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Who will lead English charge at Pebble Beach? Get US Open betting tips

Nigel Seeley 11 Jun 2019
Pebble Beach (credit:USA TODAY Network/SIPA USA/PA Images)

With it being a golf major week the bookmakers have come out with their usual array of special bets for the four days at Pebble Beach, and I am hoping to pin down some value plays from three US Open markets – Top Englishman, Top European and Top Scandinavian.

Top Englishman

I will start with the top Englishman market which only consists of 13 runners, but this looks a really nice betting heat.

This market is headed by 2013 US Open champion and former World number one Justin Rose who on first glance might make some appeal to many at the general 5/2, but think again.

Rose, has been far too inconsistent in 2019 and is way off his best form, although he did card two top 20 finishes in his last four starts, but his major record this year has been way behind what we would expect from the World number four.

Rose admitted to being concerned about his golf game going into The Masters in April and suffered a missed cut at Augusta after two uncharacteristic rounds of 75 and 73 and then at Bethpage Black for the PGA Championship he was in contention going into the weekend, but struggled in the last two rounds to finish in a lowly 29th and the focus is to get himself close to his best for The Open Championship next month and this is an event that may have come a few weeks too early for him.

Next in the betting is Tommy Fleetwood just behind Rose at 3/1 and that looks far too short.

Fleetwood hasn't played much golf since the PGA Championships where he disappointed in a course that should've suited his game in 49th place and with just one previous appearance at Pebble Beach that looks a concern and the short price he for me, is one to put a line through.

Paul Casey at 11/2 is one player that can never be trusted when the money is down.

The 41 year-old despite winning three PGA titles, including success at the Valspar Championship in March has thrown countless winning opportunities away and apart from Augusta, which suits his game he has struggled at both the US Open and PGA Championships and I can't see him coping with these tough conditions.

The man to lead the home challenge and at a general 7/1 which looks a really nice bet is MATT WALLACE.

The 29 year-old will relish the big stage and the opportunity to take on the American's in their own back yard and the ultra-confident Londoner will not be fazed by the challenge, nor the conditions and with major question marks over the leading contenders in this market he looks a stand out wager.

Wallace missed the cut at Augusta, which wasn't really a big surprise as that is not a venue that would suit his game, but in the last major and his last start in the US he produced this best performance of his career to lead the English challenge at the PGA Championships and finish in a share for third spot and in similar conditions to what he faced then and fully rested and focused he knows he can compete with the big boys and I fancy him to fly the flag again.

Other Special Market Bets

A couple of other bets that I like in the special markets are SHANE LOWRY at 16/1 in the top European market with bet365 which looks big as Lowry is striking the ball really well and played some great golf again last week to finish runner-up behind Rory McIlory in Canada which was his third finish inside the top eight in his last four starts on the PGA Tour.

For favourite backers bet365 and William Hills have a top Scandinavian market and HENRIK STENSON should justify favouritism in that at 11/8 with both companies.

This is not a hard heat to win as there are lot of players in this group who are struggling for any current form and given Stenson's experience at Pebble Beach and the fact that he is major winner and in the best form of the year after a eighth place last week in Canada and on the back of some steady performances "The Iceman" should win this fairly comfortably.

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Who will lead English charge at Pebble Beach? Get US Open betting tips

Nigel Seeley picks out his favourite special bets for the 2019 US Open.

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