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Rome Masters betting tips - Day Three best bets

Rafael Nadal should beat Florian Mayer but it may not be by a landslide as the odds suggest (credit: Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)
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Rafael Nadal makes his debut at the Rome Masters on Wednesday and the 'King of Clay' has something to prove after his disaster in Madrid last week.

Watch and bet on the 2012 Rome Masters live at bet365>livestreaming>tennis.

Rafael Nadal let down not only himself but the whole of Spain last week when throwing away a 5-2 lead in the final set of his Madrid Masters third round match with Fernando Verdasco to lose 6-3, 3-6, 7-5. The Spaniard blamed the blue clay but, in truth, it was his own poor movement and lack of energy that cost him the match.

Nadal is not the same player that swept all before him in 2010. The 25-year-old has been usurped by Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer at the top of the world rankings but, more than that, he seems to have lost some of his trademark spark and intensity and he is becoming more and more vulnerable to lower ranked players. 

On Wednesday he makes his debut at the Madrid Masters and it is a tournament that he really needs to win ahead of what could prove to be his toughest French Open yet. Bet365 make Nadal the 4/5 favourite to take the title in the Eternal City although those backing the 'King of Clay' would be advised to see how he performs in his opening match against Florian Mayer before placing any chunk tournament wagers.

Mayer, ranked 28th in the world, is one of the very few players on the ATP Tour who have a positive head-to-head record against Nadal, with the German winning their only meeting in Shanghai last year. He may not be able to repeat that feat on the red dirt but he should be able to keep the match closer than the current odds suggest. 

The German should be able to keep things tight in the opening exchanges and odds of 5/6 that there are more than eight games in the opening set look too short. At present there are no handicap odds available but the line looks likely to be set at 7.5 games. Mayer should also be able to cover this spread.




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Rome Masters betting tips - Day Three best bets

Rafael Nadal makes his debut at the Rome Masters on Wednesday and the 'King of Clay' has something to prove after his disaster in Madrid last week.

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