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15/8 chance to be Classy Clonmel winner? Get Thursday 16 May horse racing tips

Brian Healy 16 May 2019

Brian Healy looks ahead to Thursday's horse racing action and gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for every UK and Irish race-meeting.

Six more UK and Irish horse racing meetings go to post throughout Thursday, headed by the second day of the York Dante Festival meeting where the eponymously-titled Group Two Dante Stakes takes centre stage on a racecard which also features the Group Two Middleton Stakes.

Meanwhile, Perth are also racing on Thursday afternoon with a fixture over the sticks.

Thursday’s evening racing action sees a return to Newmarket for a flat racing meeting; while over jumps there is racing action from Fontwell, and also Clonmel in Ireland.

Salisbury (flat) - 1.40 - 5.25pm (8 races)
York (flat) - 1.50 - 5.05pm (7 races)
Perth (jumps) - 2.00 - 5.15pm (7 races)
Fontwell (jumps) - 5.00 - 8.25pm (7 races)
Newmarket (flat) - 5.10 - 8.35pm (7 races)
Clonmel (jumps) - 5.20 - 8.45pm (7 races)

THURSDAY 16 MAY NAP SELECTION



SALISBURY


(2.10) FRISELLA (5/2, William Hill) found only one too good on her debut at Haydock last July, denied a half-length behind Cupboard Love; John Gosden’s charge subsequently was denied by just over one length when finishing third to Firebird Song at Wolverhampton on her next outing where she was returning from five months off.

Having then had a further three months off the track, the Frankel filly got off the mark at the third attempt when stepped up to ten furlongs, beating Copper Rose readily by almost three lengths, and she can improve again switching to a handicap.

This mark doesn’t look unduly harsh on the evidence of that success, and while the form has taken a few knocks she could have more to offer. Likely to improve for her top connections, she appears to need plenty of time between runs, and she returns from a further 70-day absence; nevertheless, she can go well and no surprise if she finds a jolt of progress to go close.

(3.20) INFERENCE (Evens, Coral) wasn’t given too hard a time on debut at Wetherby last month, and John Gosden’s charge can build on the experience to get off the mark at the second attempt.

The Intello filly found only one too good in that first run, beaten less than two lengths behind Fanny Logan, looking as if in need of the outing given she was green throughout. That winner has since placed in Listed company, so the form could prove decent.

Sure to improve for that first run behind a potentially useful rival, she could prove a different proposition now with the run under her belt and it wouldn’t come as a big shock to see her going close here.

1.40 - Welcome Surprise
2.10 - Frisella
2.45 - Humanitarian
3.20 - Inference
3.55 - Eagle Queen
4.25 - Warning Fire
4.55 - Jungle Inthebungle
5.25 - Fieldsman

YORK


(3.00) A cracking renewal of this prize sees Too Darn Hot put his unbeaten record on the line, and John Gosden’s classy star looks the one to beat; but Aidan O’Brien could be the one to end the streak with his JAPAN (11/2, Paddy Power) who looked a high-class performer last term, winning two of his three starts, and the Galileo colt is open to plenty of improvement.

In need of the run at the Curragh on his debut, he stepped up on that performance to register back-to-back wins at Listowel and Naas, the latter of which came when beating Mount Everest by a short-head to win the Group Two Beresford Stakes.

That form is decent although it falls below that of a few of these rivals; but he very much looked in that success as if a stiffer test of stamina would suit, and stepping up to ten furlongs here could unlock significant improvement on his return to action.

He will need to progress if he is lower the colours of the unbeaten Gosden runner who is 4-4; but like the selection she has to prove stamina for this longer trip, and Aidan O’Brien’s charge looks more stoutly bred to see out this extra distance. 

A big run by the Galileo colt wouldn’t come as a surprise, and with the longer trip a potential source of improvement he gets the vote to come out on top here.

(4.35) A few of these have already gained some valuable experience, but it could be worth chancing again on a Godolphin newcomer and STORY OF LIGHT (13/8, William Hill) could provide Charlie Appleby with another debutant winner.

The Dark Angel colt represents a yard that is operating at a near 30% strike-rate, and Team Appleby are 4-7 this season with juvenile newcomers so there is strong reason to be optimistic that this well-bred youngster could enhance that record.

Those that have had the benefit of a previous outing don’t set the bar particularly high, so siding with one of the unraced entrants could be the way to go, and the Godolphin runner certainly catches the eye as a potential first-time up winner.

He has to be respected given the yard’s excellent record in this sphere, and he could prove to be a useful performer.

1.50 - Copper Knight
2.25 - Lah Ti Dar
3.00 - Japan
3.35 - Ledham
4.05 - Soldier’s Call
4.35 - Story Of Light
5.05 - October Storm

PERTH


(3.10) LOAD UP TIME (7/4, William Hill) has run well the last twice here, finding only one too good over three miles when denied by one length behind Shanroe Al C in April, but going one better equipped with a tongue-strap and cheekpieces back at this venue and dropped in trip just two days later.

Gordon Elliott’s charge struck by a half-length over Allduckornodinner, with the pair pulling well clear of the rest; and the runner-up has won since to give the form a boost.

The handicapper has reacted by slapping the Stowaway gelding with an 8lbs rise following that success, but there is every chance that he could have more to offer and he can follow up here.  

