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Can Liverpool bounce back? Get our 5 best bets for the Premier League this weekend

Ben Darvill 10 Jan 2019

Liverpool and Manchester City continue their enthralling battle at the top as they play Brighton and Wolves respectively, while Cardiff take on a Huddersfield side in horrendous form of late. Read on for our 5 best bets for the Premier League games this weekend. 

West Ham vs Arsenal (Saturday, 12:30 GMT)

This season has been an incredibly inconsistent one for West Ham as they continue to search for their own identity, seemingly torn between being a side that languishes in the lower-echelons of the table and a team that is fighting for the ‘best of the rest’ tag after the big six. A 2-2 draw with Brighton in their last game was a poor result considering the fact they were playing at home against a side that have been better of late, but were entirely beatable. Arsenal on the other hand returned to form after failing to win any of their previous two as they beat Fulham 4-1 at the Emirates. The Gunners have managed to claim 12 wins in 21 games in a decent debut season for Unai Emery, but they need to keep winning their games if they are to keep sixth-placed Manchester United at arm’s length, all the while trying to usurp Chelsea, who are currently fourth. 

The Hammers don’t boast the most impressive of home records this year, winning just four of their 11 games, with two draws and five defeats seeing the side consistently lose points. Arsenal have not been particularly prolific on the road though, winning four of their 10 games, while they have drawn three and lost three. However, it should be noted that two of their three away losses have come against Manchester City and Liverpool, with the two sides outstanding this season and near unbeatable at home. Against the top six, West Ham have lost to Liverpool (4-0), Arsenal (3-1), Tottenham (1-0) and Manchester City (4-0), although they have beaten Manchester United and drawn with Chelsea as they continue their inconsistent run. With this in mind, and particularly their loss to Arsenal back in August, we are predicting more of the same on Saturday. The Gunners know they cannot afford to lose this one as it could potentially see Manchester United rise above them if they are to beat Tottenham, and it would take a lot of the wind out of the sails of the London side if their good start were to take another blow via defeat to the Hammers. 

Burnley vs Fulham (Saturday, 15:00 GMT)

Sean Dyche’s surprise-package of the 2017/18 campaign have been very poor this season as their incredibly impressive defence has gone from watertight to leaky, with the side conceding 42 goals in 21 games, already two more than they conceded in the entirety of their domestic campaign last time out. Clearly, the honeymoon period is well and truly over for the side, with avoiding relegation now their one and only objective. Fulham also arrive in real trouble and, despite changing manager to title-winner Claudio Ranieri, they still find themselves in the relegation zone. With just three wins in 21, the Cottagers already find themselves four points short of Cardiff in 17th and safety, with their campaign threatening to be one that ends in relegation. Things need to change for Fulham, and quickly. 

Burnley have been better at home this season with three wins in 10, but they have lost six matches and drawn once, with the Clarets looking incredibly shaky this year. However, Burnley are currently enjoying a three game winning run, with a 1-0 victory over Barnsley in the FA Cup not comfortable, but it kept their momentum alive. In the Premier League, the Clarets come into this with six points from two games as they were able to beat West Ham and Huddersfield to really revive their survival bid. Fulham were also in fairly good form up until their 4-1 loss to Arsenal, with a three game unbeaten run seeing the side draw with Newcastle and Wolves before beating Huddersfield 2-1. However, with nine defeats, two draws and no wins on the road, it would be ill advised to back Fulham, with the Cottagers clearly not a side that travels well, while Burnley have won their last two home games and look to have some confidence once again. With this in mind, we are backing the home side, who offer good value for the win at 16/11. 

Cardiff City vs Huddersfield (Saturday, 15:00 GMT)

Cardiff have been slowly improving this season as they look to continue to put points and places between themselves and the relegation zone. Currently sitting in 17th in the league, the Welsh side are two points clear of 18th-placed Southampton, with their buffer not one that they will be at all comfortable with after 21 games. Huddersfield arrive following a horrendous end to 2018, with the Terriers in real trouble. Just two wins this year has come along with four draws and 15 defeats, while they have only scored 13 goals, conceding 37 along the way. The 10 points they have picked up means they are already eight points short of their next opponents and safety, and another loss could see the gap between themselves and safety stretch to a massive 11 points. 

