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2016 Coronation Stakes tips - Nathra can secure Group One success in Royal Ascot's Friday feature

Brian Healy 16 Jun 2016
  • NATHRA (7/1, Coral) can win Friday's Coronation Stakes.
Nathra can land Friday's Coronation Stakes.

Brian Healy takes a look ahead to Friday's Coronation Stakes, the highlight of the fourth day of Royal Ascot.


The Group One Coronation Stakes headlines the fourth day of the 2016 Royal Ascot festival on Friday, and the top-class fillies’ contest has attracted a strong field of runners.

The one-mile contest has been pencilled in to get underway at 4.20pm as the fourth race on the day’s card, and a field of up to thirteen runners could face the starter for the classy event.



Won in 2015 by the top-class Ervedya, French hopes lie with Jean-Claude Rouget’s Qemah (7/1, Paddy Power) who has won two of her last four starts, scoring in a Group Three contest at Chantilly two runs ago when beating Kenriya in the mud.

The Danehill Dancer filly rounded off last term with a hugely promising run behind Ballydoyle at Longchamp in the Prix Marcel Boussac, and reopposes both and Nathra who also contested that most recent Deauville contest.

All three should go well again, and NATHRA (7/1, Coral) who finished ahead of both those rivals can take this contest. John Gosden’s Nell Gwyn heroine won twice last term in soft ground at Salisbury and Newbury, prior to finding only Minding too strong when her sights were raised in the Dubai Fillies’ Mile.

Beaten around four lengths, the Iffraaj filly made a winning return to action when taking the Gorup Three Nell Gwyn, and the quicker ground back at Newmarket for the Qipco 1000 Guineas perhaps was a big factor in a slightly below run.

However, she bounced back with that solid effort in France, fining only La Cressonniere too strong by one length, but having both Qemah and Besharah behind.

Clearly at her best when the mud is flying, John Gosden’s charge has her ideal conditions here and she can step up again to go close here.


Nell Gwyn heroine Nathra can grind out Group One success on Friday.

Nemoralia (7/1, BetVictor) was impressive when beating Alkuljalah at York in Listed company last month, which was her first run since a pair of big runs in the United States, including when third to Catch A Glimpse during the Breeders’ Cup. 

A dual-winner at Kempton on the all-weather and on turf at Doncaster last term, Jeremy Noseda’s charge is worthy of plenty of respect; however, this considerably slower ground is a concern for the More Than Ready filly, but if she can adapt to these conditions she’ll be sure to be bang in the mix.

So too should Irish 1000 Guineas winner Jet Setting (9/4, Stan James) who has been a real success-story this term, winning three of her four outings which include that Curragh Group One contest where she had Minding behind.

Also a Group Three winner at Leopardstown, beating Now Or Never (20/1, Coral) convincingly, the Fast Company filly has since changed hands for a sum in excess of £1million. Proven in these conditions, Adrian Keatley’s charge sets a stiff standard, and a repeat of her Curragh run would make her very hard to beat.

Alice Springs (12/1, William Hill) finished ahead of Nemoralia at the Breeders’ Cup on her final juvenile start, having previously won at Newmarket last term.

Third to Jet Setting on her return at Leopardstown, Aidan O’Brien’s Galileo filly subsequently finished third to Minding in the 1000 Guineas prior to running disappointingly behind La Cressonniere and Nathra at Deauville on her last outing.


Nemoralia was impressive last time at York, but will he handle the softer ground?

She may be better on a faster surface than she’ll get here, and looks to have a bit to find with a couple of these. Besharah (25/1, Stan James) too will need to raise her game again, despite winning last season’s Lowther.

William Haggas’ charge has been beaten both starts this term, posting a slightly below-par effort on her return to action in the rearranged Fred Darling at Chelmsford, and finished behind Nathra at Deauville last time. While she can give her running, she has work to do to reverse French form with the Gosden horse.

Fireglow (16/1, Bet365) finished fourth in the 1000 Guineas, but bettered that form subsequently when finishing runner-up in the Musidora at York next time behind the impressive So Mi Dar.

Mark Johnston’s charge won three times as a juvenile, including a pair of Listed contests; but she came up short in a trio of Group Three contests, and perhaps falls short of the required standard needed to win a race of this depth.


Fireglow needs to improve markedly on form.

Marenko (25/1, Coral) arrives looking for a hat-trick of wins, following earlier successes at Kempton and Chelmsford in April; however, she was well beaten behind Minding at Newmarket in the Fillies’ Mile on her final start last term, and she looks up against it back up in grade and returning to turf.

Tanaza (20/1, Paddy Power) will need to do a lot better than when down the field in the Irish 1000 Guineas, but she is entitled to progress with that run under her belt. Fourth behind Minding at the Curragh last term in the Moyglare, she could outrun big odds for her master trainer, Dermot Weld, but almost certainly needs to find a fair amount of improvement.

Ashadihan (25/1, Bet365), Czabo (40/1, Paddy Power) and Promising Run (33/1, Boylesport) all look to have plenty on their plate stepping up to this level and are difficult to fancy.

VERDICT


Jet Setting sets a stiff standard, and a repeat of the run that saw her beat Minding in the Irish 1000 Guineas will make her very difficult to beat.

Her price is plenty short enough though, and there may be better value in siding with Nell Gwyn heroine NATHRA (7/1, Coral), who bounced back from what was only a fair effort in the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket on quicker ground to find only La Cressonniere too strong in the D'Essai Des Pouliches at Deauville last month.

John Gosden’s charge is well-suited to soft ground, and open to further improvement she can post a big effort.

Nemoralia is worthy of respect on the back of her impressive return at York last time, but the soft ground is a concern for Jeremy Noseda’s charge, who has yet to encounter a surface this testing.

CORONATION STAKES SELECTION – NATHRA (7/1, Coral)


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2016 Coronation Stakes tips - Nathra can secure Group One success in Royal Ascot's Friday feature

Brian Healy takes a look ahead to Friday's Coronation Stakes, the highlight of the fourth day of Royal Ascot.

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