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NFL betting tips: Best bets for NFL Week 10

Leigh Copson 11 Nov 2018
Nick Mullens of the San Francisco 49ers (credit: Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)

NFL predictions for Week 10 of the 2018 NFL season. Can the Los Angeles Rams bounce back from their first defeat of the season, and will the New Orleans Saints continue their red-hot run of form? Read on for all of our free predictions and betting tips.

Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers (Friday 01:20 GMT)

This is a fantastic way to kickoff Week 10 of the 2018 NFL season, with two in-form teams going head-to-head. Pittsburgh have overcome a dismal start to the season that saw them go 1-2-1, winning each of their last four games to charge to the summit of the NFC North. Last weekend’s success at divisional rivals Baltimore was easily the Steelers’ biggest victory so far, and everything seems to be falling into shape for them despite the continued absence of Le’Veon Bell. James Connor has proved to be more than a capable fill-in for AWOL Bell, and the defense has really stepped its game after being embarrassed through the first four weeks, with its recent form putting it on the brink of the top 10. Carolina, meanwhile, have also found their groove after a mixed start that saw them go 3-2 through the first five weeks. Cam Newton & Co. have reeled off three straight wins to stay hot on the heels of New Orleans in the NFC South, but the pressure is on them to keep piling up the wins because the Saints are on a roll right now thanks to wins over Minnesota and the Los Angeles Rams. So can the Panthers win here? They are certainly more than capable. While the defense has not been outstanding, it continues to force turnovers and we know that the Steelers can be sloppy when it comes to protecting the football – they have turned the ball over 12 times already this season. This could present Carolina with opportunities to win this one. Pittsburgh are the favourites though and they are the home team here, so if you are backing the visitors you should use the Points Spread to your advantage. If Carolina do come up short on the scoreboard, it will not be by too much. 

New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday 18:00 GMT)

If you did not consider New Orleans the real deal in the NFC prior to Week 9, you should believe in them now. The Saints suffered a shock defeat in Week 1, but since then they have been unstoppable with seven straight wins sending them top of the NFC South and forcing the bookmakers to slash their Super Bowl odds. Their latest victories have come against two of the very best in the league, with Drew Brees & Co. taking down the Vikings in Minnesota before finally ending the Los Angeles’ Rams unbeaten start to the season. Offensively they are firing on all cylinders, averaging 402 yards and just under 35 points per game, and if that talented Rams unit could not match them in a shootout you have to wonder if any team can. Cincinnati did put up 37 points in their final outing prior to their bye week, but everybody seems to beat up on Tampa Bay these days so that is hardly a performance that will have me rushing out to back them here. Do not get me wrong, they are not a bad team, but New Orleans are on a roll right now and I am still kicking myself for not sticking with my initial gut feeling that they would beat LA last weekend. Brees is performing in a way that may finally see him win the NFL’s Most Valuable Player award for the first time in his career, and he is being helped by an outstanding supporting cast in the likes of Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas. They should be far too much for a Bengals defense that ranks 30th in yards given up and 27th in points allowed, so backing New Orleans to win by at least a touchdown is the way to go here.

Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams (Sunday 21:25 GMT)

They say ‘all good things must come to an end’ and that proved to be the case with the Los Angeles Rams’ perfect start to the season. Sean McVay’s team rolled into New Orleans with a perfect 8-0 record to their name last week, only to return home with a ‘1’ in the loss column despite a spirited second half fightback that saw them erase an 18-point deficit to draw level. Nobody within the franchise will be pressing the panic button right now though, and why should they. Jared Goff & Co. were able to generate 483 yards and 35 points in a losing effort so it was hardly a case of that offensive unit being shut down, and while there were a few issues defensively they were trying to contain one of the greatest quarterbacks to ever play the game in Drew Brees, who on his day can rip apart any defense in the league. They come up against another very talented QB on Sunday in Russell Wilson, but unlike Brees the Seahawks signal-caller does not have many weapons at his disposal and that shows in their record. While the defense does rank in the top five for points and yards given up, it has not been the same dominant unit it once was and the offense has struggled to counter that, resulting in the Seahawks being 4-4 going into this game. When they have shone it has been against mediocre opposition and, as we all know, there is nothing mediocre about this Los Angeles team. The Rams ran out 33-31 winners when they visited Seattle earlier this season and I expect them to come out on top on their home turf too. The Seahawks have not lost by more than eight points in any of their four defeats, but the hosts will be determined to put on a show and issue an immediate response to their first defeat of the season, and it is difficult to see Seattle getting anywhere close to matching that offensive output. They are averaging just over 21 points per game on the road this season and that figure is being helped by games against poor opposition like Oakland and Detroit. The Rams, meanwhile, are putting up an average of 34 points per game, never scoring less than 29, and their average winning margin at the Coliseum is just under 14 points. Therefore I expect the Rams to win here, and I expect them to do it in convincing fashion.

