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Who will claim final top-four spot? Get La Liga tips for Saturday

Leigh Copson 15 May 2019
Valencia (credit:GTRES/GTRES/PA Images)

La Liga predictions for Saturday, May 18. Can Valencia fend off Getafe in the race for a top-four finish, or could Sevilla steal the final Champions League qualifying spot from under their noses? Read on for all of our free predictions and betting tips.

Getafe v Villarreal

Getafe’s bid for a shock top-four finish and a spot in next season’s Champions League has hit the skids over the past several weeks, with just three wins coming in their last nine games. That disappointing run means they go into the final round of fixtures in fifth place, but they are behind Valencia on goal difference only so they are far from finished. That difference is only one goal too, so if they better Valencia’s result they will march into the top four and if both teams win they could still leapfrog Los Ches as long as their victory is by a more convincing margin. So can Getafe win? Villarreal have preserved their top-flight status with four wins from their last six games, but I do fancy Getafe to get the victory they need here. They boast one of the better home records in the Spanish top flight and a big reason for that is a rock-solid defence that have conceded only 11 league goals at the Coliseum Alfonso Perez this season. That is a statistic I simply cannot ignore, especially when you factor in Villarreal’s underwhelming away form, so I am all over Getafe to win to nil in their season finale.

Real Valladolid v Valencia

Valencia occupy the last qualifying spot for next season’s Champions League heading into the final weekend of the season, but only goal difference is separating them from Getafe and there are only two points between them and Sevilla, so the pressure is firmly on them. Increasing that pressure is the fact that the difference between theirs and Getafe’s goal difference is that slim that Valencia could win on Saturday and still miss out on the top four. So will Valencia wilt under the pressure or will they deliver? Despite their recent Europa League disappointment they have been in recent weeks with six wins coming in their last nine league games and only three defeats coming in their last 19. Their away form is one of the better ones in La Liga too so you have to fancy their chances of claiming three points against a Real Valladolid team who have struggled at home for much of the season. Valencia should take this, but they have been conceding plenty of goals recently and Valladolid have been scoring pretty regularly, so I recommend backing an away win with both teams to score.  

Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla are not out of the hunt for a top-four finish, but to make it into the Champions League qualifying berths on the final day they need to beat Athletic Bilbao and get favours from Villarreal and Real Valladolid when they face Getafe and Valencia respectively. Sevilla’s problem is that they have found winning difficult over the past few weeks with only one success coming in their last five matches. That is the big reason they found themselves in such a tricky position heading into the final day, but it must be pointed out that despite their recent poor form they have been strong at home over the course of the campaign so I am confident that they can at least do their part by winning this one. I also fancy them to keep a rare clean sheet – Bilbao have not been great in front of goal away from home.

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