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Southampton to tame Rams? Get our FA Cup third-round replay betting tips

Leigh Copson 12 Jan 2019
Stuart Armstrong & Charlie Austin of Southampton (credit: Jordan Mansfield/Getty Images)

FA Cup third round replay predictions for Tuesday, January 15 and Wednesday, January 16. Can Newcastle United and Southampton see off opposition from the Championship at the second attempt, or will we see more giant-killings? Read on for all of our free predictions and betting tips.

Blackburn Rovers v Newcastle United (Tuesday 19:45 GMT)


Did Blackburn Rovers blow their big chance at St James’ Park? Rovers were closing in on a shock victory over Newcastle when these two teams met at the start of the month, but they were denied six minutes from time when Matt Ritchie kept his nerve to snatch a draw for the Magpies from the penalty spot, and the Premier League side will be eager to ensure the replay at Ewood Park is a little less dramatic. However, it is difficult to have much confidence in Rafael Benitez’s side at this time. This preview was written prior to their Premier League fixture at the weekend, but a trip to face Chelsea was hardly ideal timing for out-of-form Newcastle and by the time they take on Blackburn I expect them to be winless in their last six games in all competitions, with just one win coming in their last 10. Blackburn are not exactly in sensational form themselves, but they have been pretty solid at home and they simply have nothing to lose here. At home against a team in poor form and battling against the drop, I would not be shocked to see Rovers provide another third-round upset.


Luton Town v Sheffield Wednesday (Tuesday 19:45 GMT)


At the start of last week I would have confidently backed Luton Town to pull off an upset here, but the departure of manager Nathan Jones to Stoke City has dented that confidence a little. It is not that I am expecting a sudden collapse in form or anything like that, but a change in manager could unsettle a team that have been in fantastic form this season and have given themselves a real shot at earning promotion to the Championship. Therefore backing them Draw No Bet feels like a smarter move here. Luton did well to hold Sheffield Wednesday to a draw at Hillsborough earlier this month and now that they are back on their own patch they will seriously fancy their chances of spring an upset. After all, they are unbeaten at home in the league this season, winning 10 and drawing three, and their sole competitive defeat came via a penalty shootout in the EFL Trophy. Wednesday, on the other hand, have been pretty poor on their travels so far so this is certainly a winnable match for Luton. I would not be shocked to see them clip the Owls’ wings in 90 minutes, but the visitors are in decent form overall right now so this could turn into a marathon affair. Going Luton Draw No Bet offers insurance should the two teams be locked on level terms after 90 minutes.


Southampton v Derby County (Wednesday 19:45 GMT)


Southampton appeared to be cruising into the fourth round of the FA Cup when Nathan Redmond struck twice inside the first 50 minutes to give Saints a 2-0 lead at Derby County earlier this month, but a disastrous three-minute spell around the hour mark saw the Rams come storming back to level things up and that means the two clubs must do it all again on Wednesday night. So who will come out on top in this replay? Southampton are not exactly in fantastic form right now, and they have lost their last two at home, but they have been looking a sharper in front of goal recently and that gives me the confidence that they will take some of the chances that come their way here. The question is can Derby match and better their hosts’ efforts? I am not convinced. They could certainly grab a goal at St Mary’s but ultimately this is a team that have not been brilliant on their travels in recent weeks and have lost as many as they have won away from home in the Championship. Therefore I am backing Southampton to avoid an upset in a game that sees a few goals.


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Southampton to tame Rams? Get our FA Cup third-round replay betting tips

FA Cup third round replay predictions for Tuesday, January 15 and Wednesday, January 16.

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