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2019 Glorious Goodwood day 2 tips: Tips for the ITV Races on Sussex Stakes day

Lightning Spear winning last year's renewal of the Sussex Stakes. (credit:Adam Davy/PA Archive/PA Images)

Our expert takes a look through the betting for every race on day two of Glorious Goodwood and provides readers with his selections on Wednesday 31st July.

Day two at Glorious Goodwood features just one Group One, with a stellar field set to assemble in this year's Sussex Stakes. Around the feature race there are some big handicaps to enjoy, along with the electrfying Molecomb Stakes sprint.

We've taken a closer look at the four televised races on Wednesday at Goodwood to provide readers with his betting selections.

2019 Glorious Goodwood Day Two Tips

1:50pm Goodwood Unibet Goodwood Handicap (Class 2) 2m4f

Lil Rockerfeller proved he was incredibly well handicapped on the flat when winning this race by 15 lengths 12 months ago. Neil King’s stable star is now 15 pounds higher in the handicap and was showing signs of decline last term. Dubawi Fifty is a classy stayer who has to be respected too, but the recent history of the race won’t fill Karen McLintock with confidence.

Only two of the last ten winners of the Goodwood Stakes were rated north of 90. In fact, only eight horses in the last decade have managed to carry a rating of 90 into the places, so it clearly pays to look for a progressive stayer in the lower half of the weights.

Luke Morris and Sir Mark Prescott are a duo to be feared at the moment and Timoshenko ran a cracker to lower Austrian School’s colours when last seen. While he holds significant appeal, it’s hard to say how well he’ll run after a year off the track, so I’m going to pin my colours on SEINESATIONAL handing local trainer, William Knight a famous victory.

Knight’s four-year-old has been in good form this season, winning two of his five starts off a mark just four pounds lower than his current rating. Seinesational also gained some valuable experience on the track here at Goodwood, running a super race to place third in a two-mile handicap back in May.

The son of Champs Elysses struggled a little on the all-weather last time out, but Knight will have him primed to run a big race here at Goodwood and jockey, Kieran O’Neill has ridden winners for Jedd O’Keeffe and John Gosden in the last couple of days. Knight celebrated an emotional winner when Soto Sizzler struck in the following handicap 12 months ago. Maybe Wednesday is his lucky day!

Next Best – Timoshenko e/w (9/1 Coral)

2:25pm Unibet Handicap (Class 2) 1m4f

There are plenty of talented three-year-old currently entered in this handicap who are worthy of a mention and I going to wait until the final decs are in to finalise my selections. That being said, the one who catches my eye on first viewing is DURSTON, who has won two Class Two Handicap this season and still looks a step or two ahead of the handicapper.

David Simcock’s charge secured some good results during his winless juvenile campaign, finishing a strong second to Surfman before a decent fourth behind London Gold Cup runner-up, Sinjaari. A step up to 14 furlong resulted in a maiden victory in handicap company on his reappearance at Doncaster, a result Durston built on during Chester’s May Festival, flying home from the rear of the field to land an £18k prize.

Lariat is a decent yard-stick and Durston dealt with him comfortably at Chester. The form of his Doncaster victory was boosted too when runner-up, Themaxwecan scored at Ascot last week. Simcock’s colt will be gaining weight on most of his rivals at the head of the market and his preffered waiting tactics could pay dividends around this tight track.

Main Bet – DURSTON e/w (10/1 Coral)
Next Best – To be decided…

3:00pm Markel Insurance Molecomb Stakes (Group 3) 5f

Liberty Beach is the clear form angle here, having followed her fourth in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot with a hugely impressive victory in the Listed Dragon Stakes at Sandown. You can see why Mark Johnston’s filly is the market leader, but favourite’s have a poor recent record in the Molecomb and fourth is the best any filly has managed in the past decade.

Maven will be Wesley Ward’s first ever runner at Glorious Goodwood and the son of American Pharaoh is hugely respected, even under a three-pound penalty for his Group Three win out in France. There are a couple further down the betting worthy of a mention too, but the one I want to side with is SYMBOLIZE.

Andrew Balding’s colt made a good impression when winning comfortably on debut, beating Aroha – who was handed a rating of 100 after finishing fourth in the in the Albany Stakes – without needing to hit top gear. David Probert’s mount was well-backed in the build-up to the Windsor Castle Stakes and looked a likely winner two furlongs from home. Once he hit the front, Symbolize drifted to the left alarmingly and, once Probert had managed to get his mount back on the straight and narrow, Southern Hill had already swept past to claim victory.

If Symbolize had been able to stay straight on the run to the line, then he might be travelling to Goodwood with a Listed title under his belt. Never-the-less, it was still a solid performance and there’s clearly still some room for improvement. Balding’s charge looks the best value bet at 10/1.

Main Bet – SYMBOLIZE e/w
Next Best – Maven (5/2 William Hill)

3:35pm Qatar Sussex Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) 1m

Phoenix Of Spain is one of my favourite horses, but Charlie Hills and his team found a small problem with their Irish Guineas winner after the St James’s Palace Stakes and I’d rather wait until he’s stepped up in trip to back him. Last year’s runner-up, Lord Glitters bounce back to winning ways in the Queen Anne Stakes and you’d be surprised if David O’Meara’s stable star didn’t run his way into the place.

Circus Maximus rewarded Aidan O’Brien for stumping up his supplementary entry at Royal Ascot, powering home late on to beat King Of Comedy and TOO DARN HOT in the St James’s Palace Stakes. Ballydoyle have gone down the same route again, supplementing Circus Maximus into this Group One and he will be a big player once again.

Following his third defeat on the bounce at Royal Ascot, Too Darn Hot returned to form with a bloodless triumph in the Prix Jean Prat out in Deauville. John Gosden’s charge comfortably saw off some decent rivals that day and was showing no signs of stopping as he surged across the line.

Gosden and his team have made plenty of mistakes with last year’s top juvenile – running him over an inadequate trip in the Dante before rushing him back to action in the Irish Guineas. Despite that, Too Darn Hot still managed to place on all three of his starts during a turbulent first half of the season and there were signs in France that the Dewhurst winner is returning to top form. I fancy Too Darn Hot will turn the tables on Circus Maximus and secure another Group One victory.

Next Best – Lord Glitters e/w (10/1 Paddy Power)

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2019 Glorious Goodwood day 2 tips: Tips for the ITV Races on Sussex Stakes day

Our expert takes a look through the betting for every race on day two of Glorious Goodwood and provides readers with his selections on Wednesday 31st July.

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