After a dramatic 123-119 victory for the Bucks in Game 5, a home win on Tuesday night will see them triumph in the NBA Finals for the first time since 1971.
For the first time in the NBA Finals this year, a team on the road won a game when the Bucks triumphed in Phoenix on Saturday night.
In an article we published in June, we analysed the extent of home advantage in the NBA Finals, and the statistics were overwhelming with regards to its importance.
That had exactly followed suit this year until the Bucks overturned a 16-point deficit at one point in Game 5 to triumph 123-119.
Jrue Holliday was in particularly inspired form, scoring 27 points himself but more crucially stealing the ball late in the game to provide a match-winning alley-oop for Giannis Antetokounmpo to slam dunk the Bucks to within one game of a tremendous title triumph.
There will be real pressure on the Bucks to get the job done, though, with the Suns holding home advantage in Game 7 should they upset the odds and win on the road on Tuesday to set up a decisive final game.
Indeed, 79% of home teams have won in Game 7 of NBA Finals’ history, but we believe the pendulum has swung in the Bucks favour now and expect them to get the job done on Tuesday.
Both of their home victories in this series have come by a margin of at least six points, so we will back them on the -5 handicap at a tasty double your money price.