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Waste Management Phoenix Open 2018 betting tips: 3 from the tee at TPC Scottsdale

Jon Wilde 30 Jan 2018
J B Holmes (credit:Credit by bettingpro)

Bettingpro.com's Jon Wilde provides outright betting tips for the 2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open and a guide on how to bet on this PGA Tour event from February 1-4.

Background to the Waste Management Phoenix Open


The Phoenix Open was inaugurated in 1932 as the Arizona Open and three years later its title was changed to reflect the host city and state capital. It was also known as the FBR Open from 2004-2009 before the current sponsors came on board at the start of the current decade.

Since 1987 the event has been held at TPC Scottsdale on the Stadium Course and is now always scheduled to coincide with Super Bowl weekend, while a four-day attendance of around half a million spectators means it attracts the biggest crowds in the whole of golf.

Four players have won the Phoenix Open on three occasions, including Arnold Palmer and Phil Mickelson who bids to repeat his victories achieved in 1996, 2005 and 2013.

Defending champion Hideki Matsuyama has the chance to emulate Arnie by achieving a three-peat, while J B Holmes is another man aiming to triumph for a third time this year.

Three from the tee


Here are the trio we are backing for the 2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open:

1) J B HOLMES @ 50/1 with Unibet (paying 1/5 odds first 6 places for each-way bets)

J B Holmes (Getty Images)


Some events are absolutely tailor-made for certain golfers (if you’ll excuse the equipment manufacturer pun) and Holmes at the Phoenix Open fits snugly into that category – he triumphed there twice in three seasons for his first PGA Tour victories and then did not enter the winner’s circle again for another six years.

Admittedly he underwent brain surgery in between times, which obviously halted his progress, but this big-hitter is playing well enough now to suggest he can join the elite list of three-time champions at this tournament.

The 35-year-old from Kentucky attracted controversy last week for the inordinate length of time he took over a shot while trying to reach the play-off at the Farmers Insurance Open, eventually missing out by one stroke, but can hit the headlines for more positive reasons this Sunday.

2) JUSTIN THOMAS @ 16/1 with William Hill (paying 1/5 odds first 6 places for each-way bets)

Justin Thomas (Getty Images)


Our pick among the favourites has to be Thomas, who is now undoubtedly one of the world’s very best players after a fantastic 2017 and he looks overpriced here compared to the other market leaders Jordan Spieth, Hideki Matusyama, Jon Rahm and Rickie Fowler.

The US PGA champion does not have a fantastic record in Phoenix, but he was up with the pace throughout in 2015 before an indifferent final round to show he can act on the course and having become such a prolific winner he looks decent value here at almost twice the odds of Spieth.

3) DANIEL BERGER @ 40/1 with BetVictor (paying 1/4 odds first 5 places for each-way bets)

Daniel Berger (Getty Images)


Two top-10 finishes in the last three years mark Berger out as something of a Phoenix specialist and this former college rival of Thomas looks to have a strong chance of faring even better this time and rewarding each-way support.

The recent form is there too because the Floridian already has two top-15s to his credit in 2018 and everything looks in place for him to add to his two PGA Tour wins in the St Jude Classic. 

Course Guide


The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale, co-designed by Tom Weiskopf, is a par-71 layout measuring 7,261 yards and sits at an average elevation of 1,530 feet above sea level, which means it favours big hitters as the ball travels further at such altitude.

Unquestionably the signature hole is the 163-yard par-three 16th, known as ‘The Coliseum’, which is fully surrounded by 20,000 partying spectators who are not in the least bit reticent about making their feelings known about every shot!

Renovated in 2014, the Stadium Course is a public facility which can be booked to play by amateur golfers during the other 51 weeks of the year when the Phoenix Open is not taking place.



Previous winners

Waste Management Phoenix Open results: Past winners of the Waste Management Phoenix Open

YearWinnerScoreTo ParRunner-Up
2005Phil Mickelson267-17Kevin Na/Scott McCarron
2006J B Holmes263-21Ryan Palmer/Camilo Villegas/J J Henry/Scott Verplank/Steve Lowery
2007Aaron Baddeley263-21John Rollins
2008J B Holmes270-14Phil Mickelson
2009Kenny Perry270-14Charley Hoffman
2010Hunter Mahan268-16Rickie Fowler
2011Mark Wilson266-18Jason Dufner
2012Kyle Stanley269-15Ben Crane
2013Phil Mickelson256-28Brandt Snedeker
2014Kevin Stadler268-16Bubba Watson/Graham DeLaet
2015Brooks Koepka269-15Hideki Matsuyama/Ryan Palmer/Bubba Watson
2016Hideki Matsuyama270-14Rickie Fowler
2017Hideki Matsuyama267-17Webb Simpson

Waste Management Phoenix Open in-play betting tactics


Last week, we explained how a slow start was no barrier to success at the Farmers Insurance Open and the point was proven by Jason Day. It is a similar story with the Phoenix Open.

Phil Mickelson, Brooks Koepka, Kyle Stanley, Hunter Mahan and Kenny Perry have all had very ordinary opening rounds before coming through to win, so don’t be put off on Friday morning if a fancy of yours whom you are tempted to back sits way down the standings.

Similarly, third-round leaders have a terrible recent record, even if they have built up a sizeable cushion. Perhaps it’s the pressure of being the focus of attention from the huge crowds, but whatever the reason this is a tournament where someone can easily slip through under the radar on Sunday to snatch the title.

Waste Management Phoenix Open markets


Bookmakers are offering a good range of markets on this tournament including the staples of Winner, Top 5, Top 10 and Top 20 Finish, plus First Round Leader.

Those happy to bet on a single nationality or continent of player can choose from eight such markets including Top Australian, Top European and Top South African. These can be a good way to bet if you fancy a certain player to go well, or at least better than his compatriots, but not necessarily feature right at the top of the leaderboard.

There are also a few special bets on offer including whether there will be a play-off, a hole in one and the margin of victory.

Bookmaker promotions on the Waste Management Phoenix Open


For details of all the ongoing golf promotions available with the bookmakers, click here


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Waste Management Phoenix Open 2018 betting tips: 3 from the tee at TPC Scottsdale

Bettingpro.com's Jon Wilde provides outright betting tips for the 2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open and a guide on how to bet on this PGA Tour event from February 1-4.

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