(4.15) LEGAL HISTORY (Evens, Bet365) has proven progressive over hurdles since joining David Pipe following a stint on the flat with Ed Walker, making the frame in all starts which include back-to-back wins at Ascot and Exeter under a penalty two starts back.

The Lawman gelding is yet to finish worse than fourth in any of his outings over timber, and he was last seen finishing nine lengths’ runner-up behind Fiesole at Plumpton last month. He didn’t help his chance by jinking badly left and almost unseating his rider, giving up ground and unable to recover; but the form was given a small boost by the winner filling the frame in the Swinton Handicap Hurdle recently.

This is an easier contest than the one he contested last time, and he has only been raised 1lb in the weights so he could still have the scope to defy this rating given he remains open to improvement. He is perhaps worth siding with again to get back on the mark heading back right-handed.

2.00 - Wilhelm Vonvenster
2.35 - Get Out The Gate
3.10 - Load Up Time
3.45 - Bafana Blue
4.15 - Legal History
4.45 - Little Stevie
5.15 - Wild Sam

FONTWELL


(6.05) This looks a decent opportunity for the consistent KIT BARRY (11/10, William Hill) to get off the mark in this sphere, and David Dando’s charge could take plenty of beating.

The Albano gelding has only one finished out of the first three in seven attempts in hunter chases, latterly finishing nine lengths’ runner-up behind Marcle Ridge at Cheltenham earlier in the month.

He bumped into one on that occasion, but these rivals look much more ordinary and he can take advantage of an easier assignment to open his account.

(7.15) Paul Nicholls saddles two of the four runners in this race, and the Ditcheat pair should have it between them with SOUTHFIELD VIC (7/4, William Hill) getting the nod to come out on top at the weights.

The Old Vic gelding has returned from a break in good form, twice finishing runner-up in starts here and at Newbury prior to getting back on the scoresheet at Wincanton latest where he beat Keltus by three lengths.

Natalie Parker has struck up a good rapport with the ten-year old, partnering him to all three of those finishes, and her 5lbs claim can prove invaluable here. The longer trip looks within his scope, and with his stablemate having to bounce back from a poor effort last time, he might be able to take advantage to follow up on that last success. 

5.00 - Follow The Paint
5.30 - Play The Ace
6.05 - Kit Barry
6.40 - Monsieur Gibraltar
7.15 - Southfield Vic
7.50 - Earth Leader
8.25 - O Maonlai

NEWMARKET


(5.45) WHAT A BUSINESS (8/1, Paddy Power) offered something to work with when finding only one too good on debut at Chelmsford last month, and Jamie Osborne’s charge can build on that first run to go one better here.

The Gregorian colt was beaten just over one length behind Copacabana Dancer, not helped by meeting trouble in running; but he finished well once clear and left the impression that was better to come.

Switching to turf here, an extra furlong should suit judging on that debut effort, and likely to improve for the experience he can get off the mark now at the second attempt.

(6.55) C’EST NO MOUR (4/1, William Hill) won four times during the 2017 season, and although he failed to add to his tally during the last campaign he did post several creditable efforts in defeat; his last outing of the season at Doncaster was however disappointing.

Peter Hedger’s Champs Elysees gelding however might have found that run coming too soon following a busy spell of racing, and he went close on his reappearance following a break to find only New Show too strong by three-parts of a length.

That was a creditable performance, where he was run down late in the day by the winner despite him having fluffed the start. He has been raised just 1lb in the weights which still leaves him well-treated on his old winning form, and he won from higher at Epsom when registering his last success.

5.10 - Molly Mai
5.45 - What A Business
6.20 - Gentlewoman
6.55 - C’est No Mour
7.30 - Apparate
8.05 - Holy Kingdom
8.35 - Smile A Mile

CLONMEL


(5.55) TOUCH OF OSCAR (4/7, Coral) remains a maiden over hurdles after three starts, but Joseph O’Brien’s charge can get off the mark here.

The Touch Of Land gelding has shown race by race progress, bettering the result of each prior finish and he latterly got to within a half-length of Trappist Monk at Kilbeggan latest where he was run down late by the winner.

His form to date over obstacles looks hard to oppose, and likely to have further improvement to come he sets the standard in a relatively ordinary race; this looks a decent opportunity for the four-year old to open his account and no surprise if he were to collect.

(7.40) SASSY YET CLASSY (15/8, Coral) found a Listed bumper assignment at Fairyhouse too much of a test back in April; but that was her first run back in almost seven months having won the time before at Listowel.

Gordon Elliott’s charge subsequently built on that run to open her account at the first time of asking over hurdles, running out a narrow winner over Darrens Diamond, and likely to improve for the experience of hurdling, the Gold Well mare could be worth chancing to strike again.

She won despite a mistake at the last hurdle, but she was arguably lucky that the runner-up and third both also made late mistakes; she dug in well though to repel all challengers, and the fifth horse home has won since to give the form a boost.

Likely to have more to offer, she ought to remain competitive and she can win again here.

5.20 - Dualla Time
5.55 - Touch Of Oscar
6.30 - Arizengo
7.05 - Mutadaffeq
7.40 - Sassy Yet Classy
8.15 - Whatsinthecorner
8.45 - Bigbadandbeautiful


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15/8 chance to be Classy Clonmel winner? Get Thursday 16 May horse racing tips

Brian Healy looks ahead to Thursday's horse racing action and gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for every UK and Irish race-meeting

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