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Bet of the Day: Thursday, October 17

Back Kansas City Chiefs to beat Denver Broncos by 1-13 points

Could the AFC West be blown wide open on Thursday night? The Kansas City Chiefs head to Denver still leading the division, but they appear to be on much shakier ground than they were a couple of weeks ago. As expected the Chiefs made a flying start to the season by winning four consecutive games, but that streak was brought to a shuddering halt by a home defeat at the hands of Indianapolis, and they were unable to bounce back at Arrowhead a week later when the Houston Texans rolled into town and produced an excellent second-quarter display that helped them on their way to a 31-24 victory.

That score saw the Chiefs slip to 4-2 for the season, just one game ahead of in-form Oakland and two ahead of both the Los Angeles Chargers and Thursday’s opponents Denver, and while nobody within the KC camp will be panicking right now, they will be desperate to get their season back on track as quickly as possible. To do that, however, they are going to need to beat a Broncos team who have finally got off the mark with a couple of victories in recent weeks.

First-year head coach Vic Fangio endured a nightmare start as his team opened up with four straight defeats, but they steadied the ship with an important division win over the Chargers in Los Angeles in week five and then followed it up this past weekend with a shut-out success against Tennessee at Mile High. Beating two teams with losing records is not going to send shockwaves through the National Football League, but they will have given Denver a major confidence boost ahead of this meeting with Kansas City – something they certainly needed.

After all, the Chiefs have dominated this divisional rivalry in recent years, winning each of the last seven encounters and coming out on top in the last four showdowns at Mile High. That record is hard to ignore despite the recent form of these two teams, and although Kansas City may be struggling, they simply are the better football team. As long as they can erase the mental mistakes and penalties that have plagued them in the two losses, they should come out on top here.

It may not be a runaway success though. That Broncos pass rush will pose plenty of problems for a poor Kansas City offensive line that is protecting a hobbled Patrick Mahomes, and while that secondary will give up some big plays, it could limit what the road team can get done through the air. The problem for Denver is that they are unlikely to get a great deal going on offense themselves, even against this underwhelming KC defense that could once again be the team’s Achilles heel in their Super Bowl quest. The Broncos are averaging less than 18 points per game and that simply will not do when coming up against the Chiefs, who have scored less than 19 points in just one of the 24 games that they have played since Mahomes became starting quarterback.

So while Denver’s defense will do its best to help the team spring an upset, they will ultimately come up short. All four of Mahomes’ meetings with Denver have been won by less than 14 points, and I suspect we will see more of the same here as Kansas City get back on track and halt the Broncos’ recent stampede.

Bet of the Day: Friday, October 18

Back Shrewsbury Town Draw No Bet vs. Lincoln City

Lincoln City enjoyed a sensational start to the season as they began life in the third tier with a run of three consecutive victories, but the past several weeks have been something of a reality check for the Imps. They have won just two of their last 10 league games, losing seven times, bowed out of both the League Cup and the EFL Trophy, and they have also lost the services of the Cowley brothers – the men who masterminded the club’s rise from non-league football to the third tier and also took them on a fairytale run in the FA Cup a couple of seasons ago.

New boss Michael Appleton endured a nightmare start to his reign with a 6-0 home thrashing at the hands of Oxford United and they have now lost three of their four games under his watch with the only positive outing being the shock 2-0 win over Sunderland a fortnight ago. To say Appleton desperately needs a positive performance and result here would be an understatement, but can he get one?

Visitors Shrewsbury Town are behind Lincoln on goal difference only heading into this fixture, but they are the team in much better form right now. The Shrews head to Sincil Bank on the back of a 1-0 league win at Tranmere Rovers and a 3-0 EFL Trophy success at home to Newcastle United’s U21s, and they have now taken points from seven of their last nine league games. Away from home they have been doing a good job of collecting points, losing just twice in six matches, so they will really fancy their chances of heading home with something to show for their efforts on Friday night. I like their chances too.

Shrewsbury are in decent form right now and that is just not the case when it comes to Lincoln. Yes, the Imps have won four of their six home games in the league so far, but this is a team who were walloped at home by an Oxford side who have won just once on the road in seven attempts, and they have also been beaten at home by a Bristol Rovers side who have not proven to be great travellers. That shows that there is some vulnerability there that Shrewsbury can take advantage of and when you add on Lincoln’s miserable overall form and away win does look like being a likely outcome here. However, given that Shrewsbury have racked up four draws already this season and were ‘draw specialists’ in 2018/19, I am going to go Draw No Bet for a spot of insurance.

Bet of the Day: Saturday, October 19

Back Celtic -2 to beat Ross County

Celtic went into the international break on a huge downer as they surrendered top spot in the Scottish Premiership. The Hoops had opened up a three-point lead at the summit when they beat bitter rivals Rangers at the start of September, but they dropped points for the first time this season when they were held to a 1-1 draw at Hibernian at the end of the month and one week later they gifted top spot to the Gers as they crashed to a shock 2-0 defeat at Livingston. It was a stunning sudden slump in form for Celtic, but nobody at Parkhead will be panicking just now. After all, there is a long way to go and they have completely dominated the domestic scene in recent years. However, there will be plenty of pressure on them to issue an immediate response when they return from the international break on Saturday afternoon.

