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Brazilian Grand Prix betting tips: In-form Verstappen to claim podium place

Leigh Copson 8 Nov 2018

Max Verstappen (credit: Clive Mason/Getty Images)

Brazilian Grand Prix predictions for the race on Sunday, November 11. The 2018 Formula 1 season continues with the penultimate race taking place in Sao Paulo – but who will be victorious? Read on for our all of our free predictions and betting tips.

Brazilian Grand Prix 2018 Predictions

* Odds correct at 10:00 GMT on 08/11/2018

Brazilian Grand Prix 2018 Betting Tips Explained

Lewis Hamilton may already have the Drivers’ Championship wrapped up, but he still has one final historic goal as Formula 1 heads to Brazil for the penultimate race of the 2018 season. Mercedes hold a 55-point lead over Ferrari in the Constructors’ Championship heading into the Brazilian Grand Prix, and if their lead is at least 43 points following the completion of the race they will become only the second team in F1 history to complete five straight Drivers’ Championship/Constructors’ Championship doubles.

Few would bet against them achieving that feat. The Ferrari pair of Sebastian Vettel and Kimi Raikkonen has out-scored Hamilton and Mercedes team-mate Valtteri Bottas in each of the past two races, but an 11-point or 12-point gap, like the ones they achieved in Mexico and the United States, would not be good enough here. Ferrari need a dominant performance and problems for Mercedes to at least delay their rivals’ coronation, here given how the second half of the season has gone it is difficult to see that happening.

In fact, it is difficult to really predict how Ferrari will fare. When we have expected them to come up short they have been successful, and when we have expected success they have failed to deliver. Kimi Raikkonen did spring a major upset to win the United States Grand Prix a couple of weeks ago, but that is his only race win over the season so far and team-mate Vettel has not stood atop the podium since his victory in Belgium in late August. Vettel did perform well as he took second place in Mexico a fortnight ago, but I have been burned by him several times this season so I cannot back him for the win here.

In fact, I cannot confidently pick a winner. Hamilton may be keen to help his team to another constructors’ title, but simply finishing races in a good position should help ensure Mercedes are crowned world champions, so he is hardly going to be taking any unnecessary risks. And of course, team-mate Valtteri Bottas is yet to win a race this season and has missed out on a podium place in each of the last two races, so he can be ignored here.

If you were to go with anyone I would suggest backing Max Verstappen to run out the winner here, but the better option is backing him for a Top 3 Finish. The Red Bull ace has really shone during the second half of the season with five podium finishes in his last seven races, and he goes into the Brazilian Grand Prix on the back of a victory at Mexico last time out. That was his second race win of 2018 and he is looking more and more like he could threaten Hamilton and Vettel in 2019 if Red Bull get their package right. I expect Verstappen to finish 2018 on a high and another top-three finish on Sunday will help him do that.

For my final recommendation I am going back to the subject of the race winner, but instead of backing a driver I am going to bet on the winning margin. Six of the last eight races have been won by a margin of over six seconds and two of the last three Brazilian Grand Prix have been won by this margin too.

Brazilian Grand Prix 2018 Predictions

* Odds correct at 10:00 GMT on 08/11/2018

Brazilian Grand Prix Circuit

The Autodromo Jose Carlos Pace – also knowns as Interlagos – first hosted the Brazilian Grand Prix back in 1972 and it has been the permanent host for this race since 1990 when Alain Prost won for a record-setting sixth – and final – time.

The track has shortened considerably since its introduction to F1, but that does not mean it is not a testing circuit. In fact, the term “tricky” has been used by many drivers to describe the challenge Interlagos provides, with many conceding that the team have to get the package spot on to challenge for victory and points.

The legendary Alain Prost boasts the record for most Brazilian Grand Prix victories, but when it comes to active drivers it is Sebastian Vettel who has been most successful, winning this race on three occasions with his latest success coming in 2017.

Location: Autodromo Jose Carlos Pace (Interlagos), Sao Paulo, Brazil
Number Of Laps: 71
Lap Length: 2.677 miles
Lap Record: Max Verstappen, 1 minute, 11.044 seconds (2017)

Brazilian Grand Prix Previous Winners

Sebastian Vettel celebrates winning the Brazilian Grand Prix of the third time in 2017. (Photo by Mark Thompson/Getty Images)

Brazilian Grand Prix Winners

1972Carlos ReutemannBrabham-FordInterlagos
1973Emerson FittipaldiLotus-FordInterlagos
1974Emerson FittipaldiMcLaren-FordInterlagos
1975Carlos PaceBrabham-FordInterlagos
1976Niki LaudaFerrariInterlagos
1977Carlos ReutemannFerrariInterlagos
1978Carlos ReutemannFerrariJacarepagua
1979Jacques LaffiteLigier-FordInterlagos
1980Rene ArnouxRenaultInterlagos
1981Carlos ReutemannWilliams-FordJacarepagua
1982Alain ProstRenaultJacarepagua
1983Nelson PiquetBrabham-BMWJacarepagua
1984Alain ProstMcLaren-TAGJacarepagua
1985Alain ProstMcLaren-TAGJacarepagua
1986Nelson PiquetWilliams-HondaJacarepagua
1987Alain ProstMcLaren-TAGJacarepagua
1988Alain ProstMcLaren-HondaJacarepagua
1989Nigel MansellFerrariJacarepagua
1990Alain ProstFerrariInterlagos
1991Ayrton SennaMcLaren-HondaInterlagos
1992Nigel MansellWilliams-RenaultInterlagos
1993Ayrton SennaMcLaren-FordInterlagos
1994Michael SchumacherBenetton-FordInterlagos
1995Michael SchumacherBenetton-RenaultInterlagos
1996Damon HillWilliams-RenaultInterlagos
1997Jacques VilleneuveWilliams-RenaultInterlagos
1998Mika HakkinenMcLaren-MercedesInterlagos
1999Mika HakkinenMcLaren-MercedesInterlagos
2000Michael SchumacherFerrariInterlagos
2001David CoulthardMcLaren-MercedesInterlagos
2002Michael SchumacherFerrariInterlagos
2003Giancarlo FisichellaJordan-FordInterlagos
2004Juan-Pablo MontoyaWilliams-BMWInterlagos
2005Juan-Pablo MontoyaMcLaren-MercedesInterlagos
2006Felipe MassaFerrariInterlagos
2007Kimi RaikkonenFerrariInterlagos
2008Felipe MassaFerrariInterlagos
2009Mark WebberRed Bull-RenaultInterlagos
2010Sebastian VettelRed Bull-RenaultInterlagos
2011Mark WebberRed Bull-RenaultInterlagos
2012Jenson ButtonMcLaren-MercedesInterlagos
2013Sebastian VettelRed Bull-RenaultInterlagos
2014Nico RosbergMercedesInterlagos
2015Nico RosbergMercedesInterlagos
2016Lewis HamiltonMercedesInterlagos

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Brazilian Grand Prix betting tips: In-form Verstappen to claim podium place

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