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (Monday 01:20 GMT)

With three teams battling it out for top spot in the NFC East this is a massive matchup for both the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles’ defense of the Vince Lombardi Trophy has not gone to plan so far, but at 4-4 they are just one game behind Washington in the division and they do go into this match having registered a much-needed win over Jacksonville in London a fortnight ago. The question is can they now build up some momentum by stringing together some wins over the coming weeks? The good news is that Carson Wentz is seemingly getting back to form after his lengthy spell on the sidelines and capture of Golden Tate from Detroit prior to the trade deadline has only bolstered the weapons at his disposal. Defensively they have been doing a solid job at keeping opponents off the scoreboard too, so if they can continue in this vain they should be able to keep the heat on the Redskins. A divisional defeat to Dallas would send them back to the drawing board though. The 3-5 Cowboys are in desperate need of a victory after losing their games either side of the bye week, with the defeat at Washington being followed up by a desperately disappointing home loss to Tennessee. The defense has been doing its part of the job by ranking second in points allowed through eight game, but offensively they are in dreadful shape with a terrible offensive line making life very difficult for Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott. Dallas have now scored over 20 points in only two of their eight games so far, while on the road they have not scored more than 17 in a single game to average a pathetic 13.5 points per outing away from AT&T Stadium. So when you factor all of that in with them being 0-4 on the road this season, everything points to a Philadelphia victory here.

New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers (Tuesday 01:15 GMT)

This could well be the most unattractive Monday Night Football game of the season with the 2-7 San Francisco 49ers visiting the 1-7 New York Giants. San Francisco thought they were going to transform their fortunes when they inked quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo to a mega-money deal in the off-season, but instead they limped out of the blocks to go 1-2 through their first three games and then lost their starting QB to a season-ending injury during the defeat to Kansas City. Things went from bad to worse as they then lost six straight games with CJ Beathard at the controls, and that resulted in head coach Kyle Shanahan turning to rookie Nick Mullens for the Week 9 meeting with Oakland. Mullens stepped up to the plate and hit a home run as he led the Niners to victory, but let’s not get carried away because he was coming up against a Raiders defense ranking 31st in points allowed and 24th in yards given up. Quite frankly, Oakland stink, but so do the New York Giants and they are next up for Mullens & Co. The Giants do have some quality offensive talent in Saquon Barkley and Odell Beckham Jr, but with Eli Manning in such miserable form they are struggling to make the most of those two gifted players. The mess is not just consigned to the offense though – somebody at the Giants thought it would be a good move trade away Damon Harrison and Eli Apple and that has only served to weaken what can best be described as an ‘average unit’. So can they stop the rot with a victory here? I doubt it. Like I said before, Mullens certainly benefited from coming up against dreadful opposition in his NFL debut so we should not hail him as the second coming, but ultimately the 49ers are probably in better shape than the Giants right now and if the young San Francisco QB was to pick an ideal opponent for a Monday night game, he would have probably picked this one. It is likely to make for ugly viewing, but Mullens will not care if he takes his perfect NFL starting record to 2-0.

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NFL betting tips: Best bets for NFL Week 10

NFL predictions for Week 10 of the 2018 NFL season.

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