In this one, Cardiff are surely the only side to back. While they have only won once on the road this year, the Welsh side have been fairly good at home, winning four and drawing one of their 11 games, with the vast majority of their points coming at the Cardiff City Stadium. Huddersfield on the other hand have only won once on the road, and that came all the way back in November, when they shocked Wolves in a 2-0 win. Since then, the Terriers have lost their last eight games in a row, with four of these being away defeats. While Cardiff have not won any of their last two, it should be noted that they played against a Tottenham side in very good form, before losing to Gillingham in the FA Cup, with Neil Warnock and his side surely prioritiseng safety in the Premier League over an FA Cup run, and they offer very good value at 5/4 considering they are far better at home, and Huddersfield have been so bad on the road and across the season. 

Brighton vs Liverpool (Saturday, 15:00 GMT)

Brighton have been steadily improving this year, with the side looking to stop the run of defeats that seems to be plaguing their season so far. A few unbeaten games tends to be followed by a run of losses, with the side losing any momentum they have garnered from these wins and draws, although it should be noted that the side have been able to pick up 26 points this season, meaning they are 10 clear of the relegation zone. Liverpool on the other hand sit at the summit, with 54 points coming from 17 wins, three draws and a loss. 49 goals scored is an impressive total, while they have been by far and away the best defensive side this year, conceding just 10 times. With Manchester City having beaten them in their last match, the Reds will be desperate to get back to winning ways, and we think they will do this with a victory over Brighton. 

The home side are currently unbeaten in their last three, with draws against Arsenal and West Ham along with a win over Everton seeing the side come into this one in good form. While the Reds may have lost their last match, they had won their previous nine games in a row in the league as they displayed their championship winning ability. Eight wins on the road, two draws and a single loss, which came at the Etihad Stadium against Manchester City, is a very impressive record, and the side will be looking to add yet another win to their title challenge. We feel Liverpool will win this one, and to add more value to this bet, we recommend backing Roberto Firmino to score too. The Brazilian has netted four goals in his last two including a hat-trick against Arsenal, and with eight goals this season, we think he will continue his impressive run. 

Manchester City vs Wolves (Monday, 20:00 GMT)

Manchester City may have had something of a mid-season crisis by their own standards, but they have hit back in the perfect way, with the side winning their last two in a row. After 21 matches they have won 16 times, drawing twice and losing three games, with City picking up 50. Their impressive form in front of goal, which has seen the side score 56 goals and concede just 17 times, shows they have been superb all over the pitch despite their less than stellar December. Wolves meanwhile have been enjoying a good season, with eight wins across the campaign helping the side onto 29 points, meaning they are 13 clear of Southampton in 18th, with Wanderers looking to secure their Premier League status for next year. 

Form wise, Manchester City have been good recently. Their losses to Chelsea, Crystal Palace and Leicester City in December have been put out of their minds with wins over Southampton and Liverpool, with the latter a huge result for the side as they cut the gap between themselves and the Reds to just four points, which finally gave Liverpool their first loss of the domestic season, which in turn led to a 2-1 loss to Wolves in the FA Cup. Wolves fell to a defeat in their last Premier League game as Crystal Palace beat them 2-0 in what was actually a very disappointing result for the side. However, it should be noted that Wanderers did beat Tottenham 3-1 in their last away game, something they will look to channel in this match. Despite Wolves fairly good away form, which has seen the side win four on the road, City have been awesome at home, meaning the away side will have an incredibly tough time getting anything from this one. With 10 wins and a single defeat at home, Guardiola’s men have looked awesome at the Etihad Stadium, and they have all of the momentum after winning their last three in a row, with their last match ending in a massive 7-0 win over Rotherham in the FA Cup. At home, City have managed to win eight of their 11 matches by two goals or more, and with this in mind, we are backing them to win with a -2 handicap in the Asian Handicap market, as we think the reigning-champions will look to put out a marker for 2019.

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