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NFL Week 5 betting tips: The best prop bets on Week 5 of the 2017 NFL season

Marcas Brennan 7 Oct 2017
Antonio Brown (credit: Keith Allison/Wikipedia)

Marcas Brennan continued his good form of late with four winners last week and the player props expert has a number of bets worth following this weekend.

Carson Wentz over 238.5 Passing Yards

The Arizona defence is a solid unit, backboned by some top class players in Patrick Peterson and Tyrann Mathieu.  But I have been more impressed with their run defence to date as they have just allowed 277 yards to opposing rushers in the opening month. The way to attacking the Cardinals is through the air and both Matthew Stafford and Dak Prescott both enjoyed good outings against Bruce Arians’ men.  Wentz is an excellent QB and this mark should be around the 250/260 yards as he will be forced to throw the ball more often on Sunday.  The Cardinals will exploit the ponderous Eagles secondary which could mean a very high scoring match and it would not surprise me to see the Eagles chasing the game. In three games to date Wentz has surpassed the above mark.

Dez Bryant over 64.5 receiving yards

Dez Bryant came up trumps for us last week and we’re not deserting the controversial wide out as he has another enticing matchup against the Packers secondary on home turf. Bryant caught 5 passes for 98 yards and was targeted a total of 13 times against the Rams.  In four games to date he has been thrown the ball on 40 occasions and there are no doubts he is Dak Prescott’s favourite target. The Green Bay Packers have been burnt by excellent receivers with AJ Green and Julio Jones both having 100+ yard games against them and Bryant should be the next one to find holes in their secondary. 

Marvin Jones over 42.5 receiving yards

Marvin Jones has failed to set the fantasy world alight and has failed to post a 45+ yard stat sheet in four games to date.  So what will change on Sunday? Well in three of them matches he was up against vastly superior secondaries than the Panthers when facing corners like Xavier Rhodes and Patrick Peterson. This week the Lions are up against another tough defence when Carolina comes to town but they are suspect on the outside as the likes of Michael Thomas, Pierre Garcon and Chris Hogan all surpassed the above total. Jones, much like Dez Bryant last week, will enjoy playing at home against a weaker secondary and should easily haul in 5 balls thrown his direction on Sunday night. 

The Giants and Chargers should be the highest scoring match of the weekend and the quandary was what player to follow in the props market with a number of intriguing lines. However, the above line is too low to resist as Keenan Allen’s line should be around 75 yards in my mind. Allen is thrown the ball on average 10 times a match, which offers plenty of opportunities for receptions. He has also surpassed the above mark in three of his four games to date with the only exception being against the dominant Denver Broncos defence in the first game of the season. There will be 40+ points easily scored in this match and it would be no surprise to see the Chargers having to air it out throughout.

Josh McCown over 214.5 passing yards

The name Josh McCown and the price 5/6 will send shivers down the spine of any gambler but this is McCown playing with huge confidence against a deplorable Browns secondary. McCown has passed for over 220 yards in his last two games, leading the Jets to victory in both games and he is sure to be highly motivated playing against the team who released him in the summer.  Cleveland’s secondary has been atrocious in the first four games with opposing receivers exploiting space and running up huge numbers. McCown will be pumped for a big performance against his old team and should take advantage of a terrible pass defence.   

Antonio Brown has a tough matchup this week against a Jaguars defence that has yet to give up over 60 yards receiving to an opposing wide out. However, Brown is an elite player and will be intent on having a huge game after his antics on the side line last week. He is one of the hardest workers in the game and understands the best way to move on from such distractions like childish tantrums are big performances. The above line is down to the fact that the Jaguars corners have been dominating receivers of late. But Brown is on a different level. He is averaging 10 targets per game and will be much closer to the 100 mark than the bookmakers anticipate. 

Le’Veon Bell first touchdown scorer

I’m expecting an explosion of offence from the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field and Le’Veon Bell to be the driving force behind that explosion. The Steelers were very impressive last week against the Baltimore Ravens and they face another tricky test against a strong defensive unit of the Jacksonville Jaguars. However, opposing rushers are gaining over 5 yards per carry against them and this bodes well for the Pittsburgh running back. 11/2 on him nabbing the first touchdown is value.  

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NFL Week 5 betting tips: The best prop bets on Week 5 of the 2017 NFL season

Marcas Brennan continued his good form of late with four winners last week and the player props expert has a number of bets worth following this weekend.

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