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French Open Day 2012 Day 12 betting tips - Women's Quarter Finals

Maria Sharapova will be hoping to celebrate victory against Petra Kvitova this afternoon
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Sam Stosur takes on Sara Errani while Maria Sharapova faces Petra Kvitova on women's semi final day at Roland Garros.

Bet 1: Sam Stosur (-3.5 Games) to beat Sara Errani - 4/5 Sky Bet

Sam Stosur holds a 5-0 head-to-head record against Sara Errani and is 10-1 in sets against the Italian. This is a damning statistic and shows just how difficult Errani finds it against the Australian. The problem is the kick serve of Stosur, which smaller players just can't deal with. It was evident against Dominika Cibulkova in the quarter finals and it should be the case again today.

Errani, who is a best price of 2/1 with Sporting Bet to reach the final, has played well in Paris but she pushed her luck against Angelique Kerber and was broken several times. Stosur will probably only need one break per set and that looks perfectly feasible. With this in mind, it makes sense to take the 4/5 with Sky Bet that the sixth seed covers a smallish 3.5 game handicap as opposed to the best price of 4/9 at William Hill on the straight win.

Bet 2: Petra Kvitova v Maria Sharapova - Over 21 Games - 17/20 Sporting Bet

Petra Kvitova is playing well at Roland Garros and there is a case to made for the Czech beating Maria Sharapova, at a best price of 43/20 with Sporting Bet but it is difficult to go against 'Masha'. The Russian holds a 3-1 head-to-head lead over her opponent (discounting a retirement in Tokyo last year) and seems to have the measure of Kvitova.

There is also the fact that there is so much at stake for Sharapova in Paris this year. If she wins the title then she'll have completed the career sweep of Grand Slam titles and will become only the sixth woman to achieve that feat. She will also move to the top of the world rankings and these incentives are absolutely huge. This ensures that Sharapova will battle for everything and sheer will to win (as with Novak Djokovic against Jo-Wilfried Tsonga) could see the second seed through.

It won't be easy though and that is why a best price of 4/9 with Ladbrokes don't appeal. Instead, it makes sense to bet on Over 21 Games, at 17/20 with Sporting Bet. This line is covered by three sets but also two close sets and Sporting Bet are half a point lower than the standard 21.5 Games, which makes them the best firm to bet with.


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French Open Day 2012 Day 12 betting tips - Women's Quarter Finals

Sam Stosur takes on Sara Errani while Maria Sharapova faces Petra Kvitova on women's semi final day at Roland Garros.

Read more »

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