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Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship 2018 betting tips: 3 from the tee plus betting guide

Jon Wilde 16 Jan 2018
Tyrrell Hatton (credit:Credit by bettingpro)'s Jon Wilde provides outright betting tips for the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship and a guide on how to bet on this European Tour event from January 18-21.

Background to the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship

The Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship was inaugurated in 2006 and quickly became the most strongly-contested tournament on the ‘Desert Swing’ of the European Tour which takes place in the early part of the year.

HSBC took over as sponsors in 2011 and their backing has helped this event attract some of the world’s best players, not only from Europe but the United States as well, with the field this time including Dustin Johnson, Justin Rose, Rory McIlroy, Henrik Stenson and Matt Kuchar.

One golfer in particular has an outstanding record in Abu Dhabi, namely former US Open champion Martin Kaymer with three victories to his name – and it really should be four because he astonishingly let slip a 10-shot lead during the final round of the 2015 renewal.

The only other two-time winner is Paul Casey, while McIlroy has finished second on four occasions.

Three from the tee

Here are the trio we are backing for the 2018 Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship:

1) TYRRELL HATTON @ 25/1 with Coral (paying 1/5 odds first 7 places for each-way bets)

Tyrrell Hatton (Getty Images)

A rising English star in Tommy Fleetwood won this event last year and Hatton has a similar profile, for he could be about to step up to elite level as his compatriot did in 2017 following his Abu Dhabi victory.

A back-to-back winner on the European Tour in the autumn, Hatton has finished no worse than 13th on his last five starts in the UAE, rewarding his each-way backers on three of those occasions, and showed up well here last year until letting things slip in the final round.

Now much better at closing the deal as he has proven, Hatton should be there or thereabouts this week.

Rory McIlroy (Getty Images)

As mentioned above, McIlroy is overdue an Abu Dhabi triumph having gone close so often and because he is talking up his prospects following his self-imposed break to rest an injury, we will give him a chance to make good on his optimism.

The Northern Irishman appears to be over the rib problem that was affecting him last year and despite having flagged up a minor heart condition that he says can be managed easily, McIlroy is expected to capitalise on his fondness for this course to get into the mix first time out.

3) DEAN BURMESTER @ 125/1 with SunBets 
(paying 1/4 odds first 5 places for each-way bets)

Dean Burmester (Getty Images)

Desert golf clearly suits this Zimbabwe-born South African, who won the Tshwane Open on the European Tour last season and produced two very encouraging displays in Abu Dhabi and Dubai at either end of the year, finishing seventh and fourth respectively.

There were some encouraging signs after a poor start to his national open last week and this prolific Sunshine Tour victor looks ready to contend at a venue he clearly likes.

Abu Dhabi Golf Club was opened in 1998 and is a par-72 course measuring just under 7,600 yards. There are four par-fives and a quartet of short holes.

The fairways are exposed, flat and narrower than average and water hazards are in play on more than half of the holes.

Various modifications were made to the course ahead of the 2017 renewal including a new elevated tee on the 18th hole which was expected to increase the difficulty, but it actually had the opposite effect because the scoring average improved from the previous year!

Previous winners

Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship results: Past winners of the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship

YearWinnerScoreTo ParRunner-Up
2006Chris DiMarco268-20Henrik Stenson
2007Paul Casey271-17Peter Hanson/Miguel Angel Jimenez
2008Martin Kaymer273-15Henrik Stenson/Lee Westwood
2009Paul Casey267-21Martin Kaymer/Louis Oosthuizen
2010Martin Kaymer267-21Ian Poulter
2011Martin Kaymer264-24Rory McIlroy
2012Robert Rock275-13Rory McIlroy
2013Jamie Donaldson274-14Thorbjorn Olesen/Justin Rose
2014Pablo Larrazabal274-14Rory McIlroy/Phil Mickelson
2015Gary Stal269-19Rory McIlroy
2016Rickie Fowler272-16Thomas Pieters
2017Tommy Fleetwood271-17Pablo Larrazabal/Dustin Johnson

Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship in-play betting tactics

As alluded to in the Background section above, a golf tournament is never over until it’s over and Kaymer’s incredible collapse in 2015 to let in Gary Stal for victory proves that. The German was 1/100 in-running but still found a way to lose!

But that was the exception to the rule and Stal, who trailed by eight shots going into Sunday, was the only one of the 12 previous winners to come from more than three strokes adrift at that stage.

However, a fast start is not as vital here as elsewhere because Paul Casey (2007) and Rickie Fowler (2015) were eight and six shots off the pace respectively after the first round.

Kaymer, incidentally, is not the only big name to have failed to convert when looking set fair to do so. Rory McIlroy, Tiger Woods, Justin Rose and Dustin Johnson have also let outstanding opportunities slip through their fingers within the last six years, so there could be a late twist in the tale again.

Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship markets

Bookmakers are offering a good range of markets on this tournament including the staples of Winner, Top 5, Top 10 and Top 20 Finish, plus First Round Leader.

Those happy to bet on a single nationality or continent of player can choose from 16 such markets including Top Frenchman, Top Swede and Top Rest of the World (non-European). These can be a good way to bet if you fancy a certain player to go well, or at least better than his compatriots, but not necessarily feature right at the top of the leaderboard.

There are also a few special bets on offer including whether there will be a play-off, a hole in one and the margin of victory.

Bookmaker promotions on the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship

For details of all the ongoing golf promotions available with the bookmakers, click here

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Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship 2018 betting tips: 3 from the tee plus betting guide's Jon Wilde provides outright betting tips for the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship and a guide on how to bet on this European Tour event from January 18-21.

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