Dunguib - Supreme Novices' Hurdle (best price 2.00 on Betfair)

Positives - Has hardly come off the bridle to land his first four starts over hurdles, posting some decent times in the process, and last season's impressive wins in the Cheltenham (the form of which has worked out really well) and Punchestown bumpers prove he can cope with the hustle and bustle of a large field.

Negatives - His jumping has been far from fluent and was particularly sloppy last time out at Punchestown, convincing connections to go for this race instead of the Champion Hurdle. That said, the likely strong pace at Cheltenham will be in his favour. Looking to become only the second horse to complete the Bumper-Supreme double and he is older than the typical winner (one winning seven-year-old in the past 10 runnings).

Verdict: BANKER and massive value at evens on Betfair. 

Note: Paddypower will give you your cash back if Dunguib wins