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2018 Oscars predictions, betting tips & betting odds: The latest betting for the major Oscars categories

The 2018 Oscars – also known as the 90th Academy Awards – will emanate from the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, California on Sunday, March 4 and we have all of the betting odds you need for the big markets, as well as our favourite bets for the movie business’ most famous awards ceremony.

Oscars 2018 predictions


Best Picture


As far the bookmakers are concerned, it is a two-horse race between The Shape Of Water and Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing Missouri for the Best Picture prize. The Shape Of Water is a sci-fi tale about a woman who falls in love with an amphibious creature that is being held in captivity in a secret research facility in the 1950s, and while it is not something you would expect to land the Best Picture prize at the Oscars, it was the 4/6 favourite with William Hill after the shortlist was announced. However, following the BAFTAs the movie has drifted out to 6/5, with Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing Missouri the new odds-on favourite having gone from 13/8 to 10/11. This movie tells the story of a mother who takes out three billboard ads to challenge the local police after they fail to solve the murder of her daughter and it has already collected the Best Motion Picture prizes at the Golden Globe awards the BAFTAs. I have been backing Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing Missouri for Best Picture glory at the Oscars since the shortlist was confirmed, and I see no reason to abandon the movie after its latest awards success.

Best Picture: 10/11 Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing, Missouri, 6/5 The Shape Of Water, 12/1 Lady Bird, 16/1 Get Out, 33/1 Dunkirk, 66/1 The Post 66/1 Call Me By Your Name, 100/1 Phantom Thread, 100/1 Darkest Hour.

Best Actor


Darkest Hour may be considered a 100/1 write-off in the Best Picture category, but that has not stopped the bookmakers from making headline actor Gary Oldman the clear odds-on favourite for his portrayal of British Prime Minister Winston Churchill. Oldman missed out on the Best Actor Oscar when he was nominated for his part in Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy six years ago, but he appears to be a shoo-in to win in 2018 after the bookies shortened him from 1/12 to 1/25 in the wake of his BAFTAs success. Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) and Timothee Chalamet (Call My By Your Name) are considered his main rivals for the gong, but they are some way off at 14/1 and 16/1 respectively.

Best Actor: 1/25 Gary Oldman-  The Darkest Hour, 14/1 Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out, 16/1 Timothee Chalamet- Call Me By Your Name, 20/1 Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread, 33/1 Denzel Washington – Roman Israel Esq.

Best Actress


Just like the Best Actor market, there is a runaway leader in the Best Actress market too with Frances McDormand leading the way for her role in Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing Missouri, which I am backing for Best Picture glory. McDormand finds herself nominated in this category for the second time in her career, and the last time she made the final cut, for her role in Fargo 21 years ago, she walked away with the trophy. At 1/12, they clearly expert her to make it two-for-two on March 4 with her main rivals, Saoirse Ronan and Sally Hawkins, out at 9/1 and 14/1 respectively.

Best Actress: 1/12 Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, 9/1 Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird, 14/1 Sally Hawkins – The Shape Of Water, 26/1 Margot Robbie – I, Tonya, 50/1 Meryl  Streep - The Post.

Best Director


Guillermo Del Toro has already won Best Director at both the Golden Globes and the BAFTAs, so it is no surprise to see his odds shortening for the Oscar. Bookmaker William Hill has cut Del Toro to 1/10 for the Best Director award in the wake of his BAFTAs success, while his main rival, Christopher Nolan, has drifted to 6/1 for his work on Dunkirk. Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird) is now out to 10/1 to become only the second female to win this Oscar.

Best Director: 1/10 Guillermo Del Toro – The Shape of Water, 6/1 Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk, 10/1 Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird,  50/1 Jordan Peele – Get Out 66/1 Paul Thomas Anderson – Phantom Thread.

Best Supporting Actor


Sam Rockwell has finally broken through to reach the official list of nominees for an Oscar, and William Hill believe he will not have to be content with simply being on the final shortlist. The Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing Missouri star is the 4/9 favourite to be named Best Supporting Actor, but the bookmakers are not ruling out a man who is no stranger to being nominated for this award. Willem Dafoe has made the nominations list for this prize for the third time in his career, for his role as a motel manager in The Florida Project, and while he missed out on the Golden Globe and BAFTA in this category, many industry insiders feel he still has a fantastic chance of leaving the Dolby Theatre with the Best Supporting Actor Oscar on March 4. I like his chances too and suggest backing him at 5/1.

Best Supporting Actor: 1/5 Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards, 5/1 Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project, 14/1 Richard Jenkins, - The Shape Of Water, 20/1 Christopher Plummer – All The Money Money in The World, 20/1 Woody Harrelson – Three Billboards.

Best Supporting Actress


I, Tonya – the story of controversial skater Tony Harding – may have failed to make much of an impact in the other major Oscars categories, but William Hill believe the Best Supporting Actress category could bring some Academy Awards glory for the film. Allison Janney has earned rave reviews and a BAFTA for her part as Harding’s “monster Mum” LaVona and, as a result, she is the 1/5 favourite for Best Supporting Actress. This market is not a foregone conclusion though, with Laurie Metcalf considered a real contender at 4/1 due to Lady Bird beating I, Tonya to a place in the Best Picture nominations.

Best Supporting Actress: 1/5 Allison Janney – I, Tonya, 4/1 Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird, 20/1 Lesly Manville – Phantom Thread, 20/1 Mary J Blige – Mudhound, 25/1 Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water.


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2018 Oscars predictions, betting tips & betting odds: The latest betting for the major Oscars categories

The 2018 Oscars takes place on Sunday, March 4 and we have all of the betting odds you need for the big markets, as well as our favourite bets for the movie business’ most famous awards ceremony.

Read more »

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