Providing the opposition are a Ross County side who have made enjoyed a strong start to life back in the top flight and currently sit fifth in the table. Heavy back-to-back defeats in late August may have had fans concerned about a long battle against the drop this season, but their team responded in excellent fashion by stringing together back-to-back victories over St Mirren and Motherwell, and they made it four games without loss when they followed up those wins with draws against Kilmarnock and St Johnstone. But can we really expect Ross to make it five games unbeaten and and perhaps turn Celtic’s dip into some sort of mini crisis? My answer to that question is a definitive ‘no’.

Yes, the Hoops threw away top spot with those two dismal results prior to the international break, but there were always going to be points dropped during this campaign so this is not the time to start writing the club’s obituary when it comes to their reign over Scottish football. Celtic will bounce back and I expect them to do it in pretty comprehensive fashion on Saturday afternoon. They have been flawless at home in the league so far this season, winning all three games while out-scoring the opposition 13-2, and having seen Ross fall to a 3-0 loss at Aberdeen recently I suspect we could see similar scenes here as the hosts make a return to winning ways.

Bet of the Day: Sunday, October 20

Back Liverpool to beat Man Utd & over 1.5 total goals

Liverpool return from the international break with a 100% record having won each of their first eight games in the Premier League, but if they are to make it nine wins from nine games they are going to have to do something they have struggled to do over the past decade – beat Manchester United in the North West Derby. It sounds almost unbelievable, but the Merseyside giants have won only two of their last 12 meetings with the Red Devils and they have won just once at Old Trafford in the past 10 years – with that victory coming way back in March 2014 when they stormed to a 3-0 victory at the ‘Theatre of Dreams’. So can they exorcise a few demons on Sunday?

Jurgen Klopp’s side make the short trip to Salford in fantastic shape thanks to their storming start to the season. Liverpool have reeled off eight straight victories to storm to the summit and while seeing them sit top of the table is not a massive surprise, the gap between themselves and Manchester City is. City have already slipped up three times this season, losing twice, and the Reds have taken full advantage to open up a commanding eight-point lead. They buckled when in a similar position last season though, so while it does feel like the title may well be Liverpool’s to lose, you have to wonder if they have the mettle to go all the way this time. One slightest slip-up could be the catalyst for a slump in form and it is safe to say the last place they want to slip up at is Old Trafford – the home of their fiercest rivals.

While Liverpool’s sights are fixed on the title, Manchester United’s immediate focus is just to get into the top half of the table. They have made a truly pathetic start to the season that has seen them win just two of their first eight games, lose three of them, score just nine goals and concede eight, and it is difficult to see where and how Ole Gunnar Solskjaer can turn this around. They do boast one of the better defensive records in the league, but they lack a creative spark and the absence of an out-and-out goalscorer is evident because only six clubs have scored fewer Premier League goals this season – United have been out-scored by top-flight newcomers Aston Villa and Norwich City. A big derby win over Liverpool would certainly lift the doom and gloom surrounding the club right now, but right now not even the most ardent of supporters would predict their team upsetting Liverpool.

United have managed to take points off the Merseysiders in nine of their last 10 meetings, but much of that success came courtesy of Jose Mourinho’s ‘park the bus’ strategy that resulted in a string of low-scoring, dour draws. Solskjaer did lead his team to a shock 2-1 win over Liverpool during the ‘honeymoon period’ that was his caretaker reign, but it would not be unfair to say that Manchester United have regressed considerably since that date while Liverpool have gone from strength to strength. They are by far the better team and for that reason I do believe that you can throw history and recent records out of the window – Liverpool are a superior team and that should be clear for all to see on Sunday.

Manchester United will try to keep things tight at the back and frustrate the visitors, but ultimately they will not be able to cope with the attacking onslaught that comes their way. Liverpool will find a breakthrough at some point and when they do there will be no way back for the home side. The odds for an away win are decent enough when you consider how these two clubs have fared during the first eight rounds of fixtures, but I am looking for something a little bigger and there is bags of appeal in backing Liverpool to win & over 1.5 total goals. Over 1.5 Total Goals has been a winning bet on 10 of Liverpool’s 11 fixtures so far and while United have been woeful in front of goal, they have found the back of the net in all six of their competitive home fixtures. Factor in that Liverpool have conceded a few recently and it would not be a shock to see the home side aid the total goals tally here. However, when the final whistle blows it will be Liverpool who have scored the most to claim all three points and maintain their flawless record.

Bet of the Day: Monday, October 21

Back Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to score anytime & Arsenal to beat Sheffield United

If you would have told Arsenal fans prior to the season that their team would emerge from the October international break in third place in the Premier League table and one point behind last season’s champions, Manchester City, they would have probably bitten your hand off. However, they are probably finding it hard not to be disappointed with how things have gone so far.

