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Barcelona v Chelsea predictions, betting tips & match preview: Barca to end Blues’ European dream

Leigh Copson 11 Mar 2018
  • Barcelona v Chelsea kicks off at 19:45 GMT on Wednesday, March 14
  • Get free predictions & betting tips for this Champions League last-16 match
Lionel Messi of Barcelona (credit: Alex Caparros/Getty Images)

Barcelona v Chelsea predictions for the Champions League game on Wednesday, March 14. Barcelona and Chelsea are locked on level terms after a 1-1 first leg draw – who will win this second leg and book their place in the quarter-finals? Read on for all of our free predictions and betting tips.

Barcelona v Chelsea Predictions


Barcelona v Chelsea Betting Tips Explained


Chelsea were left to kick themselves after the first leg of this last-16 tie. A 1-1 draw with Barcelona is hardly a terrible result, but the Blues could – and probably should – have secured a first-leg lead to take to the Camp Nou this week. Willian cracked shots off both uprights before eventually giving Chelsea a 1-0 lead at Stamford Bridge, and Antonio Conte’s side appeared to be closing in on a victory until an Andreas Christensen blunder presented an opening that Lionel Messi capitalised on, finally breaking his duck by scoring against the Blues for the first time in nine meetings.

“I think we were close to playing the perfect performance,” Conte said afterwards. “We did one mistake but we know very well against these opponents and players like Messi, [Andres] Iniesta and [Luis] Suarez, if you make a mistake you pay. It is a pity and we are disappointed with the final result. I don't remember a great save from Thibaut Courtois and they only had a couple of chances with Paulinho in the first half and Suarez in the second. I think we played a really good game and I must be pleased because my players gave a great effort and they followed the plan we prepared.”

Conte was right to praise his side, but ultimately you have to feel like they have dealt their own chances of qualifying a setback with that stalemate at the Bridge. Not only did they fail to make the most of home advantage, they also gifted Barcelona an away goal that could come back to haunt them on Wednesday night. However, I do not expect that away goal to be much of a factor when the final whistle blows in Barcelona.

Since that draw Chelsea have suffered back-to-back defeats away to the top two teams in England, and a 2-1 win over Crystal Palace at the weekend is hardly going to instil confidence that they can get the better of Barca. They have now lost each of their last four away games in all competitions and have managed only one win in their last eight away from the Bridge, and when you compare that to Barcelona’s record it will not make Blues fans comfortable. 

Barca are unbeaten in their last 14 games in all competitions, have lost only once in their last 44 competitive fixtures and they have not been beaten in a competitive outing at the Camp Nou since a 3-1 loss to Real Madrid in the Spanish Super Cup back in early August. Everything is pointing to the home team running out winners here and I expect them to be victorious by a couple of goals – Barcelona -1 has been a successful bet on all three of  their home games in the Champions League this season and it has been a winner on 26 of their 33 competitive victories this season.

I also recommend backing Lionel Messi to make the arrival of his new baby boy by grabbing a goal. The Argentinian star was able to miss the weekend meeting with Malaga in order to be at the birth, but I fully expect him to be back in the side on Wednesday night and after seeing him finally break his Chelsea duck by scoring against the Blues for the first time in nine attempts, you have to like his chances of getting on the scoresheet again in the return meeting.

And if you want a statistic to back that up, Messi has now scored 18 goals in his last 17 meetings with Premier League sides and has scored more Champions League goals against English teams than sides from any other nation. So would you really be surprised if he did net against Chelsea? I thought not!

Barcelona v Chelsea Betting Odds



Barcelona v Chelsea Stats


  • Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 14 games in all competitions
  • Barcelona have lost only one of their last 44 competitive matches and have not been beaten at home since early August
  • Chelsea have lost their last four away games and have won only one of their last eight
  • 26 of Barcelona’s 33 wins this season have seen them overcome a one-goal handicap
  • Lionel Messi has scored 18 goals in his last 17 appearances against English Premier League teams
  • Lionel Messi has scored more Champions League goals against English teams than sides from any other nation

Barcelona v Chelsea Predictions




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Barcelona v Chelsea predictions, betting tips & match preview: Barca to end Blues’ European dream

Barcelona v Chelsea predictions for the Champions League game on Wednesday, March 14.

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