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Monday horse racing betting tips: 13/8 Lomu can strike again at Ayr

Brian Healy 17 Jul 2017
Ayr's Monday meeting is one of five going to post. (credit: GettyImages)

Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for Monday's UK and Irish horse racing cards.


A new week of horse racing action kicks off with a five-fixture schedule on Monday which takes in afternoon flat racing action from Ayr and Ffos Las; while in the evening there is further action on the level from the cards at Windsor on turf, and from Wolverhampton on the all-weather.

Completing Monday’s schedule of fixtures is a mixed flat and jumps racing card at Killarney in Ireland.

Ayr (flat) - 2.00 - 5.00pm (7 races)
Ffos Las (flat) - 2.15 - 5.45pm (8 races)
Wolverhampton (flat, aw) - 5.40 - 8.40pm (7 races)
Windsor (flat) - 5.50 - 8.20pm (6 races)
Killarney (mixed) - 6.00 - 9.00pm (7 races)

AYR


(2.30) LOMU’s (11/8, William Hill) sole defeat to date came on the all-weather at Newcastle last October, but Keith Dalgleish’s charge quickly resumed winning ways when scoring over this course and distance last month when beating Navarone by a half-length.

The Dandy Man colt had earlier scored at Musselburgh and Hamilton over five furlongs, but he looked well suited by the step up in trip, showing a good turn of foot to swoop late and defy some trouble in running he had sustained earlier. 

Open to further improvement and just 2lbs higher in the weights here, the fourth home in that last success has won since; he can progress again to follow up that course and distance win with further success. 

(3.00) Jedd O’Keefe’s string have been in good form of late, and METISIAN (9/2, William Hill) can follow up his recent success at Doncaster last month with another win.

The Sleeping Indian gelding has improved with each run, and he took is form up a notch on his handicap debut when running out a two lengths’ winner over Majestic Stone, scoring with a bit in hand over the longer trip having raced over five furlongs previously.

He could improve again, and although 6lbs higher in the weights and taking on a slightly stronger contest than the one he won, he can go well again to follow up.

2.00 - French Flyer
2.30 - Lomu
3.00 - Metisian
3.30 - Gerry The Glover
4.00 - Jumira Prince
4.30 - Century Dream
5.00 - Bell Of The Ball


FFOS LAS


(3.15) MAJOR VALENTINE (4/1, Paddy Power) arrives here in good form, having won four of his last six starts which include an early-season hat-trick, and John O’Shea’s charge may have gone off too hard at Newbury last time when fourth behind Madame Bounty.

The Major Cadeaux gelding could still be a progressive type who may have scope to improve from just 1lb higher in the weights, and treated as if still in form he can bounce back here.

Ffos Las are racing on the level on Monday.


(4.45) CLEVER LADY (7/2, William Hill) has been running better than her form figures suggest, and David Evans’ charge posted a solid run when third at Leicester nine days ago behind Miss Osier, beaten just under three lengths.

The Big Bad Bob filly seemed to appreciate the stiffer test here, finishing with running left and hinting that a win of this mark isn’t outwith her ability.

This is a pretty poor race that the Dai Walters-owned filly finds herself in, and if able to build on that last-time effort then she is entitled to go close here.

2.15 - Liva
2.45 - Waqt
3.15 - Major Valentine
3.45 - African Beat
4.15 - Filament Of Gold
4.45 - Clever Lady
5.15 - Kath’s Boy
5.45 - De Vegas Kid

WOLVERHAMPTON


(6.40) It was a decent contest in which DESERT RAIN (11/4, Paddy Power) found herself in at Chester last time, finishing fifth behind Gymnaste; the Invincible Spirit filly had earlier posted back-to-back runner-up efforts at Kempton and Doncaster, and it may be that the longer trip last time was against Saeed bin Suroor’s charge.

Dropping back in trip and fitted with a first-time visor, she makes her handicap debut from a potentially lenient mark, and with Ed Greatrex able to take 3lbs off her back she can improve to get off the mark here.

(8.10) ANNA MEDICI (9/2, Paddy Power) could be a typical handicap improver for Sir Mark Prescott, and the Sir Percy filly is taken to get off the mark at the fourth attempt given her trainer’s record with such types.

She has shown little thus far in a trio of maiden contests, with her best finish coming when sixth behind Cinque Port at Chelmsford back in March. She hasn’t been seen since beating only one home subsequently at this venue but could well prove a different proposition stepped up in trip and making her handicap debut from what could prove a lenient mark.

This isn’t a great race she finds herself in, and if the market speaks her in favour then she has to be respected in a very winnable contest.

5.40 - Society Secret
6.10 - Curtsy
6.40 - Desert Rain
7.10 - Never Say
7.40 - Lewinsky
8.10 - Anna Medici
8.40 - The Amber Fort

WINDSOR


(6.50) RUNNING CLOUD (7/4, Bet365) made an impressive debut when scoring by four lengths at Wolverhampton back in June, and given this isn’t the strongest of races Eve Johnson Houghton’s charge may be able to bounce back from a lesser effort next time at Salisbury where he may have found the softer ground against him.

The Cacique colt has to concede weight this field, but he may prove better back on a quicker surface and given the promise of his debut run he is worth another chance.

Eve Johnson Houghton can saddle a Windsor winner with Running Cloud.


(8.20) CLASSIC VILLAGER (5/1, Paddy Power) was a hat-trick winner for Chris Wall, but the Authorized gelding didn’t match that level of form in three starts for Michael Appleby prior to joining his current yard.

Runner-up on his debut for Dean Ivory on his first start in eight months, he is entitled to build on that run where he tried to make all the running before fading behind Angrywhitepyjamas; likely to strip fitter, he is well treated at the weights back on turf, and no surprise to see him in the thick of things.

5.50 - Secret Soul
6.20 - Awesometank
6.50 - Running Cloud
7.20 - Super Julius
7.50 - Angel’s Quest
8.20 - Classic Villager

KILLARNEY


(6.30) SETTLE FOR RED (13/2, Bet365) is a generally consistent performer, placing several times on the all-weather prior to getting back on the scoresheet when forching a dead-heat with Snoozing Indian at Leopardstown back in June.

David Marnane’s charge subsequently went close at Tipperary next time, beaten two lengths behind Storm Ranger; he had the reopposing Allegio a half-length back in third that day and a 1lb pull at the weights for the latter doesn’t look enough to force a reversal.

The Redback gelding can continue to give a good account, and he should go close in this contest.

6.00 - Lethal Steps
6.30 - Settle For Red
7.00 - Asking
7.30 - Set To Fire
8.00 - Brontide
8.30 - Whoyakidding
9.00 - Sapphire Lady


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Monday horse racing betting tips: 13/8 Lomu can strike again at Ayr

Brian Healy gives his race-by-race selections and best bets for Monday's UK and Irish horse racing cards.

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