heartiest of battlers when it comes to his finishing effort, he has the services of Davy Russell for this outing, and he could be kidded into pulling out a win despite being raised 3lbs in the weights.

(2.00) Having run to a high standard in bumpers in past seasons, SASSY DIVA (3/1, William Hill) has proven herself to be a smart performer over hurdles, finding the frame in strong maiden contests at Navan and Fairyhouse behind A Hardy Nailer and Martello Park respectively.

Shane Crawley’s Kalanisi mare got off the mark over timber at the third time of asking when beating Peters Cousin at Ayr earlier in the month on her return from a ten-month layoff, and she can build on that effort to follow up here.

She ran out an easy seven lengths’ winner latest, and she sets the standard on her runs to date; she can strike again if the forecast quicker ground doesn’t prove an inconvenience.

12.15 - Sir Carno
12.50 - Fairymount Boy
1.25 - Eclair De Beaufeu
2.00 - Sassy Diva
2.30 - Extrapolate
3.05 - Lleyton
3.35 - Scotch Quay

TAUNTON


(1.00) COOLE WELL (6/1, BetVictor) shaped well last term in a couple of bumpers for Ben Pauling, and now with Jamie Snowden the Gold Well gelding can get off the mark.

The five year old cost connections six figures out of the Irish point-to-point sphere, and having finished third in a Newbury bumper back in January he was far from disgraced next time when finishing fifth to Sevarano at Kempton in an other bumper.

He has since had wind surgery ahead of this first try over hurdles, and he could find some improvement for the switch. His form in bumpers affords him plenty of respect, and no surprise to see him going close here.

(2.40) HIGH COMMAND (9/2, William Hill) has shaped with some ability in a couple of hurdles outings for Gary Moore, and the High Chaparral gelding can get off the mark at the third attempt.

Fairly useful on the flat for Roger Varian prior to joining this yard, he has made the frame on both outings over timber at Plumpton and Fontwell, although he was no match for Darlac latest.

It is possible though that that longer trip may have stretched him, and he could do better back down in trip; while he looks fairly treated on his handicap debut and there could be better to come from him.

12.25 - Southfield Stone
1.00 - Coole Well
1.35 - Winter Spice
2.05 - Billy Merriott
2.40 - High Command
3.10 - Jonagold
3.45 - Rocket Ronnie

Taunton are racing on Thursday.


KEMPTON


(5.00) LIVVYS DREAM (9/2, Coral) was a winner here in September, beating Decoration Of War, and Charlie Hills’ charge followed up to score again at Windsor the following month with a two lengths’ defeat of The Groove.

The Declaration Of War filly was only narrowly thwarted in her hat-trick attempt under a penalty when denied by less than one length behind C Note at Newmarket latest, but she could bounce back here returned to this track and surface.

Softer ground last time may have proven her undoing, and she turns out here just 1lb higher in the weights so it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see her going close once again.

(6.30) LOTHARIO (7/2, Ladbrokes) may have needed the run back from three months off when finishing sixth on his handicap debut at Windsor in October, but Dean Ivory’s charge stepped up on that return effort when finding only Global Wonder too good here earlier in the month.

The Dark Angel gelding was beaten only a half-length on that occasion, almost overcoming a slow start and trouble in running, and only 2lbs higher in the weights for this outing he can go one better with a repeat effort. 

4.30 - Festival Of Ages
5.00 - Livvys Dream
5.30 - Sezim
6.00 - Manorah
6.30 - Lothario
7.00 - Evening Attire
7.30 - Wall Flower
8.00 - Makhfar

CHELMSFORD


(6.15) HELLO BANGKOK (11/4, Paddy Power) has shaped with ability on all three career starts, and Andrew Balding’s charge can get off the mark here.

The Tamayuz filly finished runner-up on debut at Newmarket back in August, and although she could only finish fifth next time that run came in a stronger race. The form of that run looks strong with the winner since scoring in Listed company, while the third horse home has also posted a win, and the Balding runner can follow suit.

Given too much to do on her return from a short break at Wolverhampton earlier in the month, she remains with potential and could have better still to come; she sets the standard on her form to date and no surprise if she opens her account here.

(7.15) TAUTEKE (9/4, Ladbrokes) may ideally want further than this one mile trip, but Roger Varian’s charge can open her account at the second attempt having ran a promising third on debut at Kempton earlier in the month.

This wide draw isn’t ideal for the Sea The Stars filly, but open to plenty of improvement on the back of that debut effort she could step up for the run to do better and she can make the most of the weight she receives from the boys in what looks a relatively weak affair.

5.45 - Mayyasah
6.15 - Hello Bangkok
6.45 - Ifyoudontmind
7.15 - Tauteke
7.45 - Glory Of Paris
8.15 - True Destiny
8.45 - Appenzeller


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Thursday, November 29 horse racing betting tips: Webber's 15/8 chance can strike at Warwick

Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets across all of Thursday's UK and Irish horse racing meetings.

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