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Can Hamilton seal sixth world title? Get Mexican Grand Prix betting tips

Leigh Copson 22 Oct 2019

Lewis Hamilton (credit:HOCH ZWEI via Images)

Mexican Grand Prix predictions for the race on Sunday, October 27. The 2019 Formula 1 season continues with the 18th race taking place in Mexico City – but who will be victorious? Read on for our all of our free predictions and betting tips.

Mexican Grand Prix 2019 Predictions

Mexican Grand Prix 2019 Betting Tips Explained

Lewis Hamilton has his first opportunity to seal his sixth Formula 1 world championship at this weekend’s Mexican Grand Prix. The five-time world champion boasts a 64-point lead over the only man who can now deny him the title, team-mate Valtteri Bottas, and with a maximum of 78 points available from the remaining three races after Mexico, Hamilton will become world champion yet again if he collects at least 14 more points than Bottas in Sunday’s race in Mexico City. That means Hamilton will be world champion if one of the following results occurs:

  • Hamilton wins and records the fastest lap while Bottas finishes fourth or worse
  • Hamilton wins, without recording the fastest lap, and Bottas finishes fifth or worse
  • Hamilton finishes second and records the fastest lap while Bottas finishes eighth or worse
  • Hamilton finishes second, without recording the fastest lap, and Bottas finishes eighth, without the fastest lap, or worse
  • Hamilton finishes third and records the fastest lap while Bottas finishes ninth or worse
  • Hamilton finishes third, without the fastest lap, and Bottas finishes 10th, without the fastest lap, or worse.

So what is the likelihood of any of those occurrences happening on Sunday? Hamilton has finished third or better in all but two of his races so far this season, while Bottas has finished fourth or worse on four occasions. But only once has the Finnish driver placed eighth or lower, so the likelihood is that if Hamilton does want to wrap up his sixth world title as early as possible he needs to win the Mexican Grand Prix and hope that his Mercedes team-mate has an off-day. Judging by the Japanese Grand Prix, it cannot be totally ruled out.

Mercedes had a Suzuka nightmare a fortnight ago as they completely blundered their strategy, costing Hamilton the chance of victory and handing Bottas a route back into the title race. The British driver lost 10 seconds to his team-mate after the team decided to keep him out on old tyres for three more laps, and he was seething as he was forced to watch his title rival close the gap between the two men to 64 points. That is still a sizeable margin and Bottas would need some massive good fortune to pip Hamilton to the title, but that did not prevent the world championship leader from being furious with his team’s decision.

Hamilton can put that disappointment behind him this weekend though. He has not won the Japanese Grand Prix in either of the last two seasons, but Mercedes outperformed Ferrari when it mattered most last weekend, denying ‘The Prancing Horse’ a race win after Charles Leclerc and Sebastian Vettel had successfully locked out the front row on Saturday, and we may well see more of the same here as the world championship wins the race and either wins the championship or at least moves to within touching distance of the crown.

Mexican Grand Prix 2019 Predictions

Mexican Grand Prix Circuit

Named after racing drivers Ricardo and Pedro Rodriguez, the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez returned to the Formula 1 calendar in 2015 after a 23-year absence from the schedule.

Made up of long straights and slow corners, it is a circuit that has struggled to capture the imagination of drivers, who concede the updated lay-out of the track is not nearly as challenging as the previous lay-out used between 1986 and 1992.

Location: Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez, Mexico City, Mexico
Number Of Laps: 71
Lap Length: 2.674 miles
Lap Record: Valtteri Bottas 1 minute, 18.741 seconds (2018)

Mexican Grand Prix Previous Winners

Lewis Hamilton celebrates his win on the podium after the 2016 Mexican Grand Prix. (Photo by Clive Mason/Getty Images)

Mexican Grand Prix Winners

1962Trevor Taylor
Jim Clark
Lotus-ClimaxMagdalena Mixhuca
1963Jim ClarkLotus-ClimaxMagdalena Mixhuca
1964Dan GurneyBrabham-ClimaxMagdalena Mixhuca
1965Richie GintherHondaMagdalena Mixhuca
1966John SurteesCooper-MaseratiMagdalena Mixhuca
1967Jim ClarkLotus-FordMagdalena Mixhuca
1968Graham HillLotus-FordMagdalena Mixhuca
1969Denny HulmeMcLaren-FordMagdalena Mixhuca
1970Jacky IckxFerrariMagdalena Mixhuca
1986Gerhard BergerBenetton-BMWHermanos Rodríguez
1987Nigel MansellWilliams-HondaHermanos Rodríguez
1988Alain ProstMcLaren-HondaHermanos Rodríguez
1989Ayrton SennaMcLaren-HondaHermanos Rodríguez
1990Alain ProstFerrariHermanos Rodríguez
1991Riccardo PatreseWilliams-RenaultHermanos Rodríguez
1992Nigel MansellWilliams-RenaultHermanos Rodríguez
2015Nico RosbergMercedesHermanos Rodríguez
2016Lewis HamiltonMercedesHermanos Rodríguez
2017Max VerstappenRed BullHermanos Rodriguez
2018Max VerstappenRed BullHermanos Rodriguez

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