The Gunners have suffered only one league defeat, away to Liverpool, but had they not thrown away points on several occasions they would be ahead of City right now and hot on the heels of the league-leader Merseysiders. Woeful defending forced them to settle for a point at home to Tottenham Hotspur, they threw away a two-goal lead at Watford before clinging on to a point, and there also had to be some disappointment surrounding the 1-1 draw away to a Manchester United side who have made a miserable start to their 2019/20 campaign. They have also failed to string together back-to-back league wins since August so, as you can see, while Arsenal are third in the table it has not exactly been a brilliant start for them.

Sheffield United, on the other hand, have made a somewhat promising start to life back in the top tier of English football. The Blades have won just twice so far in the league, at home to Crystal Palace and away to Everton, but they earned an excellent 2-2 draw at Chelsea in late August and made table-toppers Liverpool work for the 1-0 win when they visited Bramall Lane late last month. They are proving to be a tough nut to crack and, as we all know full well, when it comes to Arsenal this is the sort of match where they have tended to trip up over the years. And when you consider that the Gunners have won just once on their travels in the league so far, that heightens the sense that perhaps we could see a shock result here.

I certainly would not be surprised to see the Blades spring an upset on Monday night, but my confidence in that happening is dented considerably by the fact that they have lost three of their four home games so far and have netted only two goals in front of the home fans. Are they really in a position to capitalise on any possible ‘travel sickness’ for the Gunners? I am not so sure, and I am not confident that they can deny Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang for 90 minutes either.

The Blades were able to keep out that lethal Liverpool attacking trio a few weeks back, but Aubameyang has arguably been on another level to Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino so far. The Gabon striker failed to find the back of the net against Bournemouth prior to the international break, but he has drawn a blank on only two occasions in the Premier League this season while netting seven times in eight appearances. That is a strike-rate that I simply cannot ignore for this one, so I am going to back Aubameyang to fire Arsenal to an important away win.

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Sports Betting Tips Guide

Here at Bettingpro, we pride ourselves on having a wealth of knowledge that spans across an array of sports. Whether it is football and rugby, or cricket and boxing, the experts at Bettingpro are not picky, and so we have created the Bet of the Day, where our tipsters find the best bets from that day across any particular sport. 

Daily tips across several sports

Bettingpro's writers cover a huge amount of sports every single day but, with so many different matches happening across football, tennis, darts, rugby, cricket and many other sports, the best bets of the day can get lost. This means that the diamond of a bet in League One could get buried under the tips for Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, The Championship and so on. Therefore, we endeavour to bring you the best bets all in one place, giving you the ultimate one stop place for the best bets on that particular day. 

These best bets will generally come form a lower profile football or tennis match, while they may differ from the opinions espoused elsewhere on the site. 

When is Bet of the Day posted?

Our best bet will be posted as soon as it becomes available each day, The staff on that day will pick their best bet and post it right here every morning, giving you plenty of time to back the tip that day. 

Giving the reader confidence in our tips

This is because the object of the Bet of the Day is to be something of a banker, a selection that can be taken with confidence based on the opinion of our writers and the statistical evidence. It may not always be a fantastic priced selection but the aim is to provide a winner and thus ensure a profit at the end of the week.

These picks can be taken on their own as singles or they can be used to bulk up any multiples which Bettingpro.com's readers have already selected. They may well actually be bets that readers have already considered but just with some reasons that maybe help to reinforce the selection.

However, that is not to say that the Bet of the Day will be a real odds-on choice or will have no value. Our writers are punters themselves and wouldn't ever recommend backing a 1/10 shot or a multiple involving several short priced favourites. We want to provide our readers with selections that will ensure long term profits and will not play into the hands of the bookmakers.

Sometimes it may even be a bookmaker offer that is selected as Bet of the Day as frequently in their desire to entice customers the big bookmakers often take trading risks and offer ridiculously large odds and we feel that it is our duty to the readers to inform them of these opportunities. An example of this was at the Cheltenham Festival when Coral offered Evens on Sprinter Sacre. It was an obvious choice and after featuring as our Bet of the Day Coral were inundated with punters trying to back the selection. The firm stuck with the price but their website crashed when Sprinter Sacre romped home and everyone rushed to get their bets!

The aim is to back more winners than losers!

That is just one example of a successful Bet of the Day, but if you check the column every day you will see winners. Unlike some sites we don't shirk from reality and will analyse the selection from the previous day and we are more than happy to admit if we get it wrong (everyone makes mistakes). However, we at Bettingpro.com are confident in our writers abilities and believe that anyone who follows Bet of the Day for any length of time will be enjoying profits, not bemoaning losses.

In addition to Bet of the Day, we also provide an Offer of the Day column, where we look at how best to use the money back specials running on a particular sporting event. This could be a refund on a First Goalscorer in a Premier League football or money back on a final frame decider in a snooker match. In this we will try to not only explain our reasons why the bet itself is a good one but also why having the insurance or enhanced odds from the offer makes it an unmissable bet. This is a slightly bigger risk than the Bet of the Day but the reward is, of course, much better, with some fantastic odds available at times.

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