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Farmers Insurance Open 2018 betting tips: 3 from the tee at Torrey Pines

Jon Wilde 23 Jan 2018
Harris English (credit:Credit by bettingpro)'s Jon Wilde provides outright betting tips for the 2018 Farmers Insurance Open and a guide on how to bet on this PGA Tour event from January 25-28.

Background to the Farmers Insurance Open

The Farmers Insurance Open was inaugurated in 1952 as the San Diego Open, with the name of its southern Californian host city remaining in the title until 1986. Since then, it was known as the Buick Invitational from 1992 until the current sponsors took over in 2010.

Torrey Pines, which staged the 2008 US Open, has been the venue for this tournament since 1968 and both the North and South courses are used, although predominantly the latter as explained in the Course Guide below.

Tiger Woods, who won the aforementioned US Open for the most recent of his 14 Major triumphs, is by far the most successful player in Farmers Insurance Open history with seven victories including four in a row from 2005-08.

After an encouraging return to action at last month’s Hero World Challenge following a third back operation, Woods makes his comeback in a fully-fledged PGA Tour event here.

Local hero Phil Mickelson has three wins and Brandt Snedeker two, and they are also in the field this week.

Three from the tee

Here are the three outsiders we are backing each-way for the 2018 Farmers Insurance Open:

1) HARRIS ENGLISH @ 100/1 with Unibet (paying 1/5 odds first 6 places for each-way bets)

Harris English (Getty Images)

Joint runner-up here in 2015 behind Jason Day and 14th last year, English recorded both of his PGA Tour victories in 2013 but could be set to end the drought soon judging by the way he surged through the pack at the CareerBuilder Challenge.

The 28-year-old Georgian will have gained considerable confidence from shooting three rounds of 68 or better after a disappointing end to 2017 and this looks like an excellent opportunity for him to build on that return to form at a venue he enjoys.

2) BEAU HOSSLER @ 150/1 with BetFred (paying 1/5 odds first 6 places for each-way bets)

Beau Hossler (Getty Images)

Hossler may be a new name to you, but he is a player who will be around for a long time having qualified for the US Open as both a 16 and 17-year-old back in 2011 and 2012. He even finished in the top 30 on the second of those appearances!

The Californian is a major talent who won the Junior World Championship at this venue and after cutting his PGA Tour teeth in a couple of recent events where he performed creditably, this could be the week to get on him at a big price.

3) KYLE STANLEY @ 50/1 with Paddy Power (paying 1/5 odds first 7 places for each-way bets)

Kyle Stanley (Getty Images)

This event has unfinished business for Stanley – he blew a six-shot lead in the final round of the 2012 renewal, eventually losing in a play-off after a triple bogey on the 72nd hole when a double would have sufficed, yet he came out and won the following week!

That was clearly a case of mental frailty as an inexperienced player back then, but Stanley is a more mature competitor these days who won on the PGA Tour last year and having finished in the top 10 on his latest start two weeks ago, he looks set for another bold show at Torrey Pines.

Course Guide

The Farmers Insurance Open is played on two courses at Torrey Pines. Golfers will try to make the cut with one round on each of the North and South courses on Thursday and Friday, and those that are successful then tackle the South twice more at the weekend.

It is a public golf facility sitting on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the La Jolla community of San Diego and was opened in 1957 on what was previously US Army land.

Both courses are par-72 with the South considerably longer, each having the conventional quartet apiece of long and short holes.

The North Course was redesigned by Tom Weiskopf in 2016 with the two nines switched around so that the more spectacular views are now at the end of the round.

Previous winners

Farmers Insurance Open results: Past winners of the Farmers Insurance Open

YearWinnerScoreTo ParRunner-Up
2005Tiger Woods272-16Luke Donald/Charles Howell III/Tom Lehman
2006Tiger Woods278-10Nathan Green/Jose Maria Olazabal
2007Tiger Woods273-15Charles Howell III
2008Tiger Woods269-19Ryuji Imada
2009Nick Watney277-11John Rollins
2010Ben Crane275-13Marc Leishman/Michael Sim/Brandt Snedeker
2011Bubba Watson272-16Phil Mickelson
2012Brandt Snedeker272-16Kyle Stanley
2013Tiger Woods274-14Brandt Snedeker/Josh Teater
2014Scott Stallings279-9K J Choi/Jason Day/Graham DeLaet/Marc Leishman/Pat Perez
2015Jason Day279-9Harris English/J B Holmes/Scott Stallings
2016Brandt Snedeker282-6K J Choi
2017Jon Rahm275-13Charles Howell III/Cheng-Tsung Pan

Farmers Insurance Open in-play betting tactics

Unlike many tournaments, this is an event where you can start slowly and still come through to win – Jon Rahm was seven shots off the pace and below the provisional cut line after the first round last year, the same margin adrift as Brandt Snedeker had been 12 months earlier.

Leading wire-to-wire here has proven impossible over the last two decades or so and Tiger Woods, on two occasions, has been the only second-round leader to go on and triumph. Even being ahead going into Sunday has generally been a disadvantage.

What we are basically saying is that you if plan to have a bet on Friday, Saturday or Sunday morning, do not be afraid to back an outsider at that stage – especially if they are the sort of player capable of getting on a roll and making plenty of birdies.

Farmers Insurance Open markets

Bookmakers are offering a good range of markets on this tournament including the staples of Winner, Top 5, Top 10 and Top 20 Finish, plus First Round Leader.

Those happy to bet on a single nationality or continent of player can choose from four such markets - Top American, Top Australasian, Top European and Top Rest of the World (adding the other non-USA and Europeans to the Australasians).

These can be a good way to bet if you fancy a certain player to go well, or at least better than his compatriots, but not necessarily feature right at the top of the leaderboard.

There are also a few special bets on offer including whether there will be a play-off, a hole in one and the margin of victory.

Bookmaker promotions on the Farmers Insurance Open

For details of all the ongoing golf promotions available with the bookmakers, click here

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Farmers Insurance Open 2018 betting tips: 3 from the tee at Torrey Pines's Jon Wilde provides outright betting tips for the 2018 Farmers Insurance Open and a guide on how to bet on this PGA Tour event from January 25-28.

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