FOLLOW BETTINGPRO

Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid tips – Dortmund to down Real in first leg

Robert Lewandowski and Jurgen Klopp may be celebrating again on Wednesday (credit: JOHN MACDOUGALL/AFP/Getty Images)
Borussia Dortmund can gain the upper-hand in their Champions League semi-final tie with Real Madrid when the two teams meet in the first leg on Wednesday.

Betfair Match Odds: Dortmund 2.9, Madrid 2.64, The Draw 3.55

After watching an exquisitely executed and well-timed 'falling leaf' of a free-kick from Mesut Ozil bounce in off the post in the 88th minute of their second encounter with Borussia Dortmund in the group stages of the Champions League this season, a goal that rescued his Real Madrid team from the brink of defeat at home, coach Jose Mourinho made a prediction. "If they go through," he said, "they are candidates to win the tournament."

Dortmund had been unlucky to draw 2-2 at the Bernabeu. The consensus was that they'd deserved to go back-to-back against Real. And it was now abundantly clear, if any further proof were necessary, that their 2-1 victory at the Westfalenstadion a fortnight earlier had been no fluke. Dortmund had taken four points off Real and would unexpectedly win this season's Group of Death in the Champions League. Coach Jurgen Klopp and his team were hailed across Europe.

The question is: can they repeat the feat when it really matters in the knock-out stages? A glance at the exchange reveals that the market isn't as confident as you might expect after those performances in the winter.

Real are slight favourites to win at the Westfalenstadion. They're trading at 2.64 to Dortmund's 2.9. The nine-time winners are even shorter to qualify too at 1.49 whereas the German pretenders can be backed at 3.0.

Why is that then? Well, just like in 1998 when these sides last met in the Champions League semi-finals, Real are out of the title face in La Liga and this is their sole focus. They went through then, albeit after a farcical first leg, which was delayed for 75 minutes when a goal collapsed before kick-off at the Bernabeu, an incident that led Dortmund, who lost 2-0 on the night, to protest and ask that they be awarded a 3-0 win by default. UEFA refused and Real, after drawing 0-0 in Germany, went through to the final where they beat Juventus to win the competition.

Will history repeat itself? Real can be backed to lift the trophy for a historic 10th time at 3.3. Mourinho, you suspect, will also be under no illusion as to the significance of how the outcome of this tie will define his legacy at the club. But wait a minute: Aren't Dortmund in more or less the same situation as Real? The success or failure of their season rests on this tie too. The Bundesliga has gone. So too has the German Cup. It all comes down to this.

Klopp also knows how to beat them. In an interview with El País before Real Madrid played Manchester United in the Round of 16, he revealed his game plan. "We knew where they send their passes, how they look for Cristiano," Klopp said. "Our plan was to take Xabi Alonso out of the game. Because if Alonso is allowed to play how he wants it's impossible to defend against Madrid. And Gotze covered him. We knew that if our wide players, Piszczek and Schmelzer move a lot, the advantage was ours on Cristiano's side of the pitch. If you block Xabi, you oblige Pepe to always keep the ball."

One expects, though, that Mourinho will have prepared a series of counter-measures. He's no fool. After playing two games against Dortmund, you anticipate that he will have figured them out. Remember, Mourinho's Inter side drew and lost to Barcelona in the group stages before surprisingly knocking them in the semi-finals back in 2010. They'd clearly learnt from their earlier experiences against them and that was to their advantage.

Having said that, Dortmund have won all of their Champions League home games this season, while Real have claimed victory on the road just twice: first away to Ajax then at Manchester United when, as Mourinho said "the best team lost." One nil down, they turned things around to win 2-1 only after Nani's sending off. With that in mind, why not back Dortmund to win at 2.9.

Recommended Bets:

Back Dortmund to win @ 2.9 Betfair

Recent Champions League Articles

  • Ladbrokes offering 2/1 for all English teams to qualify for the Champions League knock-out stages

    It's been a campaign of mixed fortunes for the four English clubs in the group phase so far, but with three matchdays remaining, Ladbrokes are offering a tasty special for the quartet to safely progress. ...

  • VIDEO: Robbie Savage's Anderlecht v Arsenal betting tips

    Arsenal head to Anderlecht in the Champions League tonight in a must win game and Robbie Savage has added his top tips for the match. See what he's backing here!...

  • VIDEO: Robbie Savage's Liverpool v Real Madrid betting tips

    Liverpool host Real Madrid in the Champions League tonight and Robbie Savage has added his top tips for the match. See what he's backing at William Hill here!...

  • Ladbrokes offering 25/1 on any team to score seven or more goals in the Champions League tonight

    Bayern Munich and Shakhtar Donetsk fired in a magnificent seven goals apiece last night and you can snap up massive odds of 25/1 on any team to equal or better that tally in Wednesday's fixtures....

  • Bayer Leverkusen v Zenit St. Petersburg betting tips – Goals to keep flowing at BayArena

    The Bundesliga club picked up a crucial 3-1 win over Benfica in their previous Champions League outing and Roger Schmidt's men will be looking to continue their good form in front of goal as they take on Russian side Zenit....

  • AS Monaco v Benfica betting tips - Les Rouges et Blancs to take huge step towards last 16

    New manager Leonardo Jardim has endured a difficult start to the 2014/15 Ligue 1 campaign, but his side are performing superbly in Europe and can edge closer to the Champions League knockouts with three points against struggling Benfica....

  • Olympiakos v Juventus betting tips – Expect a tight affair in Greece

    After two Champions League matches apiece, all four teams in Group A are locked on three points. It could be a similarly close encounter as the Bianconeri head to Greece but the visitors can grab the points to place one foot in the last 16....

  • Atletico Madrid vs Malmo Champions League Group A Preview Plus Betting Tips

    Atletico Madrid cant be complacent against Malmo in the Champions League! ...

  • Liverpool FC vs Real Madrid Champions League Group B Preview Plus Betting Tips

    It's Liverpool v Real Madrid in genuine UCL Heavyweight Title matchup! ...

More Stories

Tags

Bookmaker offers

Breaking News


Streams About To Start!

Full Calendar

Share this with your friends

To:
From:
Your comments:

Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid tips – Dortmund to down Real in first leg

Borussia Dortmund can gain the upper-hand in their Champions League semi-final tie with Real Madrid when the two teams meet in the first leg on Wednesday.